Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
1.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.98
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.99
|
Trades
|
Superconductor "Yes" trading between 15Β’ and 65Β’ EOW? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,295.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0063
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 06 2023
|
β
|
8.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.15
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
23.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.43
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck answer the door? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0070
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0506
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-5.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.11
|
Trades
|
Will Curve's founder get liquidated? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.00
|
Trades
|
Binance announces $RLB listing by Aug 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.00
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Jingtao vs. Zata |
Jingtao |
Zata |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 09 2023
|
β
|
85.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.43
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
55.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
55.55
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-7.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.60
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
34.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.88
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
20.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.40
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.12
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
200.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0073
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.46
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
25.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.44
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
27.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.30
|
Trades
|
Egypt accept >1k Gazan refugees by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
28.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.35
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
14.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.08
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.84
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
8.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.50
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
33.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-27.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.61
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-46.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
100.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
69.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.00
|
Trades
|
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9533
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
150.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-143.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
103.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9660
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
103.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-99.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
1,837.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4524
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-831.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-831.04
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
64.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8982
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
64.34
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-57.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.55
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.50
|
Trades
|
βAll I want for Christmas is Youβ #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
β
|
7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.00
|
Trades
|
Boeing Max 9 cleared to fly by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
β
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ by Jan 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
β
|
109.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
109.00
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7312
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-58.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.50
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
3.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.71
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
56.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
50.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.04
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
58.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
8.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.12
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.18
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
β
|
5.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.62
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
55.03
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-51.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.85
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
52.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.00
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
82.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
82.22
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-74.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.40
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
130.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.5548
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-72.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.54
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
β
|
5.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.11
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
8.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.98
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.50
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.05
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64.34
|
573.26
|
|
|
-752.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-115.29
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
64.34
|
573.26
|
|
|
-752.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-115.29
|
|