Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
53.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0005
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
53.08
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
-53.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
163.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.0706
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
163.19
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
-11.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
151.67
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
66.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.3030
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
82.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.9562
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
82.36
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
-78.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.61
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.51
|
Trades
|
Will X remove likes + reposts counter in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
11.36
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.36
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
41.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9680
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
41.32
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.32
|
Trades
|
Blast exploit by March 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9780
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Thu Mar 07 2024
|
✅ |
-9.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.42
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8.82
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.82
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
8.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.89
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by Monday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
17.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.67
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
30.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.58
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
17.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.45
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.9720
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.29
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.29
|
Trades
|
Will McDonald's announce new NFTs by Feb 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 26 2024
|
✅ |
17.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.34
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
15.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.49
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
10.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.83
|
Trades
|
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
✅ |
11.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.51
|
Trades
|
Indonesia Presidential Election: Will Prabowo Subianto win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 14 2024
|
✅ |
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
✅ |
18.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.85
|
Trades
|
Gemini Ultra released by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
20.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.20
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be better than 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
54.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
16.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.30
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.08
|
337.76
|
|
|
-75.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
315.03
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-35.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.20
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.08
|
337.76
|
|
|
-111.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
279.84
|
|