Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
5.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
16.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.87
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
16.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.25
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.65
|
0.00% |
|
-4.3341
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
15.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.81
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
5.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.44
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
3.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.89
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Brazil vs. Croatia |
Brazil |
Croatia |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 09 2022
|
β
|
2.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.62
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
2.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.11
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.86
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.62
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.0004
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.0015
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.0140
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $92.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (OCT 2022 future) |
Yes |
No |
8.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0098
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 22 2022
|
β
|
-0.09
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0141
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.14
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
22.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0113
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
10.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0389
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
4.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4652
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1788
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
9.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0640
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.7983
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.82
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
-0.62
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.63
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.0472
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.01
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
-0.95
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - France vs. Morocco |
France |
Morocco |
0.00
|
4.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.2200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.2410
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.3845
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.1829
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
32.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0311
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi be elected Speaker of the House for the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
11.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0895
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 03 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
109.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0110
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Karim Benzema play in the France v. Argentina World Cup Final? |
Yes |
No |
36.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0610
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.2078
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-2.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.35
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.3753
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
5.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4908
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-2.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.86
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
9.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3007
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.5373
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.19
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the next UK Prime Minister? |
Yes |
No |
67.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1821
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-12.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.25
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1130
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.00
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
119.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1181
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-14.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.08
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
20.62
|
|
|
-28.26
|
0.29
|
0.00
|
-7.34
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
25.62
|
|
|
-33.26
|
0.29
|
0.00
|
-7.34
|
|