Account
0xd9a8fe88585b8d0cdb102963544370d4d36593da Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | 2,569.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2,569.11 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.80 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.80 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 1,384.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,385.07 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 1,314.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,314.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | ✅ | 1,129.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1,129.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | 753.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 753.95 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 686.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 686.05 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 612.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 612.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.84 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | ✅ | 553.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 554.39 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 409.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 409.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 281.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 281.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | 243.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 243.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 198.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 198.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 166.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 166.49 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 160.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 160.17 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | 148.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 148.21 | Trades | ||||||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 111.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 111.34 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 107.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 107.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | ✅ | 95.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.21 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -84.1393 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | 92.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.50 | Trades | |
| Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 89.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 89.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | 86.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.50 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | 79.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 68.55 | 7.42 | 0.00 | 75.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 61.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.15 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | 61.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 61.03 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | 41.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 39.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.60 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7.38 | 0.00% | -5.2950 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | ✅ | 39.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.08 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 37.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.79 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 27.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | 25.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Facebook be online at midnight ET, October 5th? | Yes | No | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.55 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 21.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.28 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | 20.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.68 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 16.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.70 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 15.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.08 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 12.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 10.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.63 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 10.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 10.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.08 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 50% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 10.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.07 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 9.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.56 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.07 | Trades | ||
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 8.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.40 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.13 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | 4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.90 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 4.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.90 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.5% or higher on December 12th? | Yes | No | 1.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -3.4540 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | 3.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.78 | Trades | |
| Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his August 24 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 24 2021 | ✅ | -1.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.99 | Trades | ||
| Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | -2.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.76 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | -4.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | -7.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.29 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | -8.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.34 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say "resign" during his August 3 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | -15.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.12 | Trades | ||
| New government stimulus checks by March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -16.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 131.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1219 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | -16.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.06 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -17.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.24 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -19.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.02 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418.25 ppm on March 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 23 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -21.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.80 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | -24.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.78 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.8% or more from October to November 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 45.62 | 0.00% | 0.5480 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 10 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 16 2021 | ✅ | -27.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -28.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -28.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 35.5469 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | -35.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.55 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.51 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | -37.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -37.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | -45.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.55 | Trades | ||
| Will any NBA Topshot sell for more than $300,000 by March 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Mar 20 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
| Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 266.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1875 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -50.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.89 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.89 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | -55.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -54.62 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | ✅ | -65.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -65.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump’s Facebook or Twitter accounts post by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -71.22 | 5.30 | 0.00 | -65.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | -71.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -71.10 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | ✅ | -76.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -76.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -152.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -152.94 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -154.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -154.74 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | -162.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -162.90 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -174.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -174.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | ✅ | -185.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -184.93 | Trades | ||
| Will another Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before October 15? | Yes | No | 401.16 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4986 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -200.00 | Trades | |
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 493.47 | 0.00% | 0.4154 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -205.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -205.00 | Trades | |
| How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -209.29 | 1.14 | 0.00 | -208.16 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -227.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -227.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 903.47 | 0.00% | 0.3104 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -280.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -280.43 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -311.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -311.22 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -324.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -324.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -328.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -328.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -387.86 | 2.48 | 0.00 | -385.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -450.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -450.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | ✅ | -575.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -575.84 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | ✅ | -702.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -702.61 | Trades | ||
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -915.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -915.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -1,032.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,032.82 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 1.26 | 3.10 | 3,998.49 | 16.34 | 0.00 | 4,019.18 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 1.26 | 3.10 | 3,998.49 | 16.34 | 0.00 | 4,019.18 | ||||||||||||