Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
0.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.46
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-13.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.13
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
384.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7391
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-284.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-284.48
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
379.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
379.55
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
347.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
347.24
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
321.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
321.94
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
112.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
112.41
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
105.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.78
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
98.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.06
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
74.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.88
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
58.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.88
|
Trades
|
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 23 2023
|
β
|
40.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.50
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
34.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.56
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
33.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.52
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
32.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.85
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
31.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.05
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
β
|
27.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.92
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine receive F-16s by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
23.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.41
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
15.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.58
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? |
$2000 |
$2500 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
13.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.10
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $65,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
12.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.40
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.1% from Jan to Feb 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 13 2024
|
β
|
11.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.76
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
11.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
9.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.60
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
7.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.23
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
4.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.93
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.30
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.99
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
0.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.55
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,800.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0001
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
ETH above $3,000 on March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.38
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-2.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.95
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-3.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.28
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-9.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.18
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-21.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.59
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.20
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-42.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.36
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-45.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.74
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.6150
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-73.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-73.78
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-83.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.35
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $70,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-85.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.90
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.4% from Feb to March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
β
|
-108.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.00
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-165.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-165.58
|
Trades
|
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
261.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8260
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-215.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-215.58
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.02
|
|
|
941.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
941.78
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-311.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-311.99
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.02
|
|
|
629.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
629.79
|
|