Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
3.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.83
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-2.14
|
1.06
|
0.00
|
-1.07
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-18.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.24
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
343.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
343.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
148.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
148.41
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
49.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
43.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
16.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.96
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
14.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.14
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by March 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
13.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.26
|
Trades
|
Will Gay Marriage pass the U.S. Senate? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
9.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.44
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
9.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.12
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 2.5% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
8.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.62
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Schmidt) win in Kansas? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
-7.7377
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
7.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.89
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
7.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.06
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
5.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.69
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
5.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.49
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
68.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.9473
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
68.67
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-65.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.62
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
2.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.93
|
Trades
|
Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.75
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
1.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.61
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by January 6, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.9307
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
23.15
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
-21.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will the 2022 World Cup winner be from Europe? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
1.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.59
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
1.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.19
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.69
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.3% or higher on January 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 08 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.95
|
Trades
|
Will SBF attend Maxine Water's Congressional hearing? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.09
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.66
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.87
|
Trades
|
Will the Pound dip below the US Dollar before November? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
-7.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.39
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-8.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.19
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-9.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.98
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 43.0% or higher on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
20.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4808
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
35.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4707
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-16.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.74
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
44.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4448
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
117.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.1704
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
83.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2384
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
52.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3831
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-23.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.51
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
32.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9099
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
6.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
9.3166
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
β
|
-64.39
|
10.75
|
0.00
|
-53.65
|
Trades
|
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 16 2022
|
β
|
-169.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-169.09
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
91.84
|
|
|
164.67
|
10.75
|
0.00
|
267.26
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-14.95
|
1.06
|
0.00
|
-13.88
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
91.84
|
|
|
149.72
|
11.81
|
0.00
|
253.37
|
|