Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
24.52
|
0.00% |
|
0.4078
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
12.87
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.87
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
119.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.4200
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
24.48
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.52
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-397.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-397.44
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
198.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
198.51
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
73.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.46
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
31.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.16
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.9490
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
52.69
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.69
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
✅ |
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on March 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 20 2022
|
✅ |
0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.43
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
37.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0264
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
85.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1165
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
88.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2782
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-24.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.71
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
52.69
|
|
|
209.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
262.13
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
37.35
|
|
|
-457.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-420.09
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
90.04
|
|
|
-247.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-157.95
|
|