Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
โ
|
32,622.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32,622.90
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
โ
|
11,891.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11,891.98
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
โ
|
8,953.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,953.19
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
โ
|
8,344.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,344.30
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22,073.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3628
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
โ
|
8,007.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,007.45
|
Trades
|
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz |
Paul |
Diaz |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 05 2023
|
โ
|
7,259.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,259.05
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
โ
|
5,678.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,678.80
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
โ
|
4,932.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,932.49
|
Trades
|
Will Erdoฤan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
โ
|
4,093.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,093.31
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
3,849.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,849.52
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
3,283.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,283.71
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
โ
|
3,261.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,261.81
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
3,169.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,169.10
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,099.53
|
0.00% |
|
-1.3035
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
โ
|
2,736.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,736.82
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (ไพฏๅๅฎ) or Ko Wen-je (ๆฏๆๅฒ)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
โ
|
1,928.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,928.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
1,422.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,422.79
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
3,844.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3607
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
โ
|
1,386.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,386.63
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
โ
|
1,331.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,331.88
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Emmer be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-583.0745
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
1,166.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,166.16
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
โ
|
969.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
969.16
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
โ
|
906.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
906.51
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
โ
|
900.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
900.02
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
5,802.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1546
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
โ
|
897.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
897.01
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
542.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
542.42
|
Trades
|
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,451.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.6837
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,451.33
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
โ
|
-992.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
459.02
|
Trades
|
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
291.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
291.08
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
โ
|
267.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
267.05
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
โ
|
242.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
242.93
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5491
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
219.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
219.63
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
213.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
213.37
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
83.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.3692
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
โ
|
197.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
197.32
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
184.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
184.39
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
156.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
156.08
|
Trades
|
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.18
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
โ
|
141.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
141.74
|
Trades
|
Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner |
Putin |
Wagner |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
110.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.41
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.90
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.90
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
91.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.55
|
Trades
|
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) |
Presley |
Reeves |
0.00
|
454.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.8501
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
454.14
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
โ
|
-386.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.09
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
61.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.88
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,130.32
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0085
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
โ
|
60.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.81
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.00
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
41.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.4151
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
41.70
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
17.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.02
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
โ
|
32.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.45
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
โ
|
31.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.77
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
30.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.06
|
Trades
|
Will a candidate say something racist at the next Republican debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
90.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
90.00
|
Wed Oct 04 2023
|
โ
|
-63.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
24.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.63
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
19.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.36
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
14.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.56
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0760
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
8.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.10
|
Trades
|
SBF jail by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
โ
|
1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.15
|
Trades
|
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 21 2023
|
โ
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
3.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0160
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
7.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-2.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.69
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
โ
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
โ
|
-6.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.47
|
Trades
|
Will Shoigu still be Russian Minister of Defense on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
215.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.0340
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-7.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.31
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
222.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
โ
|
-13.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.32
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
2.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
6.1580
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2.79
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-17.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.39
|
Trades
|
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.6580
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
โ
|
-16.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.58
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
299.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-20.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.95
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa Gonzรกlez win? |
Yes |
No |
491.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1129
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
โ
|
-55.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.43
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
87.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.6525
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
โ
|
-56.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.91
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
1,969.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0291
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-57.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.26
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis say "A.I." and/or "Artificial Intelligence" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
โ
|
-68.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.00
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1214
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
504.84
|
0.00% |
|
1.1712
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
504.84
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
โ
|
-591.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-86.45
|
Trades
|
Will SBF testify? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,540.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0365
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-92.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.60
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
โ
|
-135.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-135.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
โ
|
-135.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-135.06
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
5,454.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0321
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
โ
|
-175.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-175.10
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
362.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5068
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
โ
|
-183.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-183.61
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
โ
|
-196.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-196.17
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo Arรฉvalo win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,005.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.2212
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
โ
|
-222.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-222.35
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Alien" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
1,293.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1989
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
โ
|
-257.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-257.21
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
3,588.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0772
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
โ
|
-277.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-277.09
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams be indicted by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
2,335.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1378
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-321.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-321.75
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
10,766.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0463
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
โ
|
-498.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-498.40
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,288.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.2738
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
โ
|
-626.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-626.50
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-640.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-640.72
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
โ
|
-1,070.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,070.95
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
โ
|
-1,165.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,165.09
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
7,225.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2039
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
โ
|
-1,473.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,473.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,225.16
|
0.00% |
|
1.2910
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
โ
|
-1,581.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,581.67
|
Trades
|
Will Ohioโs abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20,537.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.0781
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
โ
|
-1,604.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,604.88
|
Trades
|
Virginia State Legislature: Will Republicans gain full control? |
Yes |
No |
8,021.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2502
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
โ
|
-2,006.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,006.92
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,739.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.2189
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
โ
|
-3,226.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,226.64
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
4,057.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8814
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
โ
|
-3,576.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,576.07
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
8,310.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4503
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
โ
|
-3,741.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,741.69
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
38,076.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2895
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
โ
|
-11,024.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11,024.78
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44.51
|
2,552.22
|
|
|
85,345.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87,941.74
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
44.51
|
2,552.22
|
|
|
85,344.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
87,940.74
|
|