Account
0xcfdbe7f11527cfc9c5a10445d54e367d946f5437 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vice President Harris cast 17 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 396.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 396.15 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 211.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 211.33 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? | Yes | No | 269.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4446 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 269.90 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 28 2022 | ✅ | -120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 149.90 | Trades | |
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 142.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 142.86 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 02 2022 | ✅ | 102.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.32 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 96.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 96.70 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 94.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 95.12 | Trades | ||
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | 85.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 85.02 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 74.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.99 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 129.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4245 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 129.71 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -55.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.65 | Trades | |
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 162.75 | 0.00% | 0.6144 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 162.75 | Fri Jul 15 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.75 | Trades | |
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
100.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
100.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.25 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the Suns win the 2021 NBA Finals? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | ✅ | 59.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.44 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 2? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | 59.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 59.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.27 | Trades | ||
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.40 | 0.00% | -16.3417 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.40 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 55.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.93 | Trades | |
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 88.90 | 0.00% | 0.3374 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 88.90 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.90 | Trades | |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 158.72 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6300 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 158.72 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.72 | Trades | |
| Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 55.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.59 | Trades | ||
| Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 55.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 55.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Chadwick Boseman win Best Actor at the 2021 Oscars? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | 46.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.32 | Trades | ||
| Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 31 2022 | ✅ | 43.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.42 | Trades | ||
| Will the Warriors or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Warriors | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 21 2021 | ✅ | 39.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.69 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 35.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.65 | Trades | ||
| Will the Warriors or the Lakers win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Warriors | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | 34.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.46 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Jazz beat the Mavericks by more than 4.5 points in their December 25 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 33.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 33.46 | Trades | ||
| Will 'The Matrix Resurrections' get a 75% or higher Critic Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 30.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.86 | Trades | ||
| Will there be fewer than 300K daily COVID cases in India by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | 26.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.56 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Clippers v. Mavericks: Game 5? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 02 2021 | ✅ | 24.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.34 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Suns vs. Lakers: Game 4? | Suns | Lakers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 30 2021 | ✅ | 24.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.23 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 2? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 26 2021 | ✅ | 23.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.09 | Trades | ||
| Will the Oversight Board uphold Facebook’s decision to indefinitely suspend Donald Trump's account? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 22.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.34 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the Champions League Final: Man City or Chelsea? | Man City | Chelsea | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | ✅ | 20.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.64 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Grizzlies beat the Kings by more than 5.5 points in their December 26 matchup? | Yes | No | 34.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4310 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 34.80 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 26 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.80 | Trades | |
| Will the Nets or the Bucks win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | Nets | Bucks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 19 2021 | ✅ | 18.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Vice President Harris cast another tie-breaking vote by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 17.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.35 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | 16.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.99 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Knicks beat the Pistons by more than 9.5 points in their December 21 matchup? | Yes | No | 25.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3956 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.28 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.28 | Trades | |
| Who will win Nuggets v. Trail Blazers: Game 6? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 03 2021 | ✅ | 14.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.75 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump mention the word “rigged” on his communications platform by May 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 14.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.73 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the 76ers beat the Wizards by more than 3.5 points in their December 26 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 26 2021 | ✅ | 14.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.16 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 4? | Bucks | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | ✅ | 13.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen or Daniil Dubov win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Carlsen | Dubov | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 9.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.80 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Lakers beat the Rockets by more than 5.5 points in their December 28 matchup? | Yes | No | 19.53 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5120 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 19.53 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.53 | Trades | |
| Will FEWOCiOUS’s “His Name Is Victor” have a final sale price of more than $500K at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 8.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 8.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.90 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Suns beat the Lakers by more than 6.5 points in their December 21 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 21 2021 | ✅ | 8.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Anish Giri or Teimour Radjabov win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Giri | Radjabov | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 27 2021 | ✅ | 8.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.73 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Bucks vs. Heat: Game 3 | Bucks | Heat | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 27 2021 | ✅ | 8.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.70 | Trades | ||
| Will Finland or Denmark win their Euro 2020 match? | Finland | Denmark | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 7.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.12 | Trades | ||
| Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 22 2021 | ✅ | 6.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Kees van Dongen's "Danseuse assise" sell for more than $700K at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | 5.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.53 | Trades | ||
| Will the 76ers or the Wizards win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | 76ers | Wizards | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | 5.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Marc Chagall’s “Les trois bouquets” sell for more than $1 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | 3.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.94 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.15 | Trades | ||
| Will Zao Wou-Ki’s “24.01.63” sell for more than HK$80M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 1.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Switzerland or Wales win their Euro 2020 match? | Switzerland | Wales | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 1.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.56 | Trades | ||
| Will Adrian Ghenie's "The Collector I" sell for more than HK$65M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 1.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Sanyu’s “Potted Chrysanthemums” sell for more than HK$120M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 1.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Nu couché à la libellule” sell for more than HK$68M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Hikaru Nakamura or Fabiano Caruana win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary game? | Nakamura | Caruana | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | Trades | ||
| Will the Jazz or the Grizzlies win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Jazz | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,173.06 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.06 | -0.31 | Trades | |
| Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.59 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 15 2022 | ✅ | -0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.85 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 139.81 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0072 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4.00 by June 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 1,257.03 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0008 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -1.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.48 | Trades | ||||||
| Will 130 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | -1.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Croatia or England win their Euro 2020 match? | Croatia | England | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia or Belgium win their Euro 2020 match? | Russia | Belgium | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will North Macedonia or Austria win their Euro 2020 match? | North Macedonia | Austria | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine or the Netherlands win their Euro 2020 match? | Ukraine | Netherlands | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 13 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen or Hikaru Nakamura win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Carlsen | Nakamura | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -2.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.67 | Trades | ||
| Will Basquiat’s “Untitled (One Eyed Man or Xerox Face)” sell for more than HK$170M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Chelsea qualify for next season's Champions League? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 29 2021 | ✅ | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Heat beat the Wizards by more than 6.5 points in their December 28 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 9.95 | 0.00% | 0.5024 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Henry Moore's “Girl: Bust” sell for more than $1 million at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 14 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| How much will “In the Heights” gross domestically on opening weekend? | Under $22M $22M-$29M Over $29M |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 105.26 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0475 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | -5.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.13 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave or Wesley So win their Quarterfinals Series of the FTX Crypto Cup? | Vachier-Lagrave | So | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 27 2021 | ✅ | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 103.21 | 0.00% | 0.0686 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | -7.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.08 | Trades | |
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -7.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.76 | Trades | ||
| Will the Nuggets or the Trail Blazers win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 05 2021 | ✅ | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Clippers or the Mavericks win their Round 1 NBA Playoff Series? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Robert Colescott’s “George Washington Carver Crossing the Delaware” sell for more than $12 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -9.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -9.86 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Mavericks beat the Trail Blazers by more than 1.5 points in their December 27 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 16.63 | 0.00% | 0.6015 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 27 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| NBA: Will the Nets beat the Clippers by more than 4.5 points in their December 27 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 18.74 | 0.00% | 0.5336 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Dec 27 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Hikaru Nakamura or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Nakamura | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the English Opening be played during the FTX Crypto Cup Finals between Magnus Carlsen and Wesley So? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Suns or the Nuggets win their NBA Conference Semifinals Series? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Cavaliers beat the Raptors by more than 8.5 points in their December 26 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 210.74 | 0.00% | 0.0569 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 26 2021 | ✅ | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.00 | Trades | |
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -12.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.06 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 721.39 | 0.00% | 0.0194 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | -14.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.94 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Suns v. Nuggets: Game 1? | Suns | Nuggets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 07 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 474.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0316 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| NBA: Will the Cavaliers beat the Pacers by more than 2.5 points in their January 2 matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.35 | 0.00% | 0.4636 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 02 2022 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will ‘Elvis’ gross more than $38 million domestically on its opening weekend? | Yes | No | 371.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0404 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jun 27 2022 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 57.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2936 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -17.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? | Yes | No | 431.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0487 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -21.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.00 | Trades | |
| Who will win Clippers vs. Mavericks: Game 3? | Clippers | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 28 2021 | ✅ | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -22.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Spurs or the Grizzlies win their NBA play-in tournament matchup? | Spurs | Grizzlies | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | ✅ | -24.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -24.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Knicks or the Hawks win their Game 1 NBA Playoff matchup? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Knicks vs. Hawks: Game 3? | Knicks | Hawks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 28 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| What will US GDP growth be in Q1 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -27.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.70 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.70 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | ✅ | -30.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.63 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 140.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2274 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | -32.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -32.00 | Trades | |
| Will Basquiat’s “Versus Medici” sell for more than $50 million at Sotheby’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | ✅ | -34.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.58 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers: Game 2? | Nuggets | Trail Blazers | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 177.22 | 0.00% | 0.2257 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -47.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.23 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -53.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.09 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 99% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -55.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.56 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.10 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Jan. 1 and Jan. 11? | Yes | No | 278.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2082 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | -58.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -58.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be another (1072nd) NFL Scorigami by January 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 93.61 | 0.00% | 0.6409 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | -60.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -60.00 | Trades | |
| Will NATO expand in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -73.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -73.68 | Trades | ||
| Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,973.68 | 0.00% | 0.0446 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -88.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -88.00 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.9% from May to June 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 214.81 | 0.00% | 0.4655 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 249.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4136 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | -103.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -103.00 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 286.48 | 0.00% | 0.4363 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -125.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 63.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 2.4831 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | -158.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -158.48 | Trades | |
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 629.39 | 0.00% | 0.2542 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -160.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -160.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 966.61 | 0.00% | 0.3724 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -360.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -360.00 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 738.67 | 255.11 | -448.93 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 544.91 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 738.67 | 255.11 | -448.93 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 544.91 | ||||||||||||