Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.20
|
0.73
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
0.05
|
0.44
|
0.00
|
0.49
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
β
|
1,718.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,718.06
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
6.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-87.4245
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
588.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
588.49
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
265.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
265.91
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 205k for the week ending on September 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 22 2022
|
β
|
169.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
169.84
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
6.64
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
-18.7611
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
124.51
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
124.52
|
Trades
|
Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 20 2022
|
β
|
122.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
122.17
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 27? |
Yes |
No |
9.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.5959
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 27 2022
|
β
|
-15.45
|
116.32
|
0.00
|
100.87
|
Trades
|
Will Liz Truss be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.42
|
0.00% |
|
-8.7086
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
90.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.72
|
Trades
|
Who will win Anthony Joshua vs. Oleksandr Usyk 2? |
Joshua |
Usyk |
3.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-21.7782
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 20 2022
|
β
|
75.88
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
75.90
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine formally cede Crimea, Luhansk, or Donetsk by May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
36.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.32
|
Trades
|
Will any Russian bank be disconnected from SWIFT by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
24.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.03
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.11
|
0.05% |
|
-3.5299
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
21.57
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
21.59
|
Trades
|
Will Rishi Sunak be the next UK Conservative Party Leader? |
Yes |
No |
8.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.1938
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
18.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.03
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
16.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.04
|
Trades
|
Will an FTX acquisition of Robinhood be announced by September 20? |
Yes |
No |
8.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 20 2022
|
β
|
2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.72
|
Trades
|
Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) be above $0.142069 on May 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 06 2022
|
β
|
1.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0471
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 06 2023
|
β
|
0.17
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.93
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
0.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.92
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 3? |
Yes |
No |
7.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1467
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 03 2022
|
β
|
-1.08
|
1.91
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
β
|
0.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.66
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Draft: Will Jabari Smith Jr. be the #1 Pick? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 23 2022
|
β
|
0.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.59
|
Trades
|
Will Nancy Pelosi visit Taiwan before June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.46
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
β
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by August 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 01 2022
|
β
|
0.03
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
β
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Neutrino USD (USDN) fall below 50 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
β
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Ottawa cease to be in a state of emergency before February 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? |
Lee Jae-myung |
Yoon Seok-youl |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 09 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Oscars 2022: Will any film win 6 or more awards? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 27 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
3.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0003
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
3.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0003
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.6643
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.67
|
Trades
|
Will Mary Peltola win Alaska's general at-large election for the U.S. House? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.2459
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-1.71
|
0.77
|
0.00
|
-0.94
|
Trades
|
NBA: Who will win Mavericks vs. Warriors, scheduled for May 24, 9:00 PM ET? |
Mavericks |
Warriors |
0.00
|
12.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.1079
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 24 2022
|
β
|
-1.34
|
0.24
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk tweet βDogeβ or βDogecoinβ before March 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.3621
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 18 2022
|
β
|
-1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.68
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
48.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1022
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-4.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.99
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
-8.42
|
3.04
|
0.00
|
-5.37
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
4.4260
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-7.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.45
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin become a defendant in the ICC (International Criminal Court) before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
36.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2736
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
20.75
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5007
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-10.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.39
|
Trades
|
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
-33.61
|
21.16
|
0.00
|
-12.45
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
β
|
-13.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.89
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
β
|
-16.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.02
|
Trades
|
Will the price of Polygon ($MATIC) be above $0.75 on Sept 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.5391
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
β
|
-19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
61.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3594
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 15 2022
|
β
|
-22.21
|
2.20
|
0.00
|
-20.01
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.6294
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 08 2022
|
β
|
-21.47
|
0.36
|
0.00
|
-21.10
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbaseβs NFT marketplace be live by April 1st, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
-25.60
|
1.84
|
0.00
|
-23.77
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
-35.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.17
|
Trades
|
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022: Will Hikaru Nakamura win Leg #1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 17 2022
|
β
|
-63.41
|
11.75
|
0.00
|
-51.66
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
486.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1459
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
β
|
-71.00
|
4.48
|
0.00
|
-66.52
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine be a member state of the European Union by July 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-93.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.94
|
Trades
|
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.005 by March 25? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
β
|
-96.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-96.45
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat May 14 2022
|
β
|
-115.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-115.38
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Will the Villanova Wildcats beat the Ohio State Buckeyes by more than 5.5 points in their March 20, 2:40 PM ET matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.83
|
0.00% |
|
9.4853
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 20 2022
|
β
|
-178.62
|
19.41
|
0.00
|
-159.20
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3938
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,575.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,575.38
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0.02
|
|
|
836.66
|
184.32
|
0.04
|
1,021.07
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.15
|
1.17
|
0.00
|
1.02
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0.02
|
|
|
836.51
|
185.49
|
0.04
|
1,022.09
|
|