Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? |
Yes |
No |
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
COVID lab leak confirmed by US in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.9260
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.7176
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.9390
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
20.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5357
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.6400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.00
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.9324
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-14.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.59
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
70.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
20.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.94
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
20.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.24
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
35.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5630
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
35.52
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.52
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.00
|
17.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.5700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
17.54
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.54
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
13.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.51
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.51
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.8514
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.85
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-17.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.10
|
Trades
|
Puffer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
2.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.88
|
Trades
|
Berachain airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
1.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.30
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
11.24
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.24
|
Trades
|
OpenAI settlement with Elon Musk before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.53
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.26
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.26
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.26
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.9790
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.21
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Craig Wright proven to be Satoshi before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9890
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.11
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.11
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9750
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.03
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kraken IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
16.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.2300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.5240
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.67
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
7.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7971
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.99
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
8.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7679
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
✅ |
-6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.66
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
10.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
163.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.7416
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-121.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-121.61
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35.52
|
107.38
|
|
|
-218.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.41
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-138.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-138.59
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
35.52
|
107.38
|
|
|
-356.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-214.00
|
|