Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
41,223.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41,223.06
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
35,089.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35,089.57
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
27,852.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27,852.70
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
21,519.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21,519.09
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
20,828.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20,828.14
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
19,684.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19,684.41
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
9,621.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,621.59
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
5,852.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,852.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
2,444.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,444.38
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
1,521.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,521.65
|
Trades
|
Will Uniswap's "Fee Switch" proposal pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
1,410.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,410.56
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
1,180.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,180.67
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
β
|
909.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
909.46
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
762.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
762.64
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
618.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
618.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
β
|
570.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
570.64
|
Trades
|
Will Binance list $PEPE by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
384.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
384.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
β
|
180.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
180.70
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
115.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.54
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
53.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2844
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
53.88
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
15.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
69.21
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
34.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.68
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
24.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.99
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention DeSantis more than Biden during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
52.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-43.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.32
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "bigly" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-192.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "huge" ten or more times during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.86
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-2.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump mention "Russia/Putin" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-37.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.85
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say "rape" during his CNN town hall? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-158.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-158.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,149.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0529
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-166.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-166.72
|
Trades
|
Will 'Fast X' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3,675.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0901
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-331.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-331.19
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
2,133.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3177
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-677.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-677.98
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
2,812.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.2743
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-771.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-771.38
|
Trades
|
Blast airdrop by May? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-957.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-957.86
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3,349.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,349.95
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19.99
|
0.00% |
|
231.9291
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
19.99
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-4,636.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,616.69
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-4,886.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,886.55
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-10,436.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10,436.75
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
β
|
-36,170.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36,170.46
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.90
|
274.88
|
|
|
129,010.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129,338.80
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
53.90
|
274.88
|
|
|
129,010.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129,338.80
|
|