Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
419.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6868
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
388.97
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-287.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
101.12
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
392.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.7946
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
366.67
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-311.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.81
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
577.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7242
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
458.38
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-417.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.47
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
50.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.0352
|
0.48 |
0.52 |
0.00
|
26.33
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-1.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.57
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
19.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.32
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
156.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7731
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
136.84
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-121.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.69
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.35
|
0.00% |
|
-2.3777
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
|
12.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.72
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
199.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.9190
|
0.03 |
0.97 |
0.00
|
193.94
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-183.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.30
|
Trades
|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.01 |
0.99 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.50
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
130.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8771
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
123.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-114.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.20
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6883
|
0.08 |
0.92 |
0.00
|
27.53
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-20.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.88
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.01
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2283
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
4.74
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
1.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.88
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
104.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.8940
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
98.35
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-93.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.12
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Pence win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
44.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.9181
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
43.53
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-40.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.76
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9064
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
52.51
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-49.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.66
|
Trades
|
Will Chris Christie win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.01 |
0.99 |
0.00
|
29.70
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-27.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.8932
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
20.07
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-18.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.74
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
24.48
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-23.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.73
|
Trades
|
Will Kristi Noem win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Rogan win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.02 |
0.98 |
0.00
|
9.79
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.29
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.9536
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
20.40
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-20.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.14
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $5 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
39.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5336
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
19.60
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-20.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.32
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-4.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.65
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-6.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.66
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2920
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-7.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.30
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
12.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6339
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.20
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4125
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.25
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-8.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.40
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.75
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-12.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.75
|
Trades
|
Tiktok banned in the US by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
|
-14.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.40
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk own X through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
16.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3880
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-19.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.40
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
26.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9550
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 01 2024
|
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
72.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3714
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
|
-26.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.95
|
Trades
|
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-28.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3518
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-29.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.90
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-32.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.40
|
Trades
|
Russian nuke in space in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.8556
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-34.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.30
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
75.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4753
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-35.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.65
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-38.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.25
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8550
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
|
-42.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.75
|
Trades
|
Is John McAfee alive? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-46.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.50
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
79.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6934
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-55.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.11
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
65.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8962
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
-58.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.25
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9394
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-79.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-79.85
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
118.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8818
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
-104.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-104.18
|
Trades
|
Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
127.93
|
0.00% |
|
0.9122
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-116.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-116.70
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
146.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8475
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
-123.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-123.95
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
298.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5417
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-161.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-161.90
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
198.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.8196
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-162.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-162.40
|
Trades
|
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
210.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.8161
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-172.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-172.00
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.9013
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-180.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-180.65
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
234.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.9045
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-212.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-212.45
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
261.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.8662
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-226.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-226.18
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
338.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6768
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-229.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-229.35
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
308.71
|
0.00% |
|
0.8974
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-277.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-277.02
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
485.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8675
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-420.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-420.75
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
586.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7320
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-429.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-429.35
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,106.51
|
0.00% |
|
0.7462
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-825.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-825.66
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,441.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8593
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
-1,238.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,238.51
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
998.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.5619
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
998.27
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-560.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
437.31
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,413.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.8440
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,413.88
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2,037.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
376.66
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,041.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.7284
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,041.12
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-758.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
282.73
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
194.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
194.68
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
✅ |
107.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.44
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
396.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.7336
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
396.50
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-290.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.61
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
102.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
102.74
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis back out of Logan Paul fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
92.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.22
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
80.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.76
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
76.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.28
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
72.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.97
|
Trades
|
Who will get more votes in Taiwan Election: Hou Yu-ih (侯友宜) or Ko Wen-je (柯文哲)? |
Yu-ih |
Wen-je |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
65.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.05
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
62.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.25
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
391.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.8712
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
391.70
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-341.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.45
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
47.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.86
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
120.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6125
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
120.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-73.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.50
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
45.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.73
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
293.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.8490
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
293.31
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
-249.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.29
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
42.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.11
|
Trades
|
$WIF all time high before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
42.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.10
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
40.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.75
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
94.96
|
0.00% |
|
0.5761
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
94.96
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-54.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.26
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by March 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
38.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
38.69
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
36.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.02
|
Trades
|
Will Trump violate bail by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
242.38
|
0.00% |
|
0.8528
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
242.38
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-206.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.68
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Massachusetts Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
35.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.36
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
467.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9246
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
467.97
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-432.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.30
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
34.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.43
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Ko Wen-je win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
33.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.16
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
32.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.25
|
Trades
|
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6212
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
85.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-52.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.20
|
Trades
|
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
32.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.08
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
31.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.63
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
✅ |
31.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.08
|
Trades
|
Fury Vs. KSI |
Fury |
KSI |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
29.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.40
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 9? |
Yes |
No |
152.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8280
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
152.67
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 09 2024
|
✅ |
-126.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.26
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
26.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.19
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.84
|
0.00% |
|
-0.7087
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
14.84
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
10.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.35
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
219.70
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8949
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
219.70
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-196.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.09
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
343.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9360
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
343.97
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-321.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.67
|
0.00% |
|
-0.5732
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.67
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6425
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
60.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
-38.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.45
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
20.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.77
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
20.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.65
|
Trades
|
Biden to drop out before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
752.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.9730
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
752.85
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-732.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.33
|
Trades
|
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) cry? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
19.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.88
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
125.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8564
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
125.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-107.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.95
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift engaged by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
351.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.9503
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
351.39
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-333.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.47
|
Trades
|
Will ‘Taylor Swift: Eras Tour’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.25
|
Trades
|
Coinbase top 25 app by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
16.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.91
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
45.55
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6465
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
45.55
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 23 2023
|
✅ |
-29.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.10
|
Trades
|
$WIF listed on Coinbase in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
67.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.7634
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
67.86
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-51.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.06
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be disqualified from California's primary ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.6059
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
36.67
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-22.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.45
|
Trades
|
Will X start charging all users? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8657
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
105.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-90.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.10
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley endorse Trump in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.8776
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
105.63
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-92.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.92
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
12.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.90
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
12.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.65
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
12.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.45
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Exorcist: Believer' gross over $28m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 09 2023
|
✅ |
12.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.15
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
11.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.70
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
11.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.69
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
11.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.25
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
186.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
186.17
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-175.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.17
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
71.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8446
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
71.76
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-60.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.15
|
Trades
|
SBF reduced sentence because autism? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7544
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.00
|
Thu Mar 28 2024
|
✅ |
-33.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.05
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
10.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.76
|
Trades
|
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
368.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.9720
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
368.95
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-358.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.31
|
Trades
|
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.30
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.30
|
Trades
|
Will a human have a Neuralink chip implanted by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.13
|
0.00% |
|
0.5855
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
24.13
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6850
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-20.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.45
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
175.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.9469
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
175.72
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-166.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.33
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
8.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.85
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
8.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.77
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4201
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
✅ |
-6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.70
|
Trades
|
Drake's "For All the Dogs" over 350k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7150
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
30.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
✅ |
-21.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.55
|
Trades
|
Vanguard allows Bitcoin purchases before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
147.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9462
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
147.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-139.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.91
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
145.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9488
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
145.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-137.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.43
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
7.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.31
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
6.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.50
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
6.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.45
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
6.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.18
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
56.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
56.18
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.18
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
176.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.9650
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
176.31
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-170.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.17
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
107.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.9437
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
107.80
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-101.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.07
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Putin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
5.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.90
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
5.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.88
|
Trades
|
Was @SECGov really hacked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
✅ |
5.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.57
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
-24.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.40
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Moon" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6467
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-9.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.30
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.92
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3413
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3.92
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8250
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
✅ |
-24.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
✅ |
5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.25
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
73.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.9290
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
73.66
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-68.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.23
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
5.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.10
|
Trades
|
Will Menendez announce resignation by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Trump contempt of court by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8550
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-25.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.35
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
4.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.26
|
Trades
|
Will WIF hit $1 by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
6.76
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
6.76
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.26
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.20
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be released by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
3.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
120.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9679
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
120.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-116.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.85
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
3.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.84
|
Trades
|
Will Young Thug's new album have over 140k sales in its first week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-11.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
19.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.8119
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
19.67
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-15.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.70
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9403
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
60.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-56.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.59
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
41.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9136
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
41.11
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-37.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.55
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
90.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9607
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
90.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-86.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.54
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
✅ |
3.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.48
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9233
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-41.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.45
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.41
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.41
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
✅ |
3.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.35
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7767
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-11.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.35
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-11.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.30
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-9.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.25
|
Trades
|
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.8412
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.21
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.21
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
3.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.15
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1525
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
3.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.05
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
3.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.01
|
Trades
|
AI on Amazon speaker by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9650
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
80.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-77.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9743
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
105.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
-102.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.70
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.83
|
0.00% |
|
0.9621
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
70.83
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-68.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.68
|
Trades
|
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9766
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
110.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-107.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.58
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-12.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.55
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-12.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.55
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.55
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
TikTok/UMG deal before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
17.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
17.44
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.44
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.9421
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
42.10
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-39.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.44
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 25 2024
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
✅ |
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
37.23
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.23
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on August 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
67.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9678
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
67.32
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 01 2023
|
✅ |
-65.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.17
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-12.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Swift + Kelce break up by end of NFL season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Jan 07 2024
|
✅ |
-12.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
95.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9784
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
95.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-92.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.05
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9550
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
45.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-42.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.02
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.95
|
Trades
|
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
✅ |
1.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.95
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
1.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.95
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
16.85
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.85
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
1.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.69
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9632
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.01
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-43.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.66
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 13 2023
|
✅ |
1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.65
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9678
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
50.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-48.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.61
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from May to Jun 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
5.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
✅ |
-3.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from May to June 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
✅ |
1.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.55
|
Trades
|
Was the moon landing faked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9723
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
55.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-53.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
88.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.9830
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
88.99
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-87.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Who will crowdfund more money: Policeman or Nahel? |
Police |
Nahel |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 07 2023
|
✅ |
-13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
✅ |
-13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump post on Threads by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck KO Musk? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9667
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-43.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-28.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Adam22 and Lena The Plug break up this month? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
36.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
36.22
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-34.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.45
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9763
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
60.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-58.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.42
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
205.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.9934
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
205.04
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
-203.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.35
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck |
Musk |
Zuck |
26.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4487
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
13.03
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-11.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.34
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.15
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.31
|
Trades
|
Will Ben Armstrong (Bitboy) get KO'd? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.17
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
56.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.9809
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
56.97
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-55.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.09
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-13.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Messi win Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop by June 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? |
Yes |
No |
26.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9651
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
26.28
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-25.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.92
|
Trades
|
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-9.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $4k today? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.9468
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.84
|
Thu Mar 07 2024
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.84
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.79
|
Trades
|
Rollbit rug by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Will the richer man win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $120 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
✅ |
-14.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
TikTok sale announced in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.75
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.68
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9550
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-14.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9550
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-14.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.68
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
$BITCOIN (HPOS10i) all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9843
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
40.23
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-39.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.63
|
Trades
|
Will $USDT depeg by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Is Vivek Ramaswamy GCR? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
65.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9910
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
65.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-64.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.9720
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20.58
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.58
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Colorado Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
70.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9920
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
70.18
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-69.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.56
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
45.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9882
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
45.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-44.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.53
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Utah Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
90.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9955
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
90.36
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-89.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.37
|
Trades
|
Is the Earth flat? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.36
|
Trades
|
Killers of the Flower Moon vs. Taylor Swift |
Killers |
Taylor Swift |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
✅ |
0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift endorse Biden at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9770
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-14.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter sue Meta by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
White House cokehead arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
✅ |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by October 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
-4.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.25
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win North Carolina Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
150.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9984
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
150.18
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-149.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.24
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Alaska Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
63.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9965
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
63.03
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-62.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Is Google shutting down Gmail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
85.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.9978
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
85.11
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
-84.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.15
|
0.00% |
|
0.9950
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.15
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Maine Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
38.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9966
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
38.04
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-37.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Minnesota Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
45.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9971
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
45.06
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-44.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Texas Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
105.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9988
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
105.13
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Tennessee Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
100.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9988
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
100.12
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Macron remain President of France through July 10? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9920
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
✅ |
-14.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Was the Super Bowl rigged? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.9958
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
27.62
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-27.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Biden win Washington Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9900
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 12 2024
|
✅ |
-9.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Virginia Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
95.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
95.09
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Oklahoma Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
90.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
90.09
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
38.06
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9977
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
38.06
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-37.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Arkansas Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
83.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
83.08
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-83.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
25.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.05
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Alabama Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
32.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9990
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
32.03
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-32.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.9690
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.03
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Jesus Christ return by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-14.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
TRUMP all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
25.02
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will Do Kwon be extradited to the United States or South Korea? |
United States |
South Korea |
0.00
|
4.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
2.32
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Max Verstappen win every remaining Grand Prix in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
WIF Sphere raises $650k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0567
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.85
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
24.43
|
0.00% |
|
1.0534
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
24.43
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-25.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.31
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.65
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.75
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2750
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-2.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.75
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-3.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.35
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
-3.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.71
|
Trades
|
Will NYC give migrant families $10,000? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2025
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.05
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-4.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.80
|
Trades
|
Will PVV win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
86.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0580
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? |
Yes |
No |
10.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4700
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 22 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "fentanyl" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
38.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.1300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.25
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.30
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.40
|
Trades
|
Will Drake drop his album on time? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Dillon Danis release 'the picture'? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
71.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0844
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-6.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.05
|
Trades
|
Will Haley beat DeSantis in Iowa? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
✅ |
-6.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.39
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-7.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.18
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 16 2023
|
✅ |
-9.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.75
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.8500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-10.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.65
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-11.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.55
|
Trades
|
Drake's 'For All the Dogs" over 300k sales week 1? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8950
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
15.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-26.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.85
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.6940
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
✅ |
-12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.50
|
Trades
|
Will Fabiano Caruana win 2023 Norway Chess? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
✅ |
-12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.50
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-12.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.75
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
✅ |
-13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.50
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' flop? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-18.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.90
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.7200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3425
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-20.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.55
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
41.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6942
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
-28.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.48
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9625
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-28.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.88
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win any state on Super Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
2.9575
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
✅ |
-29.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.57
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.7709
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-32.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.98
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley or Ron DeSantis drop out first? |
Haley |
DeSantis |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-43.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.60
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.74
|
0.00% |
|
2.4179
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-45.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.30
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
59.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.8599
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
-51.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.15
|
Trades
|
“All I want for Christmas is You” #1 on Billboard Hot 100 first week of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
5,618.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0105
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 06 2024
|
✅ |
-58.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.82
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
74.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.8620
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
✅ |
-64.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-64.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
35.00
|
0.00% |
|
3.6376
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
35.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
✅ |
-127.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.31
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
149.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7302
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
✅ |
-108.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-108.81
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-177.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-177.53
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
508.25
|
0.00% |
|
0.4185
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-212.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-212.68
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
407.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.6277
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-255.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-255.49
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,059.64
|
12,349.02
|
|
|
-12,062.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,345.92
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1,003.79
|
1,041.05
|
|
|
-7,249.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,204.35
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3,063.43
|
13,390.07
|
|
|
-19,311.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,858.42
|
|