Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.5200
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
4.50
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.7100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Doge ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
11.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
14.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1984
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-2.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.90
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
94.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1373
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.00
|
Trades
|
Solana ETF approved in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
86.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-13.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
141.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
141.67
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
124.67
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
121.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0330
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
141.67
|
0.00
|
|
|
-21.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
120.67
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
|
|
-36.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.39
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
141.67
|
4.50
|
|
|
-57.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.28
|
|