Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
2.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.30
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.20
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Milady outperform BAYC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
✅ |
13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.50
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
12.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.30
|
Trades
|
USD/TRY (Turkish Lira) above 21 on June 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
✅ |
12.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.20
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
11.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.90
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
11.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.40
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
11.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.30
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
10.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.50
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
✅ |
10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.10
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
✅ |
3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
✅ |
1.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.71
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
1k |
2k |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-9.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.70
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.52
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-9.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will ChatGPT remain free through April 30? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
10.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
-9.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
✅ |
-9.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
-9.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.30
|
Trades
|
Tensor airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will USDC redemption or minting be halted in the U.S. by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
✅ |
-9.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
-9.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Kamino airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 28 2024
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Wormhole airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will $XRP hit $1 by July 20? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 20 2023
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
marginfi airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
✅ |
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.90
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 27 2024
|
✅ |
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.62
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.93
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.60
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
✅ |
-3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.70
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
✅ |
-3.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.70
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 06 2023
|
✅ |
-4.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.70
|
Trades
|
$ETH above $2000 on April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
✅ |
-5.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.60
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.30
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.00
|
60.01
|
|
|
-23.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.37
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.20
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.00
|
60.01
|
|
|
-17.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.57
|
|