Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
1,066.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,066.60
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
471.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
471.85
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
266.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-130.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.49
|
Trades
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-810.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-810.63
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,880.66
|
0.00% |
|
0.8337
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-4,068.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,068.91
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,032.07
|
0.00% |
|
0.8596
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-6,045.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,045.02
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
7,292.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,292.11
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
3,545.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,545.98
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1,496.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,496.00
|
Trades
|
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
575.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
575.08
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
190.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
190.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-95.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
149.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
149.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
-120.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.31
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
142.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
142.82
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-132.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.06
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.8100
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.53
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-8.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will SOL outperform ETH in January? |
Yes |
No |
10.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.87
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
3,700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0532
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-197.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-197.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-209.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-209.22
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
4,250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1475
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-627.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-627.00
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
864.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.7755
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-670.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-670.01
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-3,095.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,095.67
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21,748.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.6747
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-14,672.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14,672.88
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
492.35
|
|
|
-6,915.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,423.11
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-9,516.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9,516.62
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
492.35
|
|
|
-16,432.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15,939.73
|
|