Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
✅ |
5,602.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,602.40
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
3,808.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,808.83
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
2,063.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,063.49
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
871.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
871.18
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
7,924.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8905
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7,924.90
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
✅ |
-7,057.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
867.66
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
867.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
867.33
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
461.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
461.69
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
✅ |
440.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
440.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
244.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
244.48
|
Trades
|
Did US GDP grow 1.0% or more in Q2 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
✅ |
206.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
206.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
94.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.38
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
74.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
✅ |
51.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.52
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,100 on June 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 24 2022
|
✅ |
43.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.28
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
✅ |
39.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.67
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. 30 year Treasury bond yield close above 3% on August 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.41
|
0.00% |
|
-1.7501
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
✅ |
7.71
|
3.94
|
0.00
|
11.65
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron say COVID vaccine could've caused Bronny's cardiac arrest? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
500.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
✅ |
-490.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a recession in Q2 of 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
✅ |
8.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.76
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.01
|
0.00% |
|
1.9965
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 29 2022
|
✅ |
-11.99
|
19.15
|
0.00
|
7.16
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 11 2022
|
✅ |
6.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.65
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
6.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.30
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 1? |
Yes |
No |
4.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.6519
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
3.00
|
3.09
|
0.00
|
6.09
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic play in the 2022 US Open? |
Yes |
No |
9.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5978
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 30 2022
|
✅ |
5.48
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
5.57
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
30.53
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
-29.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.53
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2000 again before the merge? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 22 2022
|
✅ |
0.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.83
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
37.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
37.29
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
-36.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $7 on July 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.76
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1282
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
✅ |
0.74
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.74
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.73
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 18, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
✅ |
0.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.57
|
Trades
|
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.0013
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.01
|
0.32
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on July 18, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 18 2022
|
✅ |
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase support Polygon USDC deposits & withdrawals by June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
✅ |
0.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.21
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
0.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.16
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
✅ |
0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.13
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
✅ |
-0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.21
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.0490
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 15 2022
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH fall below $1,000 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
4.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2333
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
✅ |
-0.95
|
0.04
|
0.00
|
-0.91
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,000 on July 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.11
|
0.00% |
|
0.5056
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 08 2022
|
✅ |
-1.57
|
0.65
|
0.00
|
-0.92
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on July 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 22 2022
|
✅ |
-0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.96
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
-1.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.22
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? |
Yes |
No |
7.10
|
0.00
|
0.05% |
0.5082
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 26 2022
|
✅ |
-3.61
|
1.18
|
0.00
|
-2.43
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
178.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0477
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-8.50
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
-7.75
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on September 12, 2022? (OCT 2022 Future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Sep 12 2022
|
✅ |
-9.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.30
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $6 on June 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
3.6347
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
-16.00
|
0.86
|
0.00
|
-15.14
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
4.07
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
8.7969
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
✅ |
-35.83
|
0.25
|
0.00
|
-35.58
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
206.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.4700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
✅ |
-96.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-96.90
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter profile @ElonJet remain active through September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
✅ |
-493.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-493.24
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,924.94
|
567.83
|
|
|
6,617.99
|
30.38
|
0.00
|
15,141.14
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7,924.94
|
567.83
|
|
|
6,617.99
|
30.38
|
0.00
|
15,141.14
|
|