Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
2.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.33
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.05
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
6.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.77
|
Trades
|
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3,355.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
β
|
-3.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.36
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
48.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2472
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-12.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.10
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
40.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
219.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.6191
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
219.92
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-136.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
83.78
|
Trades
|
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "abortion" be said 5 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
8.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.26
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0250
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Creator' gross over $17m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
66.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.03
|
Trades
|
Colts vs. Titans |
Colts |
Titans |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-33.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-33.00
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
β
|
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will PiS get over 36% of votes in the 2023 Polish parliamentary election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
29.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.12
|
Trades
|
Ecuador Presidential Election: Will Luisa GonzΓ‘lez win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-29.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.50
|
Trades
|
Saints vs. Jaguars |
Saints |
Jaguars |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 19 2023
|
β
|
26.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.15
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
46.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
46.12
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0546
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-1.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.64
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Seahawks vs. Cardinals |
Seahawks |
Cardinals |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.00
|
Trades
|
Chiefs vs. Chargers |
Chiefs |
Chargers |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
20.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Vikings vs. 49ers |
Vikings |
49ers |
0.00
|
7.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 23 2023
|
β
|
-5.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.41
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
9.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.58
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
14.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.98
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.88
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
31.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.49
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
30.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.80
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
26.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7504
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.21
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
119.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
119.68
|
Trades
|
Magic vs. Lakers |
Magic |
Lakers |
0.00
|
40.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 04 2023
|
β
|
-24.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.40
|
Trades
|
Knicks vs. Clippers |
Knicks |
Clippers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
52.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.73
|
Trades
|
Thunder vs. Hawks |
Thunder |
Hawks |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 06 2023
|
β
|
27.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.74
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-9.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.41
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
78.12
|
0.00% |
|
0.7098
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-55.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-55.45
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
19.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.50
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9000
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
400.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-360.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5480
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-13.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.70
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship lift 500m from pad by Nov 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
694.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
694.38
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 23 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
227.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0660
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
28.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.60
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 29 2023
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Ledger hacker identified by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.8200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5.56
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-273.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-273.53
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
243.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6714
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
243.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-163.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.85
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.15
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
4.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
129.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129.81
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
40.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.99
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.12
|
Trades
|
Ravens vs. Chiefs |
Ravens |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
15.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.73
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Lions |
49ers |
Lions |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
-25.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.54
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
1.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
β
|
-20.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.03
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
8.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.26
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-25.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.13
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.28
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
189.70
|
0.00
|
3.13% |
0.0289
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-5.47
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
-4.07
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-1.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.26
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
β
|
-5.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.44
|
Trades
|
Will 'PAW Patrol: The Mighty Movie' gross over $16m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-0.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.89
|
Trades
|
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.02
|
908.51
|
|
|
117.44
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
1,047.38
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
1.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.91
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20.02
|
908.51
|
|
|
119.35
|
0.00
|
1.40
|
1,049.29
|
|