538: Will voters prefer Democrats or Republicans on Election Day? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-90.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.58
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Demings) or Republican (Rubio) win in Florida? |
Democrat |
Republican |
15,593.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0275
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-428.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-428.05
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Beasley) or Republican (Budd) win in North Carolina? |
Democrat |
Republican |
27,049.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1199
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-3,242.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,242.00
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
34,105.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0304
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-1,036.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,036.97
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,454.05
|
0.00% |
|
-17.9531
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
44,057.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44,057.77
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
32,750.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1304
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-4,270.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4,270.00
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
336.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-8.3884
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
2,819.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,819.91
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Ryan) or Republican (Vance) win in Ohio? |
Democrat |
Republican |
34,051.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0661
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-2,250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,250.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
7.84
|
0.00% |
|
-16540.1291
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
129,750.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
129,750.43
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
659,993.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1320
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
✅ |
-87,104.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-87,104.33
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 11? |
Yes |
No |
1,190.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0420
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 11 2022
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
199.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
199.34
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Barnes) or Republican (Johnson) win in Wisconsin? |
Democrat |
Republican |
10,870.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1242
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
-1,350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,350.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
62.23
|
0.00% |
|
-27.9166
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
✅ |
1,737.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,737.38
|
Trades
|
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,920.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0234
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
✅ |
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nexo become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
408.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2448
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-185.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-185.70
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pull out of their FTX deal? |
Yes |
No |
4,929.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6086
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
4,929.59
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-3,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,929.59
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
888.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
888.86
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-2.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.12
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
46,692.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0834
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
-3,892.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,892.53
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,929.60
|
0.00
|
|
|
72,406.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77,335.99
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,929.60
|
0.00
|
|
|
72,406.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77,335.99
|
|