Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
75.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.53
|
Trades
|
Unknown |
0 |
1 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
68.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.91
|
Trades
|
Will Marine Le Pen win 2nd place in the first round of the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 10 2022
|
✅ |
19.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.56
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $LUNA be above $90 on March 26, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 26 2022
|
✅ |
13.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.91
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 30 2022
|
✅ |
13.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.67
|
Trades
|
Triton Poker: Will Jason Koon place 1st in at least one event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 07 2022
|
✅ |
11.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.90
|
Trades
|
Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
✅ |
10.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.46
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.90
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 24 2022
|
✅ |
4.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.81
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
3.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.47
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 10 2022
|
✅ |
2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.70
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be below 10 ETH on April 22? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Fri Apr 22 2022
|
✅ |
2.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.51
|
Trades
|
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 30 2022
|
✅ |
1.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.38
|
Trades
|
Will ApeCoin (APE) be below $4.20 on 4/20/2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Apr 20 2022
|
✅ |
0.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.62
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
✅ |
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.60
|
Trades
|
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
✅ |
0.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.31
|
Trades
|
Will Russia expand its number of federal subjects by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
43.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0457
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
✅ |
-7.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.52
|
Trades
|
Will the Moscow Stock Exchange market (MOEX) open for trading by March 25, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
128.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.0718
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 25 2022
|
✅ |
-9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.20
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 31 2022
|
✅ |
-12.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.53
|
Trades
|
Triton Poker: Will Phil Ivey place 1st in at least one event? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
117.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.8552
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Apr 07 2022
|
✅ |
-100.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.77
|
Trades
|
Will Russia's ambassador to any EU country be recalled or expelled before June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
✅ |
-102.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.18
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
|
|
-65.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.87
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
68.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.91
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
|
|
3.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.04
|
|