Taylor Swift pregnant in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
5.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.50
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Hamas still holding hostages through end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? |
Yes |
No |
45.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0942
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-4.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.30
|
Trades
|
Will Argentina dollarize in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1400
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-6.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.30
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-7.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.20
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7982
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.78
|
Trades
|
Trump $83.3m verdict reduced on appeal? |
Yes |
No |
126.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1721
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-21.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-21.69
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6680
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-50.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.10
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,667.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,667.80
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
577.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
577.25
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
519.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
519.19
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
454.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
454.95
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.02
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
321.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
321.32
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Phoenix Suns vs. LA Clippers |
Suns |
Clippers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
249.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
249.25
|
Trades
|
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
235.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.93
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
234.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
234.26
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.02
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
220.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
220.11
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
212.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.68
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
2,305.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0910
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
209.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
209.83
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman testify before congress by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
201.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
201.76
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
193.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
193.53
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
185.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
185.83
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention Fentanyl 5 or more times in the 2023 State of the Union? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 07 2023
|
β
|
181.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
181.81
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
162.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
162.18
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
160.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
160.24
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
143.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
143.60
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
β
|
142.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
142.16
|
Trades
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1326
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
132.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.55
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
132.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
132.29
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.6354
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
131.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.77
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Montana State Bobcats 2023-03-17 |
Kansas State |
Montana State |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
131.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.53
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
126.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.63
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Lions |
49ers |
Lions |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
126.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
126.31
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $16m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
573.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2076
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
118.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.95
|
Trades
|
BTC above $26,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
118.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.78
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Finals: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics |
Heat |
Celtics |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
118.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.75
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester United make it out of their group? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
115.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.32
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,850 on April 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
107.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.07
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
105.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.67
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
99.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
99.24
|
Trades
|
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl LVII? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 12 2023
|
β
|
99.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
99.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
94.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.73
|
Trades
|
UFC 286: Who will win - Edwards or Usman? |
Edwards |
Usman |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
91.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.73
|
Trades
|
North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
91.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
91.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
85.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0215
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
86.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
86.83
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
85.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
85.04
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
84.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
84.82
|
Trades
|
Parlay: US Bitcoin Spot and ETH Futures ETF this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
82.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
82.34
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
80.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.51
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
77.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.88
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
77.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.71
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
575.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1343
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
77.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.25
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Packers |
49ers |
Packers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
76.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
76.63
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
73.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.14
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,900 on April 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 12 2023
|
β
|
73.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.10
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
71.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
71.75
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
570.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1165
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
66.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.41
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
727.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0907
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
65.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.99
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
497.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1283
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
63.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.83
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1225
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
61.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 02 2023
|
β
|
60.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60.48
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
59.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.01
|
Trades
|
Will Threads be the most popular app a week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
58.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.06
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
51.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.96
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
48.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.98
|
Trades
|
Patriots vs. Dolphins |
Patriots |
Dolphins |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
48.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.56
|
Trades
|
Jets vs. Chiefs |
Jets |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
47.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.51
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
167.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2658
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
44.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.45
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors |
Lakers |
Warriors |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
β
|
44.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.37
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
43.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.92
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
357.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1228
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
43.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.85
|
Trades
|
BTC above $23,456.78 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
43.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.68
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
118.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.3584
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
42.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.30
|
Trades
|
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? |
$1 first |
$2 first |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
41.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.48
|
Trades
|
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
40.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.25
|
Trades
|
Will Neymar leave PSG? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
40.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
40.16
|
Trades
|
Will the "Chinese spy balloon" be down by February 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 05 2023
|
β
|
37.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.92
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.06
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
β
|
37.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.78
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
37.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.48
|
Trades
|
Will the Celtics be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
37.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.45
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
180.18
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2050
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
36.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.93
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
36.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.82
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
275.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1187
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
32.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.63
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Purdue Boilermakers vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights 2023-03-17 |
Purdue |
Fairleigh Dickinson |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
32.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.50
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
31.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.60
|
Trades
|
Will Israel Adesanya win by finish? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 04 2023
|
β
|
31.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Navalny" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
30.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.70
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Texas Longhorns vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-03-26 |
Texas |
Miami (FL) |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 26 2023
|
β
|
30.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.59
|
Trades
|
Giants vs. Seahawks |
Giants |
Seahawks |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
30.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.34
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
29.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.94
|
Trades
|
India Election: Modi reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
29.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.42
|
Trades
|
Will β₯10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.24
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.24
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
28.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.42
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $35m over August 11-13? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2715
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 13 2023
|
β
|
27.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.15
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
26.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.50
|
Trades
|
Will Atiku Abubakar be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-1.0540
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
26.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.35
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
26.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26.18
|
Trades
|
Bills vs. Chiefs |
Bills |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 21 2024
|
β
|
25.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.81
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
25.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.73
|
Trades
|
Houthis strike U.S. military by end of January? |
Yes |
No |
138.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1795
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
24.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.81
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
24.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.25
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
23.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.98
|
Trades
|
Vikings vs. Buccaneers |
Vikings |
Buccaneers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
23.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.03
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers |
Celtics |
76ers |
0.00
|
115.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1907
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
β
|
21.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.93
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
21.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.17
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
164.66
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1201
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
19.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.78
|
Trades
|
NFL Saturday: Giants vs. Eagles |
Giants |
Eagles |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 21 2023
|
β
|
19.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.76
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
19.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.28
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,850 on April 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.47
|
0.00% |
|
-0.3691
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 04 2023
|
β
|
19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'John Wick: Chapter 4' gross more than $80 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 26 2023
|
β
|
18.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Heat be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
217.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0826
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
17.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.92
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
17.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.88
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
17.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.67
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick McHenry be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
17.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.30
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
375.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0437
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
16.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.37
|
Trades
|
Ravens vs. Texans |
Ravens |
Texans |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
16.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.20
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
16.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.07
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
15.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.06
|
Trades
|
NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2023-05-29 |
Celtics |
Heat |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
14.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.50
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
13.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.77
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© sign for Real Madrid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
12.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.72
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
156.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0812
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
12.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.70
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
105.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1195
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
12.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.61
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Tuesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 21 2023
|
β
|
11.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.83
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1750 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
11.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.75
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
11.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.48
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
β
|
11.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.20
|
Trades
|
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz |
Paul |
Diaz |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.4400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 05 2023
|
β
|
11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.00
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
867.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0125
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
10.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.81
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1.25 on April 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
10.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.48
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,850 on April 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 09 2023
|
β
|
10.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.48
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
127.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0816
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
10.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.36
|
Trades
|
UFC 287: Who will win - Burns or Masvidal? |
Burns |
Masvidal |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
10.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.35
|
Trades
|
NBA: Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat 2023-05-19 |
Celtics |
Heat |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 19 2023
|
β
|
10.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.20
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
9.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.99
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 14 2023
|
β
|
8.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.90
|
Trades
|
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.75
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
61.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1335
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
8.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.25
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
β
|
8.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.01
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.02
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
7.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.61
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
7.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.51
|
Trades
|
Will Erling Haaland break the Premier League goals record in the 22/23 season? (34 goals) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
β
|
7.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.33
|
Trades
|
UFC 284: Who will win - Makhachev or Volkanovski? |
Makhachev |
Volkanovski |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 11 2023
|
β
|
7.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.21
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Cleveland Cavaliers vs. New York Knicks |
Cavaliers |
Knicks |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
6.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.84
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets sweep the Heat? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 11 2023
|
β
|
6.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.55
|
Trades
|
Binance insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
515.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0127
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
6.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.54
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on October 13? |
Yes |
No |
38.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.1667
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
6.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.42
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
120.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0532
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
6.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.40
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. UConn Huskies 2023-03-25 |
Gonzaga |
UConn |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 25 2023
|
β
|
6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.00
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: UConn (-7.5) v. San Diego State |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0575
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
β
|
5.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.75
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
5.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.57
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Gonzaga Bulldogs vs. TCU Horned Frogs 2023-03-19 |
Gonzaga |
TCU |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 19 2023
|
β
|
5.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.55
|
Trades
|
Will "The Fabelmans" win the Oscar for Best Picture |
Yes |
No |
92.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0564
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
5.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.21
|
Trades
|
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
5.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.18
|
Trades
|
Will Holly Mitchell replace Feinstein? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 04 2024
|
β
|
4.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.95
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
4.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.77
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.2725
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
4.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.36
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
66.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0653
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
4.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.34
|
Trades
|
Continued US strikes against Houthis? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
3.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.95
|
Trades
|
Starlink available in Gaza by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
3.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.89
|
Trades
|
Haaland to break PL goal record this season? |
Yes |
No |
5.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.7444
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.85
|
Trades
|
Coinbase a top 25 app in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
3.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.82
|
Trades
|
Will Nikola Jokic win 2023 NBA MVP? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.75
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
300.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0117
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 15 2023
|
β
|
3.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.53
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 8? |
Yes |
No |
501.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0063
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
3.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.14
|
Trades
|
Will RFK Jr. announce Libertarian Party bid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 26 2024
|
β
|
3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.10
|
Trades
|
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.00
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
353.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0081
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
2.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.86
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
247.06
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0097
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Sacramento Kings vs. Golden State Warriors |
Kings |
Warriors |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.25
|
Trades
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.09
|
Trades
|
Bills vs. Raiders |
Bills |
Raiders |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.89
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
1.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.52
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
1.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.51
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
1.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.49
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
1.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.46
|
Trades
|
US Ethereum ETF approved in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Will Bob Iger remain CEO of Disney through September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
122.32
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0117
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
1.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.43
|
Trades
|
Steelers vs. 49ers |
Steelers |
49ers |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.42
|
Trades
|
Buccaneers vs. Bears |
Buccaneers |
Bears |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.42
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-8.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Nuggets be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.09
|
Trades
|
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
1.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.03
|
Trades
|
Fight Night: Who will win - Krylov or Spann? (2023-03-11) |
Krylov |
Spann |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 10 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,850 on June 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
β
|
0.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.95
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be federally indicted by May 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Spain win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
0.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.90
|
Trades
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Will Spirit Airlines announce bankruptcy by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
0.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.50
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
97.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0041
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.40
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.34
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Inventor' gross over $8m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
109.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0030
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
0.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.33
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0164
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
0.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
169.09
|
0.00% |
|
-0.0011
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Patrick Cantlay win the 2023 Masters Tournament? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.03
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.05
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will the Diamondbacks win the World Series? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 03 2023
|
β
|
-0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.08
|
Trades
|
Bills vs. Giants |
Bills |
Giants |
0.00
|
1.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0010
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
105.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0011
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
63.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.13
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Bills |
Bengals |
Bills |
0.00
|
14.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 22 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Will Bo Nickal finish Jamie Pickett in the first round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
NFL Saturday: Jaguars vs. Chiefs |
Jaguars |
Chiefs |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 21 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
110.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0017
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.19
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs. Drake Bulldogs 2023-03-17 |
Miami (FL) |
Drake |
0.00
|
19.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.19
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0019
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0020
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Creighton Blue Jays vs. Princeton Tigers 2023-03-24 |
Creighton |
Princeton |
0.00
|
1.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.22
|
Trades
|
Chargers vs. Bears |
Chargers |
Bears |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
β
|
-0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.22
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-0.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.24
|
Trades
|
Will another flying object be downed by the U.S. on February 18? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Sum of the seeds of the final four >10.5 in 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0110
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.28
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
28.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.29
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be greater than 0.6% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will Byron Donalds be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0060
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0130
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.32
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
7.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0511
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: Sum of points over 132.5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
β
|
-0.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.37
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
75.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0051
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.38
|
Trades
|
Vikings vs. Chargers |
Vikings |
Chargers |
4.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
β
|
-0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.44
|
Trades
|
Will the Phillies win the World Series? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 03 2023
|
β
|
-0.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.47
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
317.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.0015
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.49
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $70k today? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Giants vs. Cowboys |
Giants |
Cowboys |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sergio Massa win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Shein IPO at a $90b valuation? |
Yes |
No |
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2750
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-0.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.55
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
147.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0040
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.59
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be greater than 0.5% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
Who Gets Sacked First: Erik ten Hag or Mauricio Pochettino? |
ten Hag |
Pochettino |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.60
|
Trades
|
UFC 288: Who will win - Andrade or Yan? |
Andrade |
Yan |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
-0.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.62
|
Trades
|
Chargers vs. Dolphins |
Chargers |
Dolphins |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
-0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.63
|
Trades
|
Will a team from the East win 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.65
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
14.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0462
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.69
|
Trades
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
130.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0054
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Michigan State Spartans 2023-03-23 |
Kansas State |
Michigan State |
0.00
|
7.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 23 2023
|
β
|
-0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Twitter" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
16.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0469
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Super Bowl" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be more than 0.3% from December 2022 to January 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
39.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 14 2023
|
β
|
-0.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.79
|
Trades
|
Will Ian Miles Cheong be arrested in February? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0320
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.80
|
Trades
|
Falcons vs. Packers |
Falcons |
Packers |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
-0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.85
|
Trades
|
NBA: Atlanta Hawks vs. Boston Celtics 2023-04-23 |
Hawks |
Celtics |
98.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 23 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,100 on April 19? |
Yes |
No |
99.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 18 2023
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.99
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
49.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 09 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than -0.1% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
99.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will US inflation be greater than 0.4% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.0339
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "AI" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will First Republic Bank fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.0% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jayson Tatum win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jamal Murray win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 7 games long? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 5 games long? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Nuggets v. Heat Finals Series be 6 games long? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the RNC primary debate on August 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 18 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 08 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "China/Chinese" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Putin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
84.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0125
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
CZ jail in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
53.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0196
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Greg Hirsch be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
326.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0032
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat |
Bucks |
Heat |
105.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? |
Yes |
No |
154.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0068
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-1.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.05
|
Trades
|
Will Petr Pavel win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.0109
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0073
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0110
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.10
|
Trades
|
Will the Astros win the World Series? |
Yes |
No |
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0111
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 03 2023
|
β
|
-1.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.12
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? |
Yes |
No |
127.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0089
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.13
|
Trades
|
Will Andrej Babis win the 2023 Czech Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0112
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.13
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Cowboys vs. 49ers |
Cowboys |
49ers |
115.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 22 2023
|
β
|
-1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.15
|
Trades
|
Dolphins vs. Giants |
Dolphins |
Giants |
0.00
|
101.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0114
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-1.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.15
|
Trades
|
Will a team from the Midwest win 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Will 'Shazam! Fury of the Gods' gross more than $25 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 19 2023
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Knicks be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
102.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0118
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.20
|
Trades
|
Rams vs. 49ers |
Rams |
49ers |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.25
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
β
|
-1.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.25
|
Trades
|
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
226.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0059
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-1.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.34
|
Trades
|
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
-1.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.35
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
310.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0045
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Explosion at Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant by Sep 30? |
Yes |
No |
126.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0111
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.40
|
Trades
|
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.0071
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-1.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.42
|
Trades
|
Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
71.58
|
0.00% |
|
0.0205
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.47
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 10 days? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 04 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will βThe Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakesβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0030
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
65.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0230
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.50
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos remain in Congress through March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
126.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0121
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.52
|
Trades
|
Will Israel attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Peter Obi be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.60
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
537.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0030
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.61
|
Trades
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.0161
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
-1.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.62
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
201.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0086
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-1.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.74
|
Trades
|
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? |
Yes |
No |
316.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0055
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
-1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.75
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC hit $32,000 by Aug 4? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 04 2023
|
β
|
-1.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.75
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0367
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-1.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.87
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Edmond Mulet win? |
Yes |
No |
183.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0103
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-1.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.88
|
Trades
|
Will Jimmy Butler win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? |
Yes |
No |
115.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0165
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
115.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0165
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© sign for Real Madrid? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 01 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its December meeting? |
Yes |
No |
72.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0276
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 14 2022
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will a team from the South win 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will a team from the West win 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Western Alliance Bancorp fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from April to May 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Roman Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou |
Fury |
Ngannou |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Ukraine/Ukranian" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Bitcoin" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0020
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
391.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0052
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.02
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Zury RΓos win? |
Yes |
No |
135.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0153
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.07
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
202.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0102
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.07
|
Trades
|
Another North Korea missile test by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
201.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0104
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.09
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from March to April 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 09 2023
|
β
|
-2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0614
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-2.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.15
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
81.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0268
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.17
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0110
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.20
|
Trades
|
Jets vs. Dolphins |
Jets |
Dolphins |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0180
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
-2.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.25
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
127.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0181
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
-2.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.31
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on February 24? |
Yes |
No |
102.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0233
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 24 2023
|
β
|
-2.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.39
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on May 6? |
Yes |
No |
24.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 06 2023
|
β
|
-2.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.44
|
Trades
|
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? |
Yes |
No |
44.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0554
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.47
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,100 on April 16? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 15 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will a #1 seed win 2023 March Madness? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $10 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Houston Cougars vs. Miami (FL) Hurricanes 2023-03-24 |
Houston |
Miami (FL) |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
NBA: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks 2023-05-06 |
Heat |
Knicks |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 06 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Jaguars vs. Texans |
Jaguars |
Texans |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Jets vs. Patriots |
Jets |
Patriots |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 24 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win California Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0333
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Feb 28, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
150.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0168
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 28 2023
|
β
|
-2.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.54
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
77.81
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0330
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.56
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $1,000 or $2,000 first? |
1k |
2k |
75.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0344
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.58
|
Trades
|
Will SBF plead guilty by August 21? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0130
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 21 2023
|
β
|
-2.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.60
|
Trades
|
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
81.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0327
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-2.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.65
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
149.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.0177
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.65
|
Trades
|
Tucker Carlson + Putin interview over 300 million views on X in first 24 hours? |
Yes |
No |
1,101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0025
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-2.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.71
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? |
Yes |
No |
339.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0087
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-2.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.94
|
Trades
|
Will Biden visit Saudi Arabia in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0369
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.95
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
255.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0116
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-2.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.96
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Cowboys vs. Jets |
Cowboys |
Jets |
0.00
|
120.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0250
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 17 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Israel ground offensive in Rafah by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
100.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0299
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-3.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.02
|
Trades
|
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.1028
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-3.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
103.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0294
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-3.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.03
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
98.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0312
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.09
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Trabucco be federally charged by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
46.44
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0668
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.10
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Will there be at least 4 finishes on the main card? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
-3.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.15
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
80.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.20
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
160.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.21
|
Trades
|
Will the Warriors be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
91.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0357
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.25
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns |
Nuggets |
Suns |
0.00
|
50.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0650
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
β
|
-3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.25
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high today? |
Yes |
No |
35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0929
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-3.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.25
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
224.91
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0145
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.26
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1550 on March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
329.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.0105
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-3.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.45
|
Trades
|
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
77.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0451
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-3.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.47
|
Trades
|
Will PP win a plurality in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
253.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0137
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
-3.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.47
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0350
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will the new "mystery balloon" be downed by May 2? |
Yes |
No |
27.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1286
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? |
Yes |
No |
90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0389
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Trump" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-3.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.50
|
Trades
|
Lions vs. Buccaneers |
Lions |
Buccaneers |
0.00
|
30.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.1183
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 21 2024
|
β
|
-3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.60
|
Trades
|
Will Lukas Matsson be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
249.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will Russia use a nuclear weapon by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
141.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0265
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
172.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0217
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.75
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
27.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1433
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-3.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.87
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
411.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.0095
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
β
|
-3.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.92
|
Trades
|
Will unverified Twitter users be able to see more than 1k posts per day by July 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0533
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 10 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Meghan Markle & Prince Harry split by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Lions vs. Rams |
Lions |
Rams |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Google or NVIDIA be worth more on March 1? |
Google |
NVIDIA |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will Grayscale win v. SEC? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
161.60
|
0.00% |
|
0.0252
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.08
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
20.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2024
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-4.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.12
|
Trades
|
Will 'Gran Turismo' gross over $22m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0210
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
-4.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.20
|
Trades
|
Another African coup by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
8.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.21
|
Trades
|
NBA: Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Lakers 2023-05-10 |
Warriors |
Lakers |
0.00
|
75.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0567
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 10 2023
|
β
|
-4.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.25
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Folks" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0722
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-4.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.33
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
401.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0110
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
β
|
-4.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
113.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0396
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-4.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.52
|
Trades
|
Will CZ remain CEO of Binance through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0153
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.60
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
148.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0315
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-4.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.68
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
475.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-4.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.75
|
Trades
|
Will Shiv Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
276.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0177
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-4.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.88
|
Trades
|
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2023 NBA Finals MVP? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0250
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 287: Who will win - Pereira or Adesanya? |
Pereira |
Adesanya |
11.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
UFC 286: Who will win - Nelson or Barberena? |
Nelson |
Barberena |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 12 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift at the Super Bowl? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
475.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0108
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.14
|
Trades
|
Will Bola Tinubu be elected as President of Nigeria in the upcoming 2023 Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
339.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.0152
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 25 2023
|
β
|
-5.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.17
|
Trades
|
Will VOX win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
127.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0415
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
-5.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.27
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0703
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-5.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.28
|
Trades
|
Will PP win over 33.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
216.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0251
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
-5.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.42
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from February to March 2023? |
Yes |
No |
109.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0508
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 11 2023
|
β
|
-5.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.56
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
227.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0247
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-5.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.63
|
Trades
|
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat 2023-06-01 |
Nuggets |
Heat |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2340
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-5.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.85
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Playoffs: First Round - Boston Celtics vs. Atlanta Hawks |
Celtics |
Hawks |
0.00
|
241.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0245
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.90
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
40.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.1444
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-5.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.91
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
123.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0483
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-5.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.96
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
225.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0267
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
NBA: Denver Nuggets vs. Phoenix Suns 2023-05-01 |
Nuggets |
Suns |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye announce he is running for president by July 11? |
Yes |
No |
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0603
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
β
|
-6.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.09
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Balloon" during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
151.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0423
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-6.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.39
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
214.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0298
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-6.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.40
|
Trades
|
UFC 286: Who will win - Gaethje or Fiziev? |
Gaethje |
Fiziev |
0.00
|
21.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.3000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
-6.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.43
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt create a new market by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
119.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0565
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.72
|
Trades
|
Will CZ be arrested by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
475.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0143
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-6.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.79
|
Trades
|
Will Sumar win over 13.5% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0523
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
-6.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.80
|
Trades
|
Will Gerri Kellman or Connor Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
473.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0145
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-6.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.87
|
Trades
|
NCAAB Championship: San Diego State v. UConn |
San Diego State |
UConn |
140.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0493
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 03 2023
|
β
|
-6.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.90
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,301.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0053
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 30 2023
|
β
|
-6.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.96
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
245.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0286
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7100
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-7.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.10
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $13m this weekend? |
Yes |
No |
337.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0215
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 27 2023
|
β
|
-7.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.25
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 again by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0489
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.34
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
543.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0140
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
β
|
-7.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.59
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
195.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0395
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
-7.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.70
|
Trades
|
NBA: Los Angeles Lakers vs. Golden State Warriors 2023-05-06 |
Lakers |
Warriors |
0.00
|
58.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.1332
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 06 2023
|
β
|
-7.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.84
|
Trades
|
UFC 288: Who will win - Sterling or Cejudo? |
Sterling |
Cejudo |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
-7.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.95
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0320
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.00
|
Trades
|
2023 NBA Conference Semifinals: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks |
Heat |
Knicks |
0.00
|
65.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1238
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat May 13 2023
|
β
|
-8.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.05
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0082
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.20
|
Trades
|
Browns vs. Bengals |
Browns |
Bengals |
0.00
|
16.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5331
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 10 2023
|
β
|
-8.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.53
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its February meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
366.82
|
0.00% |
|
0.0235
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 01 2023
|
β
|
-8.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.63
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
625.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0140
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-8.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.75
|
Trades
|
NBA: Brooklyn Nets vs. Philadelphia 76ers 2023-04-22 |
Nets |
76ers |
117.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0762
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 22 2023
|
β
|
-8.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.92
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0360
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-9.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
70.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1336
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-9.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.35
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0760
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-9.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.50
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Bengals vs. Chiefs |
Bengals |
Chiefs |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
β
|
-9.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.93
|
Trades
|
Texans vs. Browns |
Texans |
Browns |
0.00
|
24.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.4100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
590.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0172
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
β
|
-10.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.15
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by March 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
235.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0436
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
-10.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.25
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.2036
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
-10.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.39
|
Trades
|
Will "The Banshees of Inisherin" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
233.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0452
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-10.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.52
|
Trades
|
Will Vox win over 45 seats in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0306
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
-10.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.70
|
Trades
|
Buccaneers vs. Eagles |
Buccaneers |
Eagles |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0717
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-10.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.75
|
Trades
|
Will PSOE win over 28.0% of votes in the 2023 Spanish general election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
138.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.0781
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 22 2023
|
β
|
-10.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.85
|
Trades
|
Will the Suns be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
168.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0649
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-10.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.92
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
51.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2155
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
-10.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.99
|
Trades
|
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? |
Yes |
No |
534.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0209
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
-11.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.14
|
Trades
|
RNC Debate: Will DeSantis speak the most? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1125
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-11.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.25
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
311.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0363
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-11.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.30
|
Trades
|
Will Inter Miami win MLS Cup? |
Yes |
No |
101.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1144
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 09 2023
|
β
|
-11.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.55
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Bernardo ArΓ©valo win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
570.89
|
0.00% |
|
0.0209
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-11.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.94
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
613.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0196
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-12.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.05
|
Trades
|
Will the Bucks be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
155.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0794
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-12.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.30
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? |
Yes |
No |
236.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0522
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-12.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.34
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on March 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
155.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0845
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-13.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.10
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1800 on March 31? |
Yes |
No |
160.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0825
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 30 2023
|
β
|
-13.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.20
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
272.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0486
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
-13.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.25
|
Trades
|
Will Xi Jinping be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
251.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0532
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
β
|
-13.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.35
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-13.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.56
|
Trades
|
Will Conor McGregor return to the UFC by November 13? |
Yes |
No |
314.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0441
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 13 2023
|
β
|
-13.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.85
|
Trades
|
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,301.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.0107
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
-13.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.97
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,500 by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
301.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0468
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-14.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.08
|
Trades
|
Jets vs. Bills |
Jets |
Bills |
0.00
|
51.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2806
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 11 2023
|
β
|
-14.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.31
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-14.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.39
|
Trades
|
Will the Lakers be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
198.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0726
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-14.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.42
|
Trades
|
ETH above $4,000 next Friday? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
β
|
-14.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.75
|
Trades
|
Will "Everything Everywhere All At Once" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
114.57
|
0.00% |
|
0.1307
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-14.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.98
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Kansas State Wildcats vs. Florida Atlantic Owls 2023-03-25 |
Kansas State |
Florida Atlantic |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 25 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before March? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
310.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0490
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-15.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.20
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
475.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0321
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-15.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.25
|
Trades
|
NBA: Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks 2023-05-12 |
Heat |
Knicks |
0.00
|
186.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.0848
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 12 2023
|
β
|
-15.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.81
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC reach $32,500 by July 14? |
Yes |
No |
152.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1056
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 14 2023
|
β
|
-16.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.05
|
Trades
|
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics 2023-05-21 |
Heat |
Celtics |
0.00
|
277.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0584
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
-16.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.17
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
140.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1211
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-16.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.95
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.US shut down by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
437.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0398
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-17.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.40
|
Trades
|
Will Kendall Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
1,129.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0156
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-17.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.57
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
459.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0389
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-17.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.84
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
47.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3801
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-17.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.86
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
580.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0310
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-18.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.02
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again this season? |
Yes |
No |
440.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0422
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-18.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.60
|
Trades
|
Will @elonmusk have more than 22,726 tweets on February 10? |
Yes |
No |
260.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0715
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 10 2023
|
β
|
-18.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.60
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Hou Yu-ih win? |
Yes |
No |
176.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1059
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
-18.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.63
|
Trades
|
NBA: LA Clippers vs. Phoenix Suns 2023-04-22 |
Clippers |
Suns |
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1520
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 22 2023
|
β
|
-19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.00
|
Trades
|
Will Brock Purdy win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season? |
Yes |
No |
90.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2108
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-19.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'A Haunting in Venice' gross over $14m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
400.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0478
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 07 2023
|
β
|
-19.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.10
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "folks" four or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
901.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.0213
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-19.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.24
|
Trades
|
Will the first vote to oust McCarthy succeed? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
813.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.0239
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-19.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.48
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
421.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0463
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-19.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.53
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,900 on April 6? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3980
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
-19.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden file to run for president by June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.3308
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-19.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-19.98
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
426.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0484
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-20.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.61
|
Trades
|
Chiefs vs. Lions |
Chiefs |
Lions |
30.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6912
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 07 2023
|
β
|
-20.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.97
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
680.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0328
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-22.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.29
|
Trades
|
Bills vs. Dolphins |
Bills |
Dolphins |
0.00
|
152.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1576
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-23.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.96
|
Trades
|
Will Dak Prescott win NFL MVP for the 2023-24 season? |
Yes |
No |
161.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1499
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 09 2024
|
β
|
-24.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.14
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1700 on February 10? |
Yes |
No |
179.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1355
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 10 2023
|
β
|
-24.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.26
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be above $1700 on February 17 (11:59 PM ET)? |
Yes |
No |
330.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0765
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-25.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.27
|
Trades
|
NBA: Golden State Warriors vs. Sacramento Kings 2023-04-23 |
Warriors |
Kings |
0.00
|
75.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.3393
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 23 2023
|
β
|
-25.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.46
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Who will win - Shevchenko or Grasso? |
Shevchenko |
Grasso |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $650 million domestically by January 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,336.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0197
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
-26.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.39
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: 49ers vs. Eagles |
49ers |
Eagles |
261.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1017
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
β
|
-26.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.55
|
Trades
|
Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
375.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0727
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
β
|
-27.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.29
|
Trades
|
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
342.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0816
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
-27.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.95
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.4717
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-28.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.30
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
337.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0874
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-29.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.46
|
Trades
|
Will the 76ers be the 2022-23 NBA Champion? |
Yes |
No |
499.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0598
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
-29.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.88
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
26.00
|
0.00% |
|
1.1783
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.64
|
Trades
|
UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane? |
Jones |
Gane |
0.00
|
84.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.3670
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 04 2023
|
β
|
-31.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.15
|
Trades
|
Haaland vs. Chelsea: who will have more goals on Oct 8? |
Haaland |
Chelsea |
286.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1106
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-31.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.72
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-31.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.79
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 1? |
Yes |
No |
822.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0392
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-32.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.24
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-32.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-32.50
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,287.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.0264
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-34.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.03
|
Trades
|
BTC above $27,000 at end of September? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
73.84
|
0.00% |
|
0.4620
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-34.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.12
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "border" three or more times during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
475.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0726
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
-34.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.50
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
551.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0630
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-34.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.69
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
364.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0956
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
β
|
-34.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.86
|
Trades
|
Bills vs. Steelers |
Bills |
Steelers |
0.00
|
11,775.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0030
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
-34.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-34.90
|
Trades
|
NBA: Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks 2023-04-22 |
Heat |
Bucks |
0.00
|
118.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.2962
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 22 2023
|
β
|
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
573.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0634
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-36.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.36
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
729.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0509
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-37.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.15
|
Trades
|
NCAAB: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. San Diego State Aztecs 2023-03-24 |
Alabama |
San Diego State |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7450
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
β
|
-37.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.25
|
Trades
|
Will Messi score in his next game? |
Yes |
No |
111.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3399
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 03 2023
|
β
|
-37.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.73
|
Trades
|
NBA: Philadelphia 76ers vs. Boston Celtics 2023-05-05 |
76ers |
Celtics |
165.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2486
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 05 2023
|
β
|
-41.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.25
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
1,050.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
-41.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.96
|
Trades
|
Will Tom Wambsgans be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
955.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0441
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-42.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-42.15
|
Trades
|
Will Aaron Rodgers play again by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
631.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0688
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-43.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.42
|
Trades
|
Will 'Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania' gross more than $125 million domestically on its 4-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
1,101.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0397
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 21 2023
|
β
|
-43.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-43.74
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
361.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1226
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-44.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-44.27
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
357.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1443
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-51.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-51.52
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention "Russia/Putin" 10 or more times during his SOTU? |
Yes |
No |
556.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1012
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 02 2023
|
β
|
-56.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.28
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary? |
Yes |
No |
368.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1601
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-58.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-58.98
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
737.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0805
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-59.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-59.32
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
754.97
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0834
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-62.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-62.94
|
Trades
|
Cowboys vs. Packers |
Cowboys |
Packers |
412.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1668
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
-68.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.77
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
754.23
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0965
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-72.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.77
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
1,087.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0707
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-76.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-76.90
|
Trades
|
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,673.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.0483
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
-80.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.81
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
969.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.0860
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-83.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.35
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? |
Yes |
No |
472.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1791
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-84.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.53
|
Trades
|
Ravens vs. Chiefs |
Ravens |
Chiefs |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
-85.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.79
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? |
Yes |
No |
715.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1393
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-99.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.75
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
544.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1889
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-102.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-102.89
|
Trades
|
Will the UAW strike end by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,039.97
|
0.00% |
|
0.0554
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-112.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-112.92
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,755.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.0150
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-116.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-116.27
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? |
Yes |
No |
236.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5459
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-128.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-128.83
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,072.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.0263
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
-133.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-133.47
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,800 on April 3? |
Yes |
No |
459.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3279
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 02 2023
|
β
|
-150.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-150.65
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,798.42
|
0.00% |
|
0.0547
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-152.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-152.94
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release any more hostages by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
417.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4635
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 15 2024
|
β
|
-193.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-193.31
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
827.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2551
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-211.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-211.12
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,711.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.0671
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-249.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-249.15
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,957.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0650
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-257.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-257.31
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by April 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,147.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.1201
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
-257.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-257.86
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? |
Yes |
No |
508.04
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5163
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 22 2023
|
β
|
-262.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-262.28
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,000.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.0623
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-311.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-311.70
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
10,224.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0332
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-339.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-339.93
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? |
Yes |
No |
1,708.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2339
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
-399.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-399.62
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
1,133.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3584
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-406.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-406.28
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.06
|
10.31
|
|
|
4,133.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,144.30
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-91.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-91.95
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.06
|
10.31
|
|
|
4,041.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,052.35
|
|