Will PNAS retract Dan Arielyβs 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
37.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.26
|
Trades
|
Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.6802
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
29.40
|
Mon Nov 29 2021
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.40
|
Trades
|
Will EIP-3756 "Gas Limit Cap" be accepted prior to January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
8.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.14
|
Trades
|
Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
7.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.32
|
Trades
|
Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
4.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.10
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
β
|
2.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.24
|
Trades
|
Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.75
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 260K for the week ending on November 27? |
Yes |
No |
10,419.60
|
0.00
|
4.12% |
0.0001
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 02 2021
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
-0.79
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
β
|
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? |
Yes |
No |
14.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6991
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 01 2021
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Manchester United F.C. announce their new manager by December 2? |
Yes |
No |
80.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1873
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 02 2021
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
29.40
|
|
|
11.90
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
41.51
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
29.40
|
|
|
11.90
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
41.51
|
|