Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
15,000.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4870
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
13,921.93
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-7,304.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6,617.33
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,545.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.7811
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
2,377.67
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1,988.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
389.67
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
16,364.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16,364.27
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
7,722.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,722.48
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
1,486.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,486.55
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
786.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
786.35
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 16 2022
|
β
|
496.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
496.96
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
78.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.75
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH dip below $1000 by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
28.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.06
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Little Mermaid' gross over $120 million on Memorial Day weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 29 2023
|
β
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
15.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.18
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
513.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.9738
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
513.46
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.46
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 18 2022
|
β
|
11.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.07
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
7.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.41
|
Trades
|
Will SBF or Bitboy be arrested first? |
SBF |
Bitboy |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
6.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.38
|
Trades
|
Will 'Avatar: The Way of Water' gross more than $175 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 19 2022
|
β
|
6.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.28
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
0.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.51
|
Trades
|
Will Beast or Dragon Ball Super: Super Hero gross more on opening weekend? |
Beast |
Dragon Ball |
5.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0210
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 21 2022
|
β
|
-0.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.12
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
15.15
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-0.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.15
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
21.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.43
|
Trades
|
Will USDC flip USDT in market cap by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
16,918.14
|
0.00
|
3.22% |
0.0001
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.99
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
-0.97
|
Trades
|
Will the price of natural gas be $8.50 or more on August 22, 2022? (SEP 2022 future) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.5569
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 22 2022
|
β
|
-2.36
|
0.48
|
0.00
|
-1.88
|
Trades
|
Will UK inflation be 8.9% or more in September 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5118
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 19 2022
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? |
Yes |
No |
5.29
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.0879
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 19 2022
|
β
|
-5.75
|
0.89
|
0.00
|
-4.86
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
37.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1342
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again before November? |
Yes |
No |
27.65
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1809
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
185.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0538
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
165.54
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0604
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be extradited to the US by February 15, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,418.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 15 2023
|
β
|
-14.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.19
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by January 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
519.19
|
0.00% |
|
0.0385
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2022 Italian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
118.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.2108
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 11 2022
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on May 3? |
Yes |
No |
2,999.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 03 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Flash' gross over $100m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 18 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 100 bps after its November meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,578.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0253
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 02 2022
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF show up to the NYT DealBook Summit? |
Yes |
No |
1,357.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0295
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will Putin be reelected? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0150
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 07 2024
|
β
|
-40.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
5,999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0133
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.00
|
Trades
|
Turkish 2nd round turnout over 87%? |
Yes |
No |
2,999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
10,495.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0097
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-101.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-101.53
|
Trades
|
Will 'Mission: Impossible' gross over $100m on its 5-day open? |
Yes |
No |
3,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 17 2023
|
β
|
-180.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-180.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 26 2022
|
β
|
-273.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-273.05
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,999.99
|
0.00% |
|
0.0660
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-330.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-330.00
|
Trades
|
Will SBF be federally indicted by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27,083.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.0159
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-431.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-431.76
|
Trades
|
Formula 1: Will Max Verstappen win the 2022 Belgian Grand Prix? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
671.86
|
0.00% |
|
0.8335
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 28 2022
|
β
|
-560.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-560.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse' gross over $100 million on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18,800.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0509
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
-957.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-957.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
513.47
|
|
|
23,194.40
|
1.38
|
0.03
|
23,709.28
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,921.93
|
2,377.67
|
|
|
-9,292.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7,007.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
13,921.94
|
2,891.14
|
|
|
13,901.80
|
1.38
|
0.03
|
30,716.28
|
|