Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0880
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-88.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-88.00
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
831.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.1136
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-94.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-94.45
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
100,468.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
100,468.08
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
60,053.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
60,053.21
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
✅ |
30,581.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30,581.69
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
26,400.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
26,400.20
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 01 2024
|
✅ |
21,395.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21,395.44
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
58,168.14
|
0.00% |
|
0.7873
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
58,168.14
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-45,796.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12,371.96
|
Trades
|
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
9,959.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,959.57
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
9,186.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,186.92
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 23 2024
|
✅ |
9,085.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,085.99
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
5,984.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,984.22
|
Trades
|
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 25 2024
|
✅ |
5,576.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5,576.55
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
42,513.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8952
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
42,513.92
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-38,059.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,454.10
|
Trades
|
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
4,167.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,167.19
|
Trades
|
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
✅ |
3,570.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,570.62
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
3,503.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,503.42
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23,394.78
|
0.00% |
|
0.8537
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
23,394.78
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-19,973.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,421.59
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
75,497.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.9578
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
75,497.69
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
✅ |
-72,308.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,189.14
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
2,756.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,756.66
|
Trades
|
Will SBF testify? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
2,323.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,323.00
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
✅ |
1,994.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,994.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,735.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,735.35
|
Trades
|
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
1,656.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,656.34
|
Trades
|
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
1,387.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,387.50
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,202.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,202.78
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
✅ |
1,105.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,105.70
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,090.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,090.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1,070.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,070.73
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
81,051.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.9870
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
81,051.72
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-79,997.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,054.45
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
✅ |
778.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
778.43
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
752.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
752.63
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 17 2023
|
✅ |
748.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
748.61
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,772.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.9483
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12,772.41
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-12,112.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
660.36
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,754.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.8651
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,754.77
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4,113.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
641.21
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
606.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
606.57
|
Trades
|
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
9,689.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9377
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
9,689.19
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9,085.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
603.44
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15,775.63
|
0.00% |
|
0.9627
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15,775.63
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-15,186.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
589.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
✅ |
543.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
543.80
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
523.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
523.33
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20,420.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.9767
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
20,420.08
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-19,943.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
476.40
|
Trades
|
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,960.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7861
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,960.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1,540.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
419.15
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,456.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.9260
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
5,456.22
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5,052.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
403.50
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
9,067.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9615
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
9,067.70
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8,718.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
349.01
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,204.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.7267
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,204.30
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-875.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
329.12
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
0.00
|
31,244.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.9897
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
31,244.36
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-30,922.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
321.62
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
12,021.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.9752
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
12,021.27
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-11,723.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
298.08
|
Trades
|
Another Ledger exploit by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
260.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
260.00
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
9,786.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9738
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
9,786.98
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9,530.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
256.83
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3,856.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.9339
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
3,856.62
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-3,601.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
254.81
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
788.65
|
0.00% |
|
0.6820
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
788.65
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-537.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
250.82
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,879.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.9497
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,879.59
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4,634.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
245.38
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,096.92
|
0.00% |
|
0.9434
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
4,096.92
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
-3,865.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
231.75
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,466.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.9094
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,466.30
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2,242.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
223.44
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8,879.62
|
0.00% |
|
0.9760
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
8,879.62
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-8,666.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
212.67
|
Trades
|
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? |
Biden |
Haley |
0.00
|
2,163.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9027
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,163.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-1,952.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
210.38
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,216.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.9090
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2,216.59
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2,014.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
201.66
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
195.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
195.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
✅ |
182.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
182.00
|
Trades
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6,133.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.9720
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
6,133.22
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-5,961.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
171.48
|
Trades
|
Alien contact in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7,115.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.9770
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
7,115.59
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6,952.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
163.40
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
96,179.80
|
0.00% |
|
0.9988
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
96,179.80
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-96,065.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
114.05
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,513.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0712
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
107.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
107.76
|
Trades
|
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,754.93
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9398
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,754.93
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,649.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
105.61
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
103.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
103.33
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
94.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.00
|
Trades
|
Was the Super Bowl rigged? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
79.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
79.86
|
Trades
|
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,056.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,056.23
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-992.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.37
|
Trades
|
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,569.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9604
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,569.05
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
-1,506.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
62.08
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
✅ |
58.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
58.96
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
24,615.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9982
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
24,615.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-24,570.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
44.26
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
823.81
|
0.00% |
|
0.9640
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
823.81
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-794.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.66
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
721.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.9605
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
721.32
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-692.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.50
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,198.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9798
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,198.98
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,174.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.18
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.00
|
Trades
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
2,063.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9921
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,063.68
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2,047.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.38
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.90
|
0.00% |
|
-4.0466
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.90
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
11.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.61
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,738.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.9919
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,738.85
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1,724.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.12
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
239.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9727
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
239.70
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-233.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.54
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.86
|
Trades
|
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.43
|
0.00% |
|
0.9329
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
15.43
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-14.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.04
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to life? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
16.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
16.67
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-15.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
✅ |
0.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.63
|
Trades
|
Is Obama queer? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
515.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9990
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
515.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-514.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.51
|
Trades
|
North Korea nuke by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.94
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.94
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.18
|
Trades
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
11.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.46
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
✅ |
-2.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.88
|
Trades
|
Biden cognitive test before April? |
Yes |
No |
200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0760
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-7.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.60
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-18.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.65
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-66.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-66.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
100.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9980
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-99.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.80
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
✅ |
-398.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-398.93
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.8004
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-400.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-400.21
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-720.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-720.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-2,026.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,026.56
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
✅ |
-2,732.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,732.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
65,742.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
2.3978
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-157,635.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-157,635.17
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95,151.74
|
494,735.85
|
|
|
-410,159.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179,727.76
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-182.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-182.45
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95,151.74
|
494,735.85
|
|
|
-410,342.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
179,545.32
|
|