Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 323,081.24 0.00 0.00% 0.7446 0.76 0.24 246,937.47 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -240,579.51 0.00 0.00 6,357.96 Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 110,348.49 0.00% 0.8681 0.10 0.90 0.00 99,088.36 Tue Sep 10 2024 -95,788.69 0.00 0.00 3,299.67 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 752.63 0.00 0.00 752.63 Trades
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 5,030.56 0.00% 0.8372 0.05 0.95 0.00 4,802.64 Sat Aug 10 2024 -4,211.79 0.00 0.00 590.84 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 449.15 0.00 0.00% -0.4907 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 220.41 0.00 0.00 220.41 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by March 31, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 18.00 0.00 0.00 18.00 Trades
Will Kamala Harris win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.08 0.92 0.00 0.01 Sat Aug 10 2024 4.79 0.00 0.00 4.80 Trades
Will Hillary Clinton win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 3.33 0.00% 0.7000 0.04 0.96 0.00 3.20 Sat Aug 10 2024 -2.33 0.00 0.00 0.87 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Dean Phillips win the U.S. Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 1.02 0.00 0.00% 0.0150 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.02 0.00 0.00 -0.02 Trades
Will Pete Buttigieg win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.01 Sat Aug 10 2024 -0.19 0.00 0.00 -0.18 Trades
Biden cognitive test before April? Yes No 200.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.00 16.67 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -15.67 0.00 0.00 -15.67 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.79 0.21 0.00 411.25 Tue Sep 10 2024 -440.00 0.00 0.00 -28.75 Trades
Joe Biden impeached before 2024 election? Yes No 1,600.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0756 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -121.00 0.00 0.00 -121.00 Trades
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? Yes No 0.00 404.37 0.00% 0.7352 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -297.31 0.00 0.00 -297.31 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2024? Yes No 361.15 0.00 0.00% 0.9520 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -343.81 0.00 0.00 -343.81 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 -398.93 0.00 0.00 -398.93 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 0.00 1,182.68 0.00% 0.7265 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -859.18 0.00 0.00 -859.18 Trades
Will Biden or Haley drop out first? Biden Haley 0.00 1,241.73 0.00% 0.9188 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1,140.84 0.00 0.00 -1,140.84 Trades
Hunter Biden arrested before April? Yes No 0.00 2,216.59 0.00% 0.9090 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2,014.93 0.00 0.00 -2,014.93 Trades
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? Yes No 0.00 2,466.30 0.00% 0.9094 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -2,242.85 0.00 0.00 -2,242.85 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.00 4,153.99 0.00% 0.7964 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -3,308.16 0.00 0.00 -3,308.16 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on June 1, 2024? Yes No 3,929.78 0.00 0.00% 0.9221 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 01 2024 -3,623.81 0.00 0.00 -3,623.81 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by April 1? Yes No 0.00 11,674.31 0.00% 0.8177 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -9,546.19 0.00 0.00 -9,546.19 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 10,718.85 0.00 0.00% 0.9424 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 -10,101.56 0.00 0.00 -10,101.56 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by April 1? Yes No 0.00 81,051.72 0.00% 0.9870 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 01 2024 -79,997.27 0.00 0.00 -79,997.27 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 100,468.08 0.00 0.00 100,468.08 Trades
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Feb 24 2024 60,053.21 0.00 0.00 60,053.21 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 30,581.69 0.00 0.00 30,581.69 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 26,400.20 0.00 0.00 26,400.20 Trades
Will Bashar al-Assad still be in power in Syria by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 9,959.57 0.00 0.00 9,959.57 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 9,186.92 0.00 0.00 9,186.92 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 23 2024 9,085.99 0.00 0.00 9,085.99 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 5,984.22 0.00 0.00 5,984.22 Trades
Will Biden trip on a staircase again this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 5,576.55 0.00 0.00 5,576.55 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 42,513.92 0.00 0.00% 0.8952 1.00 0.00 42,513.92 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -38,059.82 0.00 0.00 4,454.10 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired due to data leak / privacy issue? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 4,167.19 0.00 0.00 4,167.19 Trades
Will Trump visit Israel by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 3,570.62 0.00 0.00 3,570.62 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 3,503.42 0.00 0.00 3,503.42 Trades
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 2,756.66 0.00 0.00 2,756.66 Trades
Will SBF testify? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 2,323.00 0.00 0.00 2,323.00 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 1,994.00 0.00 0.00 1,994.00 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.07 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,735.35 0.00 0.00 1,735.35 Trades
Are the Peruvian Aliens real? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 1,656.34 0.00 0.00 1,656.34 Trades
Will Israel officially state they were subject to a cyber attack on October 7th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 1,387.50 0.00 0.00 1,387.50 Trades
Will Tucker interview Putin? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,202.78 0.00 0.00 1,202.78 Trades
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 13 2023 1,105.70 0.00 0.00 1,105.70 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,090.00 0.00 0.00 1,090.00 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell remain senator through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 1,070.73 0.00 0.00 1,070.73 Trades
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 17 2023 748.61 0.00 0.00 748.61 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 0.00 4,754.77 0.00% 0.8651 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,754.77 Sun Dec 31 2023 -4,113.56 0.00 0.00 641.21 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 9,689.19 0.00 0.00% 0.9377 1.00 0.00 9,689.19 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -9,085.76 0.00 0.00 603.44 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? Yes No 0.00 15,775.63 0.00% 0.9627 0.00 1.00 0.00 15,775.63 Fri Mar 01 2024 -15,186.63 0.00 0.00 589.00 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 20,420.08 0.00% 0.9767 0.00 1.00 0.00 20,420.08 Sun Dec 31 2023 -19,943.68 0.00 0.00 476.40 Trades
Mohamed Deif still in Hamas leadership through March 1? Yes No 1,960.00 0.00 0.00% 0.7861 1.00 0.00 1,960.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 -1,540.85 0.00 0.00 419.15 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war in 2023? Yes No 0.00 5,456.22 0.00% 0.9260 0.00 1.00 0.00 5,456.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 -5,052.72 0.00 0.00 403.50 Trades
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? Yes No 0.00 9,067.70 0.00% 0.9615 0.00 1.00 0.00 9,067.70 Sun Dec 31 2023 -8,718.69 0.00 0.00 349.01 Trades
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? Israel Palestine 0.00 31,244.36 0.00% 0.9897 0.00 1.00 0.00 31,244.36 Fri Oct 20 2023 -30,922.74 0.00 0.00 321.62 Trades
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? Yes No 0.00 12,021.27 0.00% 0.9752 0.00 1.00 0.00 12,021.27 Sun Dec 31 2023 -11,723.19 0.00 0.00 298.08 Trades
Another Ledger exploit by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 260.00 0.00 0.00 260.00 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 9,786.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9738 1.00 0.00 9,786.98 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -9,530.15 0.00 0.00 256.83 Trades
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 3,856.62 0.00% 0.9339 0.00 1.00 0.00 3,856.62 Thu Nov 30 2023 -3,601.81 0.00 0.00 254.81 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 788.65 0.00% 0.6820 0.00 1.00 0.00 788.65 Sun Dec 31 2023 -537.83 0.00 0.00 250.82 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 0.00 4,879.59 0.00% 0.9497 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,879.59 Sun Dec 31 2023 -4,634.21 0.00 0.00 245.38 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? Yes No 0.00 4,096.92 0.00% 0.9434 0.00 1.00 0.00 4,096.92 Sat Oct 14 2023 -3,865.17 0.00 0.00 231.75 Trades
Will Donald Trump be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 8,879.62 0.00% 0.9760 0.00 1.00 0.00 8,879.62 Sun Jun 30 2024 -8,666.95 0.00 0.00 212.67 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 195.00 0.00 0.00 195.00 Trades
Will Biden drop out by Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 16 2024 182.00 0.00 0.00 182.00 Trades
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 6,133.22 0.00% 0.9720 0.00 1.00 0.00 6,133.22 Wed Jan 31 2024 -5,961.73 0.00 0.00 171.48 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 0.00 7,115.59 0.00% 0.9770 0.00 1.00 0.00 7,115.59 Sun Dec 31 2023 -6,952.19 0.00 0.00 163.40 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.00 96,179.80 0.00% 0.9988 0.00 1.00 0.00 96,179.80 Thu Feb 29 2024 -96,065.75 0.00 0.00 114.05 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 1,513.50 0.00 0.00% -0.0712 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 107.76 0.00 0.00 107.76 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 1,754.93 0.00 0.00% 0.9398 1.00 0.00 1,754.93 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,649.33 0.00 0.00 105.61 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 103.33 0.00 0.00 103.33 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 94.00 0.00 0.00 94.00 Trades
Was the Super Bowl rigged? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 79.86 0.00 0.00 79.86 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,056.23 0.00% 0.9400 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,056.23 Sun Dec 31 2023 -992.86 0.00 0.00 63.37 Trades
Will Israel have full control of its territory on Nov 1? Yes No 1,569.05 0.00 0.00% 0.9604 1.00 0.00 1,569.05 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 -1,506.98 0.00 0.00 62.08 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 58.96 0.00 0.00 58.96 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 24,615.00 0.00 0.00% 0.9982 1.00 0.00 24,615.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 -24,570.74 0.00 0.00 44.26 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 0.00 823.81 0.00% 0.9640 0.00 1.00 0.00 823.81 Wed Jan 31 2024 -794.15 0.00 0.00 29.66 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 721.32 0.00% 0.9605 0.00 1.00 0.00 721.32 Tue Oct 31 2023 -692.82 0.00 0.00 28.50 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 1,198.98 0.00 0.00% 0.9798 1.00 0.00 1,198.98 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,174.80 0.00 0.00 24.18 Trades
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? Yes No 2,063.68 0.00 0.00% 0.9921 1.00 0.00 2,063.68 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -2,047.30 0.00 0.00 16.38 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? Yes No 0.00 2.90 0.00% -4.0466 0.00 1.00 0.00 2.90 Wed Jan 31 2024 11.71 0.00 0.00 14.61 Trades
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1,738.85 0.00% 0.9919 0.00 1.00 0.00 1,738.85 Sun Dec 31 2023 -1,724.73 0.00 0.00 14.12 Trades
Will Trump tweet again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 239.70 0.00% 0.9727 0.00 1.00 0.00 239.70 Sun Dec 31 2023 -233.16 0.00 0.00 6.54 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 1.86 0.00 0.00 1.86 Trades
Will Gemini generate images of people again in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 1.50 0.00 0.00 1.50 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 0.63 0.00 0.00 0.63 Trades
Is Obama queer? Yes No 0.00 515.00 0.00% 0.9990 0.00 1.00 0.00 515.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -514.49 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 0.00 0.94 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.94 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.88 0.00 0.00 0.06 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? Yes No 11.42 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 -0.46 0.00 0.00 -0.46 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on October 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 -2.88 0.00 0.00 -2.88 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.0760 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -7.60 0.00 0.00 -7.60 Trades
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 -18.66 0.00 0.00 -18.65 Trades
US bank failure in February? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 -66.00 0.00 0.00 -66.00 Trades
Will Biden be impeached by September 30, 2023? Yes No 0.00 100.00 0.00% 0.9980 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 -99.80 0.00 0.00 -99.80 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Friday? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 20 2023 -2,026.56 0.00 0.00 -2,026.56 Trades
Resolved 95,151.74 235,768.81 -35,582.62 0.00 0.00 295,337.92
Unresolved 246,937.47 104,305.46 -454,044.20 0.00 0.00 -102,801.27
Total 342,089.20 340,074.27 -489,626.83 0.00 0.00 192,536.65