Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? Democratic Republican 0.00 2.17 0.00% 0.4600 0.50 0.50 0.00 1.08 Fri Nov 08 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will Circle IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 0.52 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.26 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Blast airdrop by May? Yes No 0.35 0.00 0.00% 0.69 0.31 0.24 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.01 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 3.57 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.06 0.94 0.20 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? Yes No 0.40 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Trump jail before election day? Yes No 1.25 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? Yes No 0.78 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.39 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.11 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 1.32 0.00 0.00% 0.1900 0.04 0.96 0.05 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.20 Trades
OpenSea token >1 billion a week after launch? Yes No 0.38 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 1.39 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 01 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
OpenSea token in 2024? Yes No 0.58 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Netanyahu out by June 30? Yes No 0.64 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.83 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican vice presidential nomination? Yes No 1.25 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 09 2024 -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 2.78 0.00% 0.3600 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.57 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.43 Trades
Will Kraken IPO by June? Yes No 0.00 0.59 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 4.17 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 3.45 0.00% 0.2900 0.87 0.13 0.00 0.44 Sat Aug 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.56 Trades
Trump and Biden both lose nomination? Yes No 14.29 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.03 0.97 0.42 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.58 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 4.55 0.00% 0.2200 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.33 Tue Sep 10 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -0.67 Trades
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? Yes No 3.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2900 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ 14.40 0.00 0.00 14.40 Trades
Will anyone say "alien" in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 3.03 0.00 0.00 3.04 Trades
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 2.59 0.00 0.00 2.60 Trades
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 1.98 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 2.23 0.00 0.00% 0.1483 1.00 0.00 2.23 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.33 0.00 0.00 1.90 Trades
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? Yes No 1.79 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 1.00 0.00 1.79 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 1.54 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy by November 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ 1.15 0.00 0.00 1.15 Trades
Will Trump win every state in Republican Nomination? Yes No 0.00 1.61 0.00% 0.3100 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.61 Tue Jun 25 2024 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 1.11 Trades
Mississippi gubernatorial election: Presley (D) vs. Reeves (R) Presley Reeves 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 1.08 0.00 0.00 1.08 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.00 1.22 0.00% 0.1473 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.22 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.18 0.00 0.00 1.04 Trades
Will Apple announce M3 Chip at its "Scary Fast" event? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 ✅ 1.03 0.00 0.00 1.03 Trades
Alien contact in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1.02 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
Cricket World Cup: India vs. Australia India Australia 0.00 1.52 0.00% 0.3300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.52 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 1.02 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.92 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $55 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $50m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ 0.85 0.00 0.00 0.85 Trades
Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February? Yes No 1.09 0.00 0.00% 0.2300 1.00 0.00 1.09 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.84 Trades
Will another 'Forbes 30 Under 30' be arrested in 2023? Yes No 0.83 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.83 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.73 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last 8 days? Yes No 0.00 0.93 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.93 Sat Dec 02 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.68 Trades
Will Israel announce 24h+ humanitarian pause by Nov 30? Yes No 1.16 0.00 0.00% 0.4300 1.00 0.00 1.16 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.66 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump? Yes No 0.83 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.83 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.58 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 0.00 1.43 0.00% 0.5999 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.43 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -0.86 0.00 0.00 0.57 Trades
Will ‘The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes’ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? Yes No 0.00 1.54 0.00% 0.6500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.54 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.54 Trades
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.52 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 0.51 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
Community notes on Biden Xeet by December 11? Yes No 0.76 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.76 0.00 Mon Dec 11 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.51 Trades
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? Yes No 1.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6700 1.00 0.00 1.49 0.00 Sat Jan 13 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.49 Trades
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? Yes No 0.00 0.71 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.71 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.46 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? Yes No 0.69 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.69 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.44 Trades
Fuel shipments to Gaza by Nov 30? Yes No 1.39 0.00 0.00% 0.7200 1.00 0.00 1.39 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.39 Trades
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? Yes No 0.48 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.48 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.38 Trades
Will Logan Paul refund CryptoZoo investors by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.29 Trades
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ 0.27 0.00 0.00 0.28 Trades
GTA 6 trailer released by Dec 7? Yes No 0.77 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.77 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.27 Trades
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.25 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.25 Trades
Will X unban Alex Jones in 2023? Yes No 0.33 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.23 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.00 0.33 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.33 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.23 Trades
Will NSC win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.00 0.72 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.72 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? Yes No 0.42 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.42 0.00 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.17 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.17 0.00 0.00 0.17 Trades
US military intervention by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 0.16 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.26 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.26 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 0.16 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1.15 0.00% 0.8700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.15 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 Trades
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1.12 0.00% 0.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.12 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.91 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 0.11 0.00 0.00 0.11 Trades
Aleo airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 0.35 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.35 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 15? Yes No 0.00 1.10 0.00% 0.9100 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.10 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will Linda Yaccarino remain CEO of X through 2023? Yes No 1.10 0.00 0.00% 0.9100 1.00 0.00 1.10 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 Trades
Will MrBeast hit 250 Million subscribers by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1.09 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.09 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 Trades
Will Cruise relaunch driverless taxis in SF by EoY? Yes No 0.00 1.08 0.00% 0.9300 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.08 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 Trades
Will the KyberSwap hacker return 50% of the exploited funds by Dec 15? Yes No 0.00 0.32 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.32 Fri Dec 15 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.07 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 22 2023 ✅ 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 1.05 0.00% 0.9500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.05 Sun Nov 12 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 Trades
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? Yes No 0.00 0.54 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.54 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Celestia token above $5 one week after airdrop? Yes No 0.00 1.04 0.00% 0.9600 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.04 Mon Nov 06 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will Ben Armstrong regain control of BitBoy Crypto by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.29 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.29 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Will Elon Musk visit Gaza in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.54 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.54 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.04 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 0.9680 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Pope Francis remain Pope through 2023? Yes No 1.03 0.00 0.00% 0.9700 1.00 0.00 1.03 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Binance insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
SBF sentenced to life? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 1.03 0.00% 0.9700 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.03 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.88 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.88 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ -0.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
Will OpenAI be for-profit by March? Yes No 0.00 0.53 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.53 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 0.03 Trades
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? Yes No 0.27 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.27 0.00 Mon Mar 04 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9900 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will 'The Marvels' flop? Yes No 1.01 0.00 0.00% 0.9900 1.00 0.00 1.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Will Trump be Speaker by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 1.01 0.00% 0.9910 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 Trades
Tiktok banned in the US in 2023? Yes No 0.83 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.05 0.00 0.00 -0.05 Trades
Was Sam Altman fired for sexually abusing his sister? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk? Yes No 0.15 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
North Korea nuke by December 31? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 2.94 0.00% 0.0340 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 3.33 0.00% 0.0300 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.67 0.00% 0.0600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.33 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Netanyahu still be Prime Minister of Israel by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.43 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Mahmoud Abbas still be President of the State of Palestine by the end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.45 0.00% 0.0690 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Hezbollah officially join the war by Nov 30? Yes No 1.43 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? Yes No 0.91 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 15 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? Yes No 1.96 0.00 0.00% 0.0510 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? Yes No 5.26 0.00 0.00% 0.0190 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Another House member censured by Nov 30? Yes No 3.45 0.00 0.00% 0.0290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 1.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will PvdA-GL win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 0.59 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Sam Altman join Grok by Dec 31? Yes No 6.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0150 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? Yes No 3.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 24 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Sam Altman sue OpenAI? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Blast bridge be exploited by end of February? Yes No 0.83 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 28 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Josh Giddey's contract be terminated? Yes No 1.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 07 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Mark Cuban to announce presidential run by EOY? Yes No 2.70 0.00 0.00% 0.0370 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Milady flip MAYC by March 1? Yes No 0.56 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? Yes No 1.45 0.00 0.00% 0.0690 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
OpenSea token by May 1? Yes No 0.34 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the GTA 6 trailer get >600m views on day 1? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for Chinese pneumonia outbreak in 2023? Yes No 0.91 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
US travel ban for China in 2023? Yes No 3.45 0.00 0.00% 0.0290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.33 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Google have the best LLM before 2024? Yes No 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March? Yes No 0.00 1.43 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Devin Haney vs. Regis Prograis Haney Progrias 0.00 0.43 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 09 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Hamas surrender before February? Yes No 2.63 0.00 0.00% 0.0380 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
UK election called by end of year? Yes No 0.20 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Confederate Memorial at Arlington Cemetery removed by Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 0.45 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Trump >50% chance of winning nomination after Super Tuesday? Yes No 0.00 0.83 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 06 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $20m on Christmas Day? Yes No 0.22 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
SOL/ETH new high by Jan 31? Yes No 0.36 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Iran officially join the war before February? Yes No 3.70 0.00 0.00% 0.0270 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name Jimmy Kimmel? Yes No 3.45 0.00 0.00% 0.0290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel in January? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Putin remain President of Russia through March? Yes No 0.00 2.22 0.00% 0.0450 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Bill Clinton arrested by Jan 10? Yes No 3.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 10 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4.5 before April? Yes No 0.26 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Sam Altman criminal charges by Nov 30? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0250 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Sam Altman tweet by Sunday? Yes No 0.00 5.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Respiratory illness surge in China declared a global pandemic by Feb 1? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Houthis seize another ship by December 8? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 08 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Palestinian Authority gain control of Gaza in 2023? Yes No 5.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
New lockdown in US? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jan 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will the Suez Canal close in 2023? Yes No 1.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 01 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? Yes No 2.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Chris Christie drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Another Ledger exploit by Jan 31? Yes No 2.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Ethereum spot ETF approved by Mar 31? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 26 2023 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by Jan 15? Yes No 1.25 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 15 2024 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will Maersk resume shipping through Red Sea by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.30 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
CZ jail before March? Yes No 0.42 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
OpenAI board out by end of week? Yes No 1.14 0.00 0.00% 0.2200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 26 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will OpenAI Merge with Anthropic in 2023? Yes No 2.27 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 0.57 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
EigenLayer airdrop by April? Yes No 0.71 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? Yes No 0.61 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? Yes No 0.89 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will BTC hit $44,000 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.71 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? Yes No 0.00 2.08 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Qatar buy Bitcoin by Jan 31? Yes No 0.93 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
US call for Gaza ceasefire before February? Yes No 0.42 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? Yes No 0.38 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
JUP above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.89 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 0.86 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
$BONK all time high before February? Yes No 0.81 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Coinbase a top 100 app before Feb? Yes No 1.09 0.00 0.00% 0.2300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? Yes No 1.67 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? Yes No 2.08 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
NYT drop OpenAI case by March? Yes No 2.08 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? Yes No 6.58 0.00 0.00% 0.0380 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
American aid to Israel by Nov 30? Yes No 3.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
zkSync airdrop by April? Yes No 0.63 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will US attack Iran in 2023? Yes No 3.13 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? Yes No 0.00 0.63 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.25 0.00 0.00 -0.25 Trades
CZ jail in 2023? Yes No 15.86 0.00 0.00% 0.0221 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.35 0.00 0.00 -0.35 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.97 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.97 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ -1.36 0.00 0.00 -0.39 Trades
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.56 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? Yes No 0.00 0.60 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.93 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 1.32 0.00 0.00% 0.3800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 1.11 0.00 0.00% 0.4500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 4.17 0.00% 0.1200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 1.39 0.00% 0.3600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election? Yes No 1.04 0.00 0.00% 0.4800 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 22 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.00 1.09 0.00% 0.4600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 2.27 0.00% 0.2200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will 'Wish' gross over $55m over its 5-day opening weekend? Yes No 7.14 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 27 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? Yes No 0.00 2.63 0.00% 0.1900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? Yes No 0.00 0.89 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 1.25 0.00% 0.4000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Will Putin be reelected? Yes No 0.00 5.00 0.00% 0.1000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 07 2024 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Biden drop out of presidential race in 2023? Yes No 12.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -0.50 0.00 0.00 -0.50 Trades
Celestia token above $2 one week after airdrop? Yes No 1.07 0.00 0.00% 1.5120 1.00 0.00 1.07 0.00 Mon Nov 06 2023 ✅ -1.61 0.00 0.00 -0.55 Trades
Temporary ceasefire for hostages deal by Nov 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 10 2023 ✅ -0.78 0.00 0.00 -0.78 Trades
Celestia token above $1 one week after airdrop? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 06 2023 ✅ -0.97 0.00 0.00 -0.97 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 10.40 0.00 0.00% 1.0940 1.00 0.00 10.40 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -11.38 0.00 0.00 -0.98 Trades
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? Yes No 0.00 2.54 0.00% 0.3931 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 07 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 16.95 0.00 0.00% 0.0590 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 111.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0090 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? Yes No 0.00 71.43 0.00% 0.0140 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 6.67 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? Yes No 0.00 20.83 0.00% 0.0480 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 01 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Anthony Fauci jail by EoY? Yes No 33.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? Yes No 2.44 0.00 0.00% 0.4100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 14.29 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will the New York Times definitively state Israel was not behind the Gaza hospital blast? Yes No 3.45 0.00 0.00% 0.2900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 2.27 0.00 0.00% 0.4400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 14 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Saudi Aramco's 2023 net income >$120 billion? Yes No 0.00 2.63 0.00% 0.3800 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou Fury Ngannou 0.00 11.11 0.00% 0.0900 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Rugby World Cup: New Zealand vs. South Africa New Zealand South Africa 1.82 0.00 0.00% 0.5500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 28 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Hikaru win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 7.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 2.50 0.00 0.00% 0.4000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will any New York Times staff face consequences for the Gaza hospital strike headline? Yes No 10.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Egypt Presidential Election: Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi win? Yes No 0.00 25.00 0.00% 0.0400 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 12 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will Fabiano win the FIDE Grand Swiss 2023? Yes No 4.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Nov 04 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 40.94 0.00% 0.0293 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.20 0.00 0.00 -1.20 Trades
Will Bitboy remarry by EOY? Yes No 20.53 0.00 0.00% 0.0744 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -1.53 0.00 0.00 -1.53 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 17? Yes No 2.53 0.00 0.00% 0.7900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Nov 17 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 58.33 0.00 0.00% 0.0343 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 58.33 0.00% 0.0343 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? Yes No 11.51 0.00 0.00% 0.1737 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Will US attack Iran by Nov 30? Yes No 20.83 0.00 0.00% 0.0960 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -2.00 0.00 0.00 -2.00 Trades
Resolved 29.17 29.47 -66.59 0.00 0.00 -7.96
Unresolved 1.31 2.67 -10.45 0.00 0.00 -6.47
Total 30.47 32.14 -77.04 0.00 0.00 -14.42