Account
0xb412c9bac12439178287b079a7d1ba895723a659 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the first week of October? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 07 2021 | ✅ | 20.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 12.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 11.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.78 | Trades | ||
| Will any Electoral College Certificates of Vote be formally challenged in Congress? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 8.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.14 | Trades | ||
| Will MrBeast's Squid Game video reach 60M views in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | 7.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.13 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | 6.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.89 | Trades | ||
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 6.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.73 | Trades | ||
| Superbowl 55: Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Chiefs | Bucs | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 08 2021 | ✅ | 6.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.55 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 16.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6040 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 16.34 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -9.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.47 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 5.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.98 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 5.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 4.69 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 5.20 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | 5.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.16 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $25k before March 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 4.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.74 | Trades | ||
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | 4.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.60 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 3.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.91 | Trades | |||
| Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | 3.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 8.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5766 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 8.67 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.67 | Trades | |
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.51 | 0.00% | 0.7405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.51 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.51 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | -0.36 | 3.76 | 0.00 | 3.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired before June 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.33 | Trades | ||
| Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.13 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 3.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump formally concede the 2020 US Election before December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 01 2020 | ✅ | 3.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | 2.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | 2.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.67 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 2.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.51 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump Pardon Himself in His First Term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | 2.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | 2.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.04 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the U.S. Senate special election in Georgia? (Loeffler - R vs Warnock - D) | Dems/Warnock | Reps/Loeffler | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 2.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.03 | Trades | |||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.01 | Trades | ||
| What will the average sale price of a PS5 be on StockX on Christmas Day? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.10 | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 26 2020 | ✅ | 1.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.97 | Trades | ||
| Will the Polygon ($MATIC) Market Cap be above $15 billion on December 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 1.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.76 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 1.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.73 | Trades | |||
| Will the US debt ceiling be raised or suspended by October 18th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | 1.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.72 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 1.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.70 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | 1.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | ||
| Will 227 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.25 | Trades | ||
| Will a Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States in September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West release a new studio album before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.10 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 1.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.04 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win Texas in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 | Trades | ||
| Will 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 20 2020 | ✅ | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of Mutant Apes be above 10 ETH on January 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
| Will Clubhouse officially announce they’ve been acquired in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.96 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of Bored Apes be above 53 ETH on January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.94 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.93 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.90 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 0.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.76 | Trades | ||
| Will any art piece on Superrare sell for more than $100k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 01 2020 | ✅ | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | ✅ | 0.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.60 | Trades | ||
| Will BTC break $15k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase reach #1 in the Finance category on the US iOS App Store before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.48 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game remain the #1 Netflix show in the US throughout the ‘second week’ of October? | Yes | No | 15.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9720 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.43 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 75 ETH on January 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 13 2022 | ✅ | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
| How many confirmed Coronavirus cases will there be at EOY in the USA? | Long | Short | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.98 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -0.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 26 2020 | ✅ | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Trades | ||
| Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 0.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump complete his first term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 90 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | ✅ | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | ||
| Will Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine be the first to receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA)? | Yes | No | 0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.98 | 0.00 | ✅ | -0.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | |||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Uniswap be live on Polygon before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Airbnb begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
| What will Airbnb's market cap be at close on its 1st day publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.25 | Trades | |||
| Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.24 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win North Carolina in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | Trades | |||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | 0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump pardon Julian Assange? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 22 2021 | ✅ | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase begin publicly trading before Jan 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of Bitcoin be on November 4th, 2020? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.90 | 0.00% | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | Wed Nov 04 2020 | ✅ | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will there be an Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) granted for a COVID-19 vaccine before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 02 2021 | ✅ | -0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ethereum 2.0 Genesis Event happen successfully on December 1st, 2020? | Yes | No | 0.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.34 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 02 2020 | ✅ | -0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.21 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.74 | 0.00% | 0.0669 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.25 | Trades | |
| Will Tether lose its peg by November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -0.38 | 0.12 | 0.00 | -0.25 | Trades | ||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.29 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.38 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Coinbase delist Ripple (XRP) before they begin publicly trading? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.48 | Trades | ||
| Will indoor dining be prohibited in NYC at any point before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Nate Robinson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 29 2020 | ✅ | -0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.45% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.75 | 1.93 | 0.00 | -0.83 | Trades | ||
| Will NIP or Liquid win their ESL matchup on September 1? | NIP | Liquid | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.91 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ETH be on August 11? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.72 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -0.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump join Parler before Inauguration Day? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | -1.59 | 0.61 | 0.00 | -0.97 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 2.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3715 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Associated Press publish a tweet calling the 2020 US presidential election before November 6? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 06 2020 | ✅ | -1.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 22 2022 | ✅ | -1.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.45 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -1.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.93 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 6.27 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3188 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -2.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.08 | Trades | |||
| Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | -2.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.58 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.29 | 0.00% | 0.7992 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -2.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.63 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.43 | 0.00% | 0.8752 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3.42 | 0.00% | 0.8767 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | |
| Which party will win the U.S. Senate runoff in Georgia? (Ossoff - D vs. Perdue - R) | Dems/Ossoff | Reps/Perdue | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -3.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.10 | Trades | |||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | ✅ | -3.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.14 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 05 2020 | ✅ | -3.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.33 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | -3.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.66 | Trades | ||
| Will The Build Back Better Act pass the House of Representatives by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | -3.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.99 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 120 ETH on October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | -4.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.01 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 5.61 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8264 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -4.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.64 | Trades | |
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will a US debt ceiling raise be enacted by December 15th? | Yes | No | 5.55 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 15 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5.96 | 0.00% | 0.8396 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.90 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.90 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | ✅ | -6.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Eric Adams win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -7.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.95 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 13.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5928 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -8.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -8.46 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.46 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -10.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.33 | Trades | ||
| $2000 stimulus checks by February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -19.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.37 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $20k before 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 01 2021 | ✅ | -23.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.06 | Trades | ||
| Resolved | 42.73 | 13.57 | -47.78 | 6.99 | 0.00 | 15.51 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 42.73 | 13.57 | -47.78 | 6.99 | 0.00 | 15.51 | ||||||||||||