Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4427
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.44
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
2.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.17
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
0.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.81
|
Trades
|
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.92
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.92
|
Sun Mar 27 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.42
|
Trades
|
NFL: Will the Vikings beat the Bears by more than 4.5 points in their December 20 matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Dec 20 2021
|
β
|
0.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.35
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $UMA be above $8.00 on March 17, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.69
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.69
|
Thu Mar 17 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.19
|
Trades
|
Will Man City win the Premier League? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 19 2024
|
β
|
0.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.18
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.62
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.62
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.12
|
Trades
|
Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by January 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.61
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.61
|
Sun Jan 09 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.11
|
Trades
|
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 17 2022
|
β
|
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will there be a named tropical system (storm, hurricane) Alex that forms by May 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 01 2022
|
β
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Will Axie Infinity's Battles V3 "Axie: Origin" be released by March 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Mar 31 2022
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Daniil Medvedev win the Australian Open 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 31 2022
|
β
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum reach $5000 by the end of 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com's $CRO price be above $0.60 at noon on January 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.13
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.13
|
Tue Jan 11 2022
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.03
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.01
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.01
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
NBA: Will the Warriors beat the Nuggets by more than 4.5 points in their December 30 matchup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 30 2021
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 14 2022
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.83
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.41 |
0.59 |
0.00
|
0.49
|
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.01
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.16
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
β
|
-0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.06
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.39
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.11
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea have more volume in February β22 than it did in January β22? |
Yes |
No |
0.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 02 2022
|
β
|
-0.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.20
|
Trades
|
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.06
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 12 2022
|
β
|
-0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.22
|
Trades
|
Will Elon Musk tweet βDogeβ or βDogecoinβ before March 19, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.70
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 18 2022
|
β
|
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will there be an earthquake of magnitude 4.5 or higher in the conterminous U.S. by December 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.71
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 31 2021
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Which cryptocurrency will perform better in December 2021: Bitcoin or Ethereum? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.87
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 01 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.84
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 07 2022
|
β
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.50
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop before May? |
Yes |
No |
1.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.01
|
0.00% |
|
0.9900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.39
|
4.46
|
|
|
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.44
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.39
|
4.46
|
|
|
-4.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
|