Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
364.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
364.55
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
98.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
98.30
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 24 2024
|
✅ |
78.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.20
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
✅ |
77.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
77.61
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
✅ |
52.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
52.09
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 11? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Oct 11 2023
|
✅ |
47.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
47.45
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "alien" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
41.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
41.05
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
✅ |
37.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.32
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 20 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
37.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.30
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
34.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.52
|
Trades
|
Tyson Fury vs. Francis Ngannou |
Fury |
Ngannou |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 28 2023
|
✅ |
33.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.92
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 09 2023
|
✅ |
33.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
33.75
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
✅ |
23.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.70
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
✅ |
22.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.33
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
15.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0982
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
15.78
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
1.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.33
|
Trades
|
Will "China" be said 15 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
17.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.11
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
25.34
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3255
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
25.34
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-8.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.09
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman back on OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
16.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.90
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 17 2023
|
✅ |
16.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.33
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "Obama" in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
15.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.83
|
Trades
|
OpenAI board out by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
10.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.40
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
12.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12.50
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.50
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
9.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.08
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
✅ |
8.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.33
|
Trades
|
OpenAI permanent CEO by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
7.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.56
|
Trades
|
Will "Trump" be said by every candidate in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
11.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
11.11
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.11
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
6.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.39
|
Trades
|
Will "Israel" be said 15 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
13.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
13.79
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-8.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.79
|
Trades
|
Will "Hamas" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.05
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
✅ |
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
2.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.91
|
Trades
|
Will Rafah border crossing open for humanitarian aid by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 22 2023
|
✅ |
2.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.90
|
Trades
|
Will "Biden" be said by every candidate in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
2.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.40
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
1.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.50
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
1.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.13
|
Trades
|
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Jan 14 2023
|
✅ |
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.07
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 8 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Bill Gates? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.38
|
Trades
|
Will 'Five Nights at Freddy's' gross over $80m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 29 2023
|
✅ |
-0.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Hamas x Israel ceasefire last the full 4 days? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.80
|
Trades
|
Will any Republican congressman come out as gay before March? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Oct 20? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1079
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
✅ |
-2.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.16
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas surrender in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-2.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.98
|
Trades
|
GTA 6 release date by end of year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.79
|
0.00% |
|
0.1900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will any Dem vote for the next speaker? |
Yes |
No |
15.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3158
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.80
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 3rd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
21.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2368
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.23
|
Trades
|
Will "Ukraine" be said 10 or more times in the 2nd RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
9.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Will AI be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
✅ |
-6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.20
|
Trades
|
Will anyone say "George Santos" in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
-6.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.20
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
70.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0922
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-6.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.45
|
Trades
|
Will Man City lose this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
299,636.94
|
100.00% |
|
0.0000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-7.53
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
-7.46
|
Trades
|
Will SAG end strike by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
15.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5422
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.20
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
✅ |
-8.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.50
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
150.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0613
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.20
|
Trades
|
Will "terrorist" be said 10 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
110.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0902
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
-9.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.93
|
Trades
|
Will Eric Adams resign by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-14.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.40
|
Trades
|
Will "ceasefire" be said 5 or more times in the 4th RNC primary debate? |
Yes |
No |
55.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2611
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 06 2023
|
✅ |
-14.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.42
|
Trades
|
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
54.95
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
0.2820
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 25 2023
|
✅ |
-15.50
|
0.15
|
0.00
|
-15.34
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's 538 approval rating be 38.0% or higher on December 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
30.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 13 2023
|
✅ |
-18.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
53.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.5939
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-31.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.75
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
60.04
|
50.00% |
|
0.7444
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-44.69
|
0.30
|
0.00
|
-44.40
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.54
|
0.01
|
|
|
840.72
|
0.45
|
0.08
|
919.80
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
78.54
|
0.01
|
|
|
840.72
|
0.45
|
0.08
|
919.80
|
|