Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
36.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.67
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift pregnant before March? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Saudi and Israel peace deal by March 2024? |
Yes |
No |
22.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its January meeting? |
Yes |
No |
29.41
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0680
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be Speaker by Mar 1? |
Yes |
No |
58.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0340
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June? |
Yes |
No |
25.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0780
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
9.09
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Neri Oxman's MIT degree revoked? |
Yes |
No |
111.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0180
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 31, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
165.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0121
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Abbas still President of Palestine by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
20.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump say a racial slur before February? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Sally Kornbluth out as MIT President in January? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Another Ledger leak/exploit by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
42.86
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down in January? |
Yes |
No |
27.27
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Was @SECGov really hacked? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
230.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.0130
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 12 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
OpenAI settlement with NYT by March? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
✅ |
-4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.00
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea announce bankruptcy by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
71.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
128.21
|
0.00% |
|
0.0390
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
55.56
|
0.00% |
|
0.1800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-20.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.33
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-25.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.33
|
|