Will there be a US government shutdown by Mar 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 23 2024
|
✅ |
-29.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-29.91
|
Trades
|
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
42.08
|
0.00% |
|
0.6860
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-28.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.87
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
39.73
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6387
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
-25.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.38
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
29.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7571
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-22.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.64
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
40.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4900
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
27.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $70,000 next friday? |
Yes |
No |
24.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order Before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
18.75
|
0.00% |
|
0.8000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Dave Calhoun out as Boeing CEO before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
34.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.4400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
27.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.7400
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
13.51
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.49
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.6900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
✅ |
-6.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.00
|
Trades
|
Puffer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10.20
|
0.00% |
|
0.4900
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Taiko airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.85
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
5.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8880
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Swell airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.46
|
0.00% |
|
0.7740
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
6.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8300
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Rainbow airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.95
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Ukraine aid package by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.76
|
Trades
|
Will Harvard get fewer applicants this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.2800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
✅ |
-0.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.61
|
Trades
|
Will the US ban sharing deepfake nudes in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.43
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.55
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
13.55
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-12.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.08
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
15.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7840
|
|
0.90 |
0.10 |
14.15
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-12.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.76
|
Trades
|
Aleo airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
2.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.26
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 have the hottest February on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
2.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.38
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22.47
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.47
|
Trades
|
MarginFi airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
2.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.58
|
Trades
|
Berachain airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
|
2.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.88
|
Trades
|
Congress passes bill banning TikTok by Apr 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
4.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.04
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
7.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.17
|
Trades
|
OpenAI Sora public release before May? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.39
|
0.00% |
|
0.6700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
22.39
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.39
|
Trades
|
Aleo airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
7.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.50
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
7.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.64
|
Trades
|
NVIDIA flips Apple in market cap by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.6800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
29.41
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.41
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
29.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.6800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
29.41
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.41
|
Trades
|
More hostages in Gaza freed before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
21.17
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
21.17
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-11.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.95
|
Trades
|
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
60.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
60.98
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
✅ |
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.98
|
Trades
|
SpaceX Starship launch by March 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 15 2024
|
✅ |
12.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.18
|
Trades
|
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
52.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.6696
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
52.27
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.27
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
21.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.42
|
Trades
|
CZ sentenced to prison? |
Yes |
No |
64.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6215
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
64.45
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
✅ |
-40.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.39
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
125.43
|
190.68
|
|
|
-261.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.76
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.15
|
13.51
|
|
|
-159.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-131.68
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
139.58
|
204.19
|
|
|
-420.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-76.92
|
|