Fed rate cut by December 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Dec 18 2024
|
|
976.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
976.69
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by November 7? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 07 2024
|
|
147.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
147.12
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by September 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 18 2024
|
|
131.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
131.25
|
Trades
|
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
49.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
49.50
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.89
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.46
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-93.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.81
|
Trades
|
Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-126.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-126.73
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
27,707.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3201
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-8,869.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8,869.64
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
310,996.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2829
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
310,996.30
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-87,982.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
223,013.64
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
2,166.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3974
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
2,166.67
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-861.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,305.67
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
584.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
584.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $70,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
522.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
522.86
|
Trades
|
Will Circle IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
406.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
406.06
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
806.45
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5747
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
806.45
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-463.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
342.95
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
340.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
340.54
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
324.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
324.00
|
Trades
|
Drift airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
306.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
306.33
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $55,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
476.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
476.19
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
276.19
|
Trades
|
Hyperliquid airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
303.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
303.03
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
203.03
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $3,500 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
483.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6200
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
483.87
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
183.87
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
476.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
476.19
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
176.19
|
Trades
|
Will BTC or ETH reach all-time high first? |
BTC |
ETH |
420.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
420.43
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
β
|
-273.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
147.15
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
627.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7968
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
627.50
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
127.50
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
β
|
117.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
117.50
|
Trades
|
Will Sam Altman raise >$1 trillion in Q1 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-930.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.00
|
Trades
|
Friend.Tech airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
51.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.52
|
Trades
|
New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
300.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.8300
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
300.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-249.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.00
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
37.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.93
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Coin Toss Heads or Tails? |
Heads |
Tails |
60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
60.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.00
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: First offensive play Run or Pass? |
Run |
Pass |
79.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
79.37
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.37
|
Trades
|
Will Warpcast break top 5 on the iOS App Store in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9710
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-971.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
29.00
|
Trades
|
More migrant encounters at border in February compared to January? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
23.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.53
|
Trades
|
US bank failure in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
114.94
|
0.00% |
|
0.8700
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
114.94
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.94
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Travis Kelce scores first touchdown? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
112.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8900
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
112.36
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.36
|
Trades
|
Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
12.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9740
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-194.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.20
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Field goal from 50+ yards? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
92.59
|
0.00% |
|
0.5400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will Solana Network go down again in February? |
Yes |
No |
416.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Pudgy Penguins airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
-83.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-83.33
|
Trades
|
Rabby airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
-93.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-93.69
|
Trades
|
Berachain airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 28 2024
|
β
|
-95.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-95.65
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl LVIII: Overtime? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
108.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Feb 10 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $100,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
737.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1356
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic VP nominee? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 22 2024
|
β
|
-101.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-101.89
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-115.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-115.38
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by June 12? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 12 2024
|
β
|
-153.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-153.20
|
Trades
|
Puffer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-157.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-157.45
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-180.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-180.38
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by July 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Wed Jul 31 2024
|
β
|
-186.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-186.02
|
Trades
|
Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
231.28
|
0.00% |
|
0.8648
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 16 2024
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $90,000 in March? |
Yes |
No |
1,061.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1885
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by May 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 01 2024
|
β
|
-227.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-227.60
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7738
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-619.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-619.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
316,896.00
|
2,727.31
|
|
|
-93,692.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
225,930.72
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-7,832.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7,832.98
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
316,896.00
|
2,727.31
|
|
|
-101,525.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
218,097.74
|
|