Tether Insolvent in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.70
|
Trades
|
Canada federal election in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
790.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
790.77
|
Trades
|
Continued US strikes against Houthis? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 14 2024
|
β
|
259.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
259.96
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by Jan 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 20 2024
|
β
|
193.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
193.80
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
β
|
141.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
141.41
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Yemen in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
70.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.18
|
Trades
|
US response to Iranβs drone attack by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
68.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.44
|
Trades
|
Will Israel start flooding Hamas tunnels by December 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 15 2023
|
β
|
54.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.78
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0% from Oct to Nov 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 12 2023
|
β
|
48.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.71
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
34.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.25
|
Trades
|
UFC 297: Who will win - Allen or Evloev? |
Allen |
Evloev |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 19 2024
|
β
|
32.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.48
|
Trades
|
49ers vs. Lions |
49ers |
Lions |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 28 2024
|
β
|
12.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.35
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
10.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.96
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
9.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.93
|
Trades
|
Will any of the college presidents who testified on antisemitism leave by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
9.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.12
|
Trades
|
Liz Magill still UPenn President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
|
β
|
1.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.70
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.18 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.36
|
Trades
|
Odie successfully lands on the moon by Thursday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 22 2024
|
β
|
1.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.21
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Sally Kornbluth still MIT President by end of 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Will US attack Iran by February 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
-1.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.29
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.32
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 12+ hostages in a single day by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.88
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship launch before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-1.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.97
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in South Gaza by Dec 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
7.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.4100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 08 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Lukashenko in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
15.79
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-7.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.96
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-10.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.10
|
Trades
|
Will Venezuela invade Guyana before February? |
Yes |
No |
62.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2193
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-13.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.73
|
Trades
|
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-17.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.14
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-18.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-18.30
|
Trades
|
Bills vs. Chiefs |
Bills |
Chiefs |
36.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 21 2024
|
β
|
-24.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-24.00
|
Trades
|
Nikki Haley wins >50% of the vote in Nevada Republican primary? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 06 2024
|
β
|
-26.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.24
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
190.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.1442
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
-27.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.43
|
Trades
|
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
375.45
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jan 11 2024
|
β
|
-206.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-206.50
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.02
|
|
|
1,376.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,376.47
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.80
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.02
|
|
|
1,377.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,377.28
|
|