Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
97.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.91
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
70.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
70.43
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
45.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.88
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2k by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 14 2023
|
β
|
43.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.34
|
Trades
|
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 05 2023
|
β
|
35.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
35.58
|
Trades
|
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $90 or more on August 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
23.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.79
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
13.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
13.62
|
Trades
|
Will Coinbase resume USDC redemptions by Monday night? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
10.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.44
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
7.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.11
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 10 2022
|
β
|
6.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.05
|
Trades
|
NYC Air Quality Index above 165 on June 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 08 2023
|
β
|
5.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.42
|
Trades
|
Ethereum Shanghai Upgrade by April 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
25.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0400
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 15 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,800 on April 3? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 02 2023
|
β
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.20
|
Trades
|
Will Christoph Strasser win the 2023 Transcontinental Race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.16
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
135.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-10.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.80
|
Trades
|
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.00
|
Trades
|
Will natural gas close above $8 on August 8, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
46.17
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5414
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 08 2022
|
β
|
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
58.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.5402
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-31.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.70
|
Trades
|
Will Tiktok be banned in the US by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
353.82
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1083
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-38.31
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-38.31
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-90.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-90.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
108.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
108.39
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
108.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
108.39
|
|