Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Fed rate cut by May 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 270.13 0.00 0.00 270.13 Trades
Fed rate cut by June 12? Yes No 0.00 10.16 0.00% -9.7755 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 12 2024 99.29 0.00 0.00 99.29 Trades
Will Trump and Biden debate before presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
LayerZero airdrop by April? Yes No 0.00 0.14 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 30 2024 -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
OpenAI settlement with NYT by end of 2024? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -0.80 0.00 0.00 -0.80 Trades
Trump and Biden both win nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.79 0.21 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -9.49 0.00 0.00 -9.48 Trades
Fed rate cut by July 31? Yes No 533.10 0.00 0.00% 0.4738 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 31 2024 -252.57 0.00 0.00 -252.57 Trades
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 2,929.71 0.00% 0.4996 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -1,463.77 0.00 0.00 -1,463.77 Trades
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 4,422.58 0.00 0.00 4,422.58 Trades
Will a fourth US bank fail by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ 2,866.99 0.00 0.00 2,866.99 Trades
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 15 2024 ✅ 1,389.00 0.00 0.00 1,389.00 Trades
SUI above $1.00 on May 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 10 2023 ✅ 1,218.44 0.00 0.00 1,218.44 Trades
US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? Yes No 4,594.31 0.00 0.00% -0.2629 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 1,207.99 0.00 0.00 1,207.99 Trades
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 14.28 0.00% -79.5865 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 1,136.75 0.00 0.00 1,136.75 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ 990.71 0.00 0.00 990.71 Trades
Will China report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 05 2022 ✅ 806.14 0.00 0.00 806.14 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 796.42 0.00 0.00 796.42 Trades
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 629.09 0.00 0.00 629.09 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $105 or more on April 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 519.20 0.84 0.00 520.04 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 461.90 0.00 0.00 461.90 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 440.06 0.00 0.00 440.06 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,500 by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ 422.68 0.00 0.00 422.68 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will Jessica Chastain win Best Actress? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ 380.60 0.39 0.00 380.99 Trades
Claudine Gay still Harvard President by end of 2023? Yes No 0.00 515.33 0.00% -0.7136 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 367.75 0.00 0.00 367.75 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $115 or more on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ 366.42 0.00 0.00 366.42 Trades
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 364.38 0.00 0.00 364.39 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on May 1, 2022? Yes No 9.28 0.00 0.00% -38.1301 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 353.83 0.00 0.00 353.83 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be President of Ukraine on April 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 22 2022 ✅ 322.30 0.00 0.00 322.30 Trades
Will Messi score in his next game? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 ✅ 310.12 0.00 0.00 310.12 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Sep 22? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 22 2023 ✅ 265.21 0.00 0.00 265.21 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $10 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ 264.20 0.00 0.00 264.20 Trades
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 257.49 0.00 0.00 257.49 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ 249.00 0.00 0.00 249.00 Trades
Will the price of Polygon (MATIC) be above $1.45 on April 29th, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ 232.22 0.00 0.00 232.22 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from June to July 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 10 2022 ✅ 227.72 0.00 0.00 227.72 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 222.45 0.00 0.00 222.45 Trades
Will President Biden mention SWIFT in the 2022 State of the Union Address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 219.13 0.00 0.00 219.13 Trades
Will Sam Altman be the 2023 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 14 2023 ✅ 214.45 0.00 0.00 214.45 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from June to July 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 ✅ 211.95 0.00 0.00 211.95 Trades
Blur airdrop by Nov 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 20 2023 ✅ 206.42 0.00 0.00 206.42 Trades
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.33 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.33 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 204.96 0.00 0.00 205.29 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 3.03 0.00 0.00% -65.8104 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ 199.18 0.00 0.00 199.18 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.4% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ 198.50 0.00 0.00 198.50 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 ✅ 197.76 0.00 0.00 197.76 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 187.52 0.00 0.00 187.52 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 15 2022 ✅ 180.01 0.00 0.00 180.01 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Nov 19 2023 ✅ 179.98 0.00 0.00 179.98 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ 176.00 0.00 0.00 176.00 Trades
Will a barrel of crude oil close at $100 or more on May 4, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ 171.60 0.00 0.00 171.60 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 0.75% after their scheduled May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ 170.88 0.01 0.00 170.89 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,900 on August 19? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 19 2022 ✅ 167.96 0.00 0.00 167.96 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from May to June 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 ✅ 166.37 0.00 0.00 166.37 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 13 2023 ✅ 161.75 0.00 0.00 161.75 Trades
Will Trump mention "Russia/Putin" 5 or more times during his CNN town hall? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ 145.97 0.00 0.00 145.97 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 144.92 0.00 0.00 144.92 Trades
ARB above $1.50 on April 26? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% -2.8900 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 26 2023 ✅ 144.50 0.00 0.00 144.50 Trades
Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $100 or more on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ 140.72 0.14 0.00 140.86 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.2%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 ✅ 139.90 0.00 0.00 139.90 Trades
UFC 287: Who will win - Pereira or Adesanya? Pereira Adesanya 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 ✅ 135.19 0.00 0.00 135.19 Trades
UFC 274: Who will win - Charles Oliveira or Justin Gaethje? Oliveira Gaethje 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 ✅ 132.17 0.00 0.00 132.17 Trades
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? Yes No 1.40 0.00 0.00% -91.7055 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ 128.44 0.00 0.00 128.44 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,900 on May 7, 2022? Yes No 7.26 0.00 0.08% -17.3503 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 07 2022 ✅ 125.96 1.05 0.00 127.01 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 122.45 0.00 0.00 122.46 Trades
Will Mitt Romney vote to confirm Ketanji Brown Jackson to SCOTUS by December 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 119.88 0.00 0.00 119.88 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 118.27 0.00 0.00 118.27 Trades
Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 10 2022 ✅ 111.25 1.22 0.00 112.47 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.11 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 105.59 0.00 0.00 105.59 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 103.59 0.00 0.00 104.59 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,700 on August 12? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 12 2022 ✅ 100.14 0.00 0.00 100.14 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,400 on April 8th, 2022? Yes No 2.23 0.00 0.00% -44.5194 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 ✅ 99.42 0.00 0.00 99.42 Trades
Will $ETH hit $3,000 or $2,000 first? $3,000 $2,000 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ 98.92 0.00 0.00 98.92 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.4% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ 91.55 0.00 0.00 91.55 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 75.26 0.00 0.00% -1.1021 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 82.95 0.00 0.00 82.95 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ 76.50 0.00 0.00 76.50 Trades
Will 'Expend4bles' gross over $12.5m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 25 2023 ✅ 56.98 0.00 0.00 56.98 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,800 on June 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ 54.66 0.00 0.00 54.66 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 65.00 0.00 0.00% -0.7577 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 ✅ 49.25 0.00 0.00 49.25 Trades
Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 ✅ 48.40 0.00 0.00 48.40 Trades
Will there be more than 5 million Ukrainian refugees by April 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.30 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ 46.06 0.00 0.00 46.06 Trades
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? Yes No 0.99 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 45.30 0.00 0.00 45.30 Trades
Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 44.16 0.00 0.00 44.16 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 43.20 0.00 0.00 43.20 Trades
World Cup: Saturday - France vs. England France England 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 10 2022 ✅ 36.82 0.00 0.00 36.82 Trades
Will Lost Ark be #1 for peak players on Steam on February 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 ✅ 34.61 0.12 0.00 34.72 Trades
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 303.33 0.00% -0.1108 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 33.60 0.00 0.00 33.60 Trades
American aid to Israel by Dec 31? Yes No 20.13 0.00 0.00% -1.6035 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 32.28 0.00 0.00 32.28 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ 31.55 0.00 0.00 31.55 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 ✅ 31.20 0.00 0.00 31.20 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.57 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.57 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 ✅ 25.06 0.00 0.00 25.63 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its November meeting? Yes No 0.00 1.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ 22.25 0.00 0.00 23.25 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue Jun 07 2022 ✅ 23.05 0.00 0.00 23.06 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1300 on Sept 30? Yes No 0.00 43.62 0.00% -0.5270 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 22.99 0.00 0.00 22.99 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 22.11 0.00 0.00 22.11 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ 21.40 0.00 0.00 21.40 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 0.45 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 ✅ 21.36 0.00 0.00 21.36 Trades
Will President Biden visit Ukraine by June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ 20.28 0.00 0.00 20.29 Trades
Will WeWork announce bankruptcy in 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 19.57 0.00 0.00 19.57 Trades
Will Lost Ark be in the top 2 most played games on Steam on May 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ 18.54 0.00 0.00 18.55 Trades
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 18.47 0.00 0.00 18.47 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.76 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 13 2022 ✅ 17.85 0.00 0.00 17.85 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? Democrat Republican 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 ✅ 17.55 0.00 0.00 17.55 Trades
Will Zelenskyy's show 'Servant of the People' be in the weekly Netflix Global Top 10 list by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 17.52 0.00 0.00 17.52 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 ✅ 16.90 0.00 0.00 16.90 Trades
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? Yes No 2.72 0.00 0.00% -5.6465 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 15.37 0.00 0.00 15.37 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.4% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.39 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 ✅ 13.54 0.00 0.00 13.54 Trades
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 12.41 0.00 0.00 12.42 Trades
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? Yes No 1.05 0.00 0.00% -10.5133 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ 11.04 0.00 0.00 11.04 Trades
Will ‘BlockFi Yield’ become available to US citizens by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ 10.53 0.00 0.00 10.53 Trades
Will Andy Warhol’s 'Shot Sage Blue Marilyn' sell at Christie's for $200 million or more? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ 10.44 0.00 0.00 10.44 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet in person before June 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ 9.97 0.00 0.00 9.98 Trades
Will ApeCoin (APE) reach $20 by May 4? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 04 2022 ✅ 9.47 0.00 0.00 9.47 Trades
BAYC Metaverse: Will the floor price of Otherdeed be above 3.5 ETH on May 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ 9.29 0.00 0.00 9.29 Trades
Will crude oil hit $100 in 2023? Yes No 0.00 1.69 0.00% -3.3500 0.00 1.00 0.00 1.69 Fri Dec 29 2023 ✅ 5.68 0.00 0.00 7.37 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $2,600 on March 15, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ 6.93 0.00 0.00 6.93 Trades
Will Elden Ring be in the top 5 most played games on Steam on April 25, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 ✅ 6.67 0.00 0.00 6.67 Trades
Will Bitcoin (BTC) reach its all-time high in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 6.24 0.00 0.00 6.25 Trades
UFC 273: Who will win — Aljamain Sterling or Petr Yan? Sterling Yan 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 09 2022 ✅ 5.25 0.00 0.00 5.25 Trades
Will President Biden issue an executive order mentioning cryptocurrency by February 25? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 ✅ 5.07 0.00 0.00 5.07 Trades
World Cup: Wednesday - France vs. Morocco France Morocco 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ 4.76 0.00 0.00 4.76 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $5 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ 4.49 0.00 0.00 4.49 Trades
Will Trump be indicted a third time by August 31? Yes No 0.00 4.18 0.00% -0.9982 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 30 2023 ✅ 4.17 0.00 0.00 4.17 Trades
Will Milady outperform BAYC through Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 3.90 0.00 0.00 3.90 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 3.25 0.00 0.00 3.25 Trades
Will Truth Social be the #1 Free Social Networking App in the US Apple App Store on May 10? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 10 2022 ✅ 2.86 0.00 0.00 2.86 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.97 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.48 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ 2.28 0.00 0.00 2.77 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 31 2022 ✅ 2.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk become CEO of Twitter by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 30 2022 ✅ 1.97 0.00 0.00 1.98 Trades
Will Milady flip Azuki by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ 1.78 0.00 0.00 1.78 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ 1.32 0.00 0.00 1.32 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 41.5% or higher on January 6, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 07 2022 ✅ 0.97 0.00 0.00 0.97 Trades
Will President Biden mention Russia/Putin 12 or more times in his 1st State of the Union address? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 ✅ 0.91 0.00 0.00 0.92 Trades
Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ 0.53 0.00 0.00 0.53 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of MetaMask’s $MASK token be higher than $5 Billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 ✅ 0.43 0.00 0.00 0.43 Trades
Who will win the 2022 South Korean presidential election? Lee Jae-myung Yoon Seok-youl 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ 0.41 0.00 0.00 0.41 Trades
Will ECDC announce a new COVID-19 "Variant of Concern" before August 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 ✅ 0.22 0.00 0.00 0.22 Trades
Will the Atlanta Hawks make the 2022 NBA playoffs? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 15 2022 ✅ 0.05 0.02 0.00 0.07 Trades
Will the price of Bitcoin (BTC) be above $42,000 on 4/20? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -0.03 0.00 0.00 -0.03 Trades
Will Ye say something antisemitic before February? Yes No 19.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0021 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -0.04 0.00 0.00 -0.04 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 10,000 by December 31? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 07 2023 ✅ -0.08 0.00 0.00 -0.08 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 25,000 by May 1st, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 08 2022 ✅ -0.10 0.00 0.00 -0.10 Trades
Will ‘Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness’ gross $200 million or more on the opening weekend in the USA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 09 2022 ✅ -0.14 0.00 0.00 -0.14 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Wed Jun 22 2022 ✅ -0.16 0.00 0.00 -0.16 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -0.49 0.00 0.00 -0.49 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1200 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 1.17 0.00 0.00% 0.4485 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -0.53 0.00 0.00 -0.52 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 1.96 0.00% 0.5100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 24, 2022? Yes No 1.66 0.00 0.00% 0.6038 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 24 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022? Yes No 3.19 0.00 0.00% 0.3131 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 13 2022 ✅ -1.00 0.00 0.00 -1.00 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? Democratic Republican 0.00 0.31 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -1.45 0.00 0.00 -1.45 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by July 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -1.65 0.00 0.00 -1.65 Trades
Who will have a higher net worth on April 20th: Mark Zuckerberg or Michael Bloomberg? Mark Zuckerberg Michael Bloomberg 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -1.70 0.00 0.00 -1.70 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from February to March 2023? Yes No 15.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 ✅ -2.25 0.00 0.00 -2.25 Trades
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? Yes No 0.00 20.00 0.00% 0.1600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 21 2023 ✅ -3.20 0.00 0.00 -3.20 Trades
Will Trump mention "AI/GPT" during his CNN town hall? Yes No 30.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -3.30 0.00 0.00 -3.30 Trades
ARB or SUI higher on May 19? ARB SUI 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 19 2023 ✅ -3.80 0.00 0.00 -3.80 Trades
Will Binance.US shut down by June 30? Yes No 112.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0369 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -4.15 0.00 0.00 -4.15 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 02 2022 ✅ -4.25 0.00 0.00 -4.25 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Blitz Championship? Yes No 9.61 0.00 0.00% 0.5201 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 30 2021 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on August 26? Yes No 8.54 0.00 0.00% 0.5855 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 26 2022 ✅ -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Ethereum's price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in April 2022? Yes No 3.86 0.00 0.00% 1.4745 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 ✅ -5.68 0.00 0.00 -5.68 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.5% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -6.00 0.00 0.00 -6.00 Trades
Will the price of $BTC be above $39,000 on March 16, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 16 2022 ✅ -6.38 0.00 0.00 -6.38 Trades
ETH above $1,600 on Halloween? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 ✅ -6.66 0.00 0.00 -6.66 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 100,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -6.73 0.00 0.00 -6.73 Trades
Will the fully diluted market cap of BAYC’s $APE token be higher than $2 billion a week after its launch? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -7.17 0.00 0.00 -7.17 Trades
Will the price of wheat close above $1050 on April 29, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -7.25 0.00 0.00 -7.25 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be above $1350 on October 14? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 14 2022 ✅ -7.58 0.00 0.00 -7.58 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,200 on July 22? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 22 2022 ✅ -8.23 0.00 0.00 -8.23 Trades
Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first? $1 first $2 first 0.00 57.14 0.00% 0.1487 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -8.50 0.00 0.00 -8.50 Trades
Will Parag Agrawal remain CEO of Twitter through June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -9.13 0.00 0.00 -9.13 Trades
Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 23? Yes No 0.00 103.69 0.00% 0.0964 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will US inflation be more than 0.5% from December 2022 to January 2023? Yes No 50.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 14 2023 ✅ -10.00 0.00 0.00 -10.00 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 9, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 09 2022 ✅ -10.97 0.00 0.00 -10.97 Trades
$ARB above $2 one week after launch? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -11.00 0.00 0.00 -11.00 Trades
Will US inflation be greater than 0.4% from January to February 2023? Yes No 12.20 0.00 0.00% 0.9702 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -11.84 0.00 0.00 -11.84 Trades
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -11.85 0.00 0.00 -11.85 Trades
Will Israel Adesanya win by finish? Yes No 20.00 0.00 0.00% 0.6000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Sep 04 2023 ✅ -12.00 0.00 0.00 -12.00 Trades
[From Nate Silver] Will there be a federal mask requirement on US domestic flights on November 8, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 ✅ -12.23 0.00 0.00 -12.23 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 120.00 0.00% 0.1033 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -12.40 0.00 0.00 -12.40 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 75.00 0.00% 0.2020 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -15.15 0.00 0.00 -15.15 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 ✅ -15.23 0.00 0.00 -15.23 Trades
Will the price of Dogecoin (DOGE) be above $0.142069 on May 6, 2022? Yes No 8.66 0.00 0.00% 1.9475 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 06 2022 ✅ -16.86 0.08 0.00 -16.78 Trades
Will the price of $MATIC be above $1.40 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -17.07 0.00 0.00 -17.07 Trades
Will First Republic Bank fail by April 30? Yes No 100.01 0.00 0.00% 0.1890 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -18.90 0.00 0.00 -18.90 Trades
UFC 273: Who will win - Alexander Volkanovski or Chan Sung Jung (Korean Zombie)? Volkanovski Jung 0.00 153.30 0.00% 0.1305 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 09 2022 ✅ -20.00 0.00 0.00 -20.00 Trades
Will Unslashed Insurance payout for an Anchor + UST depeg by June 30, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 30 2022 ✅ -20.01 0.00 0.00 -20.01 Trades
Will Ethereum's (ETH) price have a 10% or more daily change on any day in May 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 31 2022 ✅ -20.07 0.00 0.00 -20.07 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,100 on April 28, 2022? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 28 2022 ✅ -20.71 0.00 0.00 -20.71 Trades
Will the WGA strike end by May 31? Yes No 270.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 ✅ -21.60 0.00 0.00 -21.60 Trades
Will US inflation be greater than 0.5% from January to February 2023? Yes No 136.53 0.00 0.00% 0.1831 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 ✅ -25.00 0.00 0.00 -25.00 Trades
Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz Paul Diaz 0.00 115.00 0.00% 0.2287 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 05 2023 ✅ -26.30 0.00 0.00 -26.30 Trades
Will Trump's mugshot be public by Wednesday? Yes No 400.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 05 2023 ✅ -28.00 0.00 0.00 -28.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.7% from April to May 2022? Yes No 0.00 79.73 0.00% 0.3763 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 10 2022 ✅ -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 2,011.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0151 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -30.33 0.00 0.00 -30.33 Trades
BTC above $26,000 at end of August? Yes No 0.00 19.99 0.00% 1.6095 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -32.18 0.00 0.00 -32.18 Trades
Will EUR be worth more than USD again before November? Yes No 0.00 259.09 0.00% 0.1276 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 31 2022 ✅ -33.05 0.00 0.00 -33.05 Trades
Rollbit rug by August 31? Yes No 1,140.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0297 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 ✅ -33.88 0.00 0.00 -33.88 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 21 2022 ✅ -34.27 0.00 0.00 -34.27 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -39.82 0.00 0.00 -39.82 Trades
Epstein documents unsealed by Jan 31? Yes No 0.00 194.65 0.00% 0.2047 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 31 2024 ✅ -39.84 0.00 0.00 -39.84 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? Yes No 2,315.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0186 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -43.05 0.00 0.00 -43.05 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 50,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -43.21 0.00 0.00 -43.21 Trades
Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 16 2022 ✅ -45.02 0.00 0.00 -45.02 Trades
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? Higher Lower 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 ✅ -45.02 0.00 0.00 -45.02 Trades
Arbitrum token FDV >$5b one week after launch? Yes No 0.00 2,000.00 0.00% 0.0230 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -46.00 0.00 0.00 -46.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from February to March 2023? Yes No 100.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 11 2023 ✅ -46.00 0.00 0.00 -46.00 Trades
Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? Yes No 0.00 81.66 0.00% 0.6123 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 14 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
FIFA World Cup Qualifier: Who will win USA vs. Costa Rica on March 30? USA Costa Rica 83.56 0.00 0.00% 0.5983 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 30 2022 ✅ -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? Yes No 1.05 0.00 0.00% 47.8859 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -50.35 0.00 0.00 -50.35 Trades
JN.1 most common COVID variant in US by Dec 23? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 23 2023 ✅ -51.25 0.00 0.00 -51.25 Trades
Will Hamas release more hostages by November 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 30 2023 ✅ -52.73 0.00 0.00 -52.73 Trades
Who will win Jake Paul vs. Anderson Silva on October 29? Jake Paul Anderson Silva 0.00 171.42 0.00% 0.3184 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 29 2022 ✅ -54.57 0.00 0.00 -54.57 Trades
Will the AAA US average national gas price drop below $4 by April 8, 2022? Yes No 0.33 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 08 2022 ✅ -62.10 0.00 0.00 -62.10 Trades
$ARB above $10 one week after launch? Yes No 5,620.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0120 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 30 2023 ✅ -67.40 0.00 0.00 -67.40 Trades
Will FTX relaunch by June 30? Yes No 2,277.74 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 ✅ -68.33 0.00 0.00 -68.33 Trades
Will there be more than 4 million Ukrainian refugees by March 24? Yes No 0.32 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 24 2022 ✅ -70.01 0.00 0.00 -70.01 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,250 on April 13th, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 13 2022 ✅ -125.76 44.86 0.00 -80.91 Trades
Will the Russian Ruble (RUB) fall below $0.01 by March 15? Yes No 0.00 527.21 0.00% 0.1574 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 15 2022 ✅ -83.00 0.00 0.00 -83.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 ✅ -84.82 0.00 0.00 -84.82 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 160.93 0.00 0.00% 0.5329 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 ✅ -85.76 0.00 0.00 -85.76 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after its December meeting? Yes No 227.10 0.00 0.00% 0.3883 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Dec 14 2022 ✅ -88.18 0.00 0.00 -88.18 Trades
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? Yes No 0.00 575.81 0.00% 0.1567 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 ✅ -90.24 0.00 0.00 -90.24 Trades
Will $ETH be above $1,600 on July 29? Yes No 0.00 0.77 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 29 2022 ✅ -90.92 0.00 0.00 -90.92 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.00% (50 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? Yes No 0.00 173.89 0.00% 0.5296 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jul 27 2022 ✅ -92.09 0.00 0.00 -92.09 Trades
Will the floor price of Bored Apes be over 100 ETH on April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 574.92 0.00% 0.1674 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 ✅ -96.24 0.00 0.00 -96.24 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will CODA win Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 277.20 0.00% 0.3968 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 ✅ -110.00 0.00 0.00 -110.00 Trades
Will France win the 2022 World Cup? Yes No 230.73 0.00 0.00% 0.4811 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -111.00 0.00 0.00 -111.00 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 862.58 0.00 0.00% 0.1290 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 ✅ -111.23 0.00 0.00 -111.23 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 ✅ -115.14 0.00 0.00 -115.14 Trades
BTC above $27,000 at end of September? Yes No 0.00 218.38 0.00% 0.5500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 ✅ -120.11 0.00 0.00 -120.11 Trades
UFC 285: Who will win - Jones or Gane? Jones Gane 0.00 311.85 0.00% 0.4496 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 04 2023 ✅ -140.22 0.00 0.00 -140.22 Trades
Will the price of natural gas close at $7.00 or more on April 29, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 29 2022 ✅ -157.71 0.00 0.00 -157.71 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 5.44 0.00 0.01% 32.4294 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 ✅ -176.54 8.48 0.00 -168.06 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 1,422.69 0.00 0.00% 0.1201 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 ✅ -170.80 0.00 0.00 -170.80 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 0.00 460.00 0.00% 0.3739 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 ✅ -172.00 0.00 0.00 -172.00 Trades
Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on 7 consecutive days before June 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 01 2022 ✅ -178.19 0.00 0.00 -178.19 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 257.26 0.00% 0.6997 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -180.00 0.00 0.00 -180.00 Trades
Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? Yes No 282.31 0.00 0.00% 0.6467 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 12 2022 ✅ -182.56 0.00 0.00 -182.56 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 1,994.34 0.00 0.00% 0.0942 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -187.86 0.00 0.00 -187.86 Trades
World Cup Final: France vs. Argentina France Argentina 413.52 0.00 0.00% 0.5025 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 ✅ -207.80 0.00 0.00 -207.80 Trades
Will anyone say "Bidenomics" in the RNC primary debate on August 23? Yes No 0.00 381.61 0.00% 0.5616 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 18 2023 ✅ -214.30 0.00 0.00 -214.30 Trades
Will Mike Johnson be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 739.32 0.00% 0.2936 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 ✅ -217.09 0.00 0.00 -217.09 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 ✅ -222.06 0.00 0.00 -222.06 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 1,270.68 0.00 0.00% 0.1991 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 ✅ -253.01 0.00 0.00 -253.01 Trades
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 23 2022 ✅ -259.22 0.00 0.00 -259.22 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from March to April 2023? Yes No 0.00 884.10 0.00% 0.3000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 09 2023 ✅ -265.23 0.00 0.00 -265.23 Trades
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? $2000 $2500 1,955.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1562 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ -305.32 0.00 0.00 -305.32 Trades
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? Yes No 0.00 512.93 0.00% 0.6002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 05 2024 ✅ -307.85 0.00 0.00 -307.85 Trades
ETH above $1,700 on Aug 25? Yes No 609.00 0.00 0.00% 0.5257 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 ✅ -320.15 0.00 0.00 -320.15 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.1% from May to Jun 2023? Yes No 0.00 811.00 0.00% 0.4292 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 11 2023 ✅ -348.06 0.00 0.00 -348.06 Trades
Will $ETH be above $2,000 on May 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri May 20 2022 ✅ -395.99 0.00 0.00 -395.99 Trades
Will more than 2.4 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1, 2022? Yes No 737.63 0.00 0.00% 0.5529 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 01 2022 ✅ -407.85 0.34 0.00 -407.51 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? Yes No 1,300.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3360 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 09 2023 ✅ -436.75 0.00 0.00 -436.75 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 200,000 again by August 1, 2022? Yes No 1,332.20 0.00 0.00% 0.3482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 08 2022 ✅ -463.88 0.00 0.00 -463.88 Trades
Will the AAA average US gas price still be above $4 on March 25, 2022? Yes No 0.00 1,696.10 0.00% 0.2861 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 25 2022 ✅ -485.18 0.00 0.00 -485.18 Trades
Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? $1800 $2200 2,623.28 0.00 0.00% 0.2048 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 01 2024 ✅ -537.31 0.00 0.00 -537.31 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 1,783.82 0.00% 0.3842 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -685.25 0.00 0.00 -685.25 Trades
Will $ETH be above $3,000 on April 20, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 20 2022 ✅ -691.47 0.23 0.00 -691.25 Trades
Trump heavier than 260 lbs? Yes No 3,257.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2278 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 ✅ -741.86 0.00 0.00 -741.86 Trades
Will 2024 have the hottest March on record? Yes No 0.00 2,780.77 0.00% 0.2966 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 01 2024 ✅ -824.69 0.00 0.00 -824.69 Trades
Will the Fed set interest rates above 1.50% after their scheduled June meeting? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 15 2022 ✅ -932.87 0.00 0.00 -932.87 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from March to April 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,169.19 0.00% 0.4347 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 11 2022 ✅ -943.00 0.00 0.00 -943.00 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 4,607.35 0.00% 0.3023 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -1,393.00 0.00 0.00 -1,393.00 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 1,449.93 0.00 0.00% 1.0321 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 ✅ -1,496.47 0.00 0.00 -1,496.47 Trades
US inflation >0.2% from Nov to Dec 2023? Yes No 0.00 2,681.09 0.00% 0.5875 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jan 11 2024 ✅ -1,575.19 0.00 0.00 -1,575.19 Trades
Fed rate cut by March 20? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 20 2024 ✅ -2,630.84 0.00 0.00 -2,630.84 Trades
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? Yes No 0.00 5,840.44 0.00% 0.4507 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 ✅ -2,632.39 0.00 0.00 -2,632.39 Trades
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from August to September 2022? Yes No 0.00 6,115.37 0.00% 0.4829 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Oct 13 2022 ✅ -2,952.94 0.00 0.00 -2,952.94 Trades
Resolved 1.07 4.08 538.90 57.77 0.00 601.83
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -1,357.30 0.00 0.00 -1,357.30
Total 1.07 4.08 -818.40 57.77 0.00 -755.47