Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
28.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.32
|
Trades
|
Will Gavin Newsom win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.06 |
0.94 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-1.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.26
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.07 |
0.93 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-4.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.17
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
✅ |
140.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
140.46
|
Trades
|
Will Kane sign for Bayern Munich? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
73.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
73.44
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
63.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
63.80
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from June to July 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 09 2023
|
✅ |
37.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.14
|
Trades
|
Will YNW Melly be found guilty? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
23.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.33
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
✅ |
18.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.74
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
3.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.53
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
✅ |
1.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.63
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.73
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.73
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.66
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
0.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.45
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-0.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.53
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-1.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
✅ |
-1.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.62
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker interview Putin? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.64
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.43
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck KO Musk? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
✅ |
-4.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.44
|
Trades
|
Will any major Iranian oil refinery be taken out by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-7.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.39
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-9.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.16
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) tweet by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11.36
|
0.00% |
|
0.8800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
✅ |
-17.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.42
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
✅ |
-31.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-31.03
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
105.47
|
0.00% |
|
0.7631
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
-80.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.49
|
Trades
|
Will SBF get Adderall in jail? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
131.40
|
0.00% |
|
0.7076
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
✅ |
-92.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.98
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
0.77
|
|
|
94.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
95.49
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
|
|
22.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.90
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.03
|
0.77
|
|
|
117.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
118.38
|
|