Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.02
|
0.00% |
|
0.9800
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.02
|
Thu Aug 01 2024
|
✅ |
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.54
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.54
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
✅ |
-0.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
House control after 2024 election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-0.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.04
|
Trades
|
Ethereum all time high in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.49 |
0.51 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI announce it has achieved AGI in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.31
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.29
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.49
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-0.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.72
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
0.00
|
1.37
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
1.56
|
|
|
-1.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.70
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
1.57
|
|
|
-4.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.68
|
|