Will $ETH hit $1,800 or $2,200 first? |
$1800 |
$2200 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
15.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.15
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH hit $2,000 or $2,500 first? |
$2000 |
$2500 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 01 2024
|
β
|
90.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
90.91
|
Trades
|
SBF guilty of all charges? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
2.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.70
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
137.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
137.66
|
Trades
|
Hamas command center under al-Shifa Hospital? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
4.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.29
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
β
|
34.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
34.64
|
Trades
|
Will the ICJ find Israel guilty of genocide before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 01 2024
|
β
|
0.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.96
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Biden say "Hunter" during his State of the Union address? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 06 2024
|
β
|
66.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
66.90
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name Elon Musk? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.68
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-5.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.80
|
Trades
|
Will Trump win the 2024 Iowa Caucus? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 05 2024
|
β
|
4.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.00
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
79.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.57
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
75.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
75.32
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.22
|
Trades
|
LayerZero airdrop in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
5.49
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.50
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
22.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.33
|
Trades
|
George Santos expelled in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
12.05
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8300
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
12.05
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.05
|
Trades
|
Will there be 21+ named storms during the Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
56.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.10
|
Trades
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.35
|
Trades
|
Sam Altman announces new company by Nov 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
β
|
0.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.00
|
Trades
|
Will βThe Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakesβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'The Marvels'? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by November 19? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 19 2023
|
β
|
0.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.28
|
Trades
|
Will Javier Milei win by more than 5% in the 2023 Argentina Presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 18 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Poloniex hacker return the stolen funds by Nov 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 17 2023
|
β
|
72.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
72.74
|
Trades
|
Will Hamas release 20+ hostages in a single day by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
28.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.76
|
Trades
|
Will Ohioβs abortion referendum pass? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
43.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
43.46
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
0.72
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.72
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
30.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.99
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
56.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will SMER win a plurality? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
618.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
618.30
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
5.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.85
|
Trades
|
Military intervention in Niger by September 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 15 2023
|
β
|
11.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.00
|
Trades
|
ETH above $1,700 on Sep 8? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 08 2023
|
β
|
10.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.36
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1,393.59
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0661
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-92.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-92.05
|
Trades
|
Will Optimism ($OP) close above $5 on its 1st day of trading? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
19.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
19.72
|
Trades
|
Will the price of $ETH be higher or lower 1 week post-merge? |
Higher |
Lower |
211.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4718
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will income taxes rise for the highest tax bracket in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
3.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.03
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-2.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.85
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by November 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 01 2022
|
β
|
14.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.72
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
Will the price of ETH be above $1400 on September 23? |
Yes |
No |
62.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6367
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 23 2022
|
β
|
-40.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.00
|
Trades
|
Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Sep 05 2022
|
β
|
-17.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.96
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
36.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.47
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.0% or higher on August 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 31 2022
|
β
|
8.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.62
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
8.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8.17
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by May 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 01 2022
|
β
|
1.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.68
|
Trades
|
Will weed be rescheduled in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
241.53
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6062
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-146.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-146.42
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.46 |
0.54 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
0.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.23
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.07
|
Trades
|
Will Kraken IPO by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
3.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.85
|
Trades
|
Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
2.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.57
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.08
|
0.05
|
|
|
1,062.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,074.97
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.00
|
|
|
-139.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-139.70
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.08
|
0.05
|
|
|
923.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
935.27
|
|