Account
0x99b0d453aaabcddc734cd0f141e84596434d70c4 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.9000 | 0.03 | 0.97 | 0.00 | 96.58 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -90.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,665.18 | 0.00% | 0.4392 | 0.93 | 0.07 | 0.00 | 335.42 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -2,048.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,713.57 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? | Democratic | Republican | 25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4800 | 0.48 | 0.52 | 11.88 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 08 2024 | -12.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 20 2021 | ✅ | 757.41 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 757.41 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be officially inaugurated as President in-person outside the US capitol on January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | 151.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 151.52 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be impeached again before the end of his term? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 21 2021 | ✅ | -8.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.92 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.92 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | 5.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.43 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 972.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 972.42 | Trades | ||
| Which party will control the senate? | Republican | Democratic | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | 23.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump attend Joe Biden’s inauguration ceremony in person? | Yes | No | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -14.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.33 | Trades | ||
| Donald Trump federally charged by February 20th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 21 2021 | ✅ | 9.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Tesla announce a Bitcoin purchase before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 47.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 47.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 453.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 453.93 | Trades | ||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -228.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -228.48 | Trades | ||
| Will President Trump be suspended from Twitter before April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 67.31 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.31 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | 184.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 184.68 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | -91.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -91.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | 27.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.37 | Trades | ||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.35% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -6.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | ✅ | 43.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.35 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 15.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 25.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.26 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 64.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.06 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | -300.38 | 51.10 | 0.00 | -249.28 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | 77.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.19 | Trades | ||
| Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | 8.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.59 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,086.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9588 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2,086.01 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | -2,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 86.01 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,073.94 | 0.00% | 0.9759 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3,073.94 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | -3,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.94 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 21.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.07 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 2.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.70 | Trades | ||
| Will the US Senate pass H.R. 3684 INVEST in America Act by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 70.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.53 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 332.29 | 0.00% | 0.6263 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -208.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -208.13 | Trades | |
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 174.43 | 21.91 | 0.00 | 196.34 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 5.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.88 | Trades | ||
| Will the Liberal Party win a majority in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 20 2021 | ✅ | 5.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.38 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 277.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 277.74 | Trades | ||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 366.98 | 0.00% | 0.4087 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 76.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 76.99 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 19.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5252 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 19.04 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.04 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 22.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.45 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.74 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 15.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | 145.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 145.98 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 146.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 146.38 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 45.88 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5449 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the USA or European Union report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 16? | USA | European Union | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | ✅ | 16.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.97 | Trades | ||
| What will the “Official Edition” of the United States Constitution sell for at Sotheby’s? | Less than 20m 20-30m More than 30m |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | 14.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.09 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | 10.42 | 0.66 | 0.00 | 11.08 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 376.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 376.77 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on November 17th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 44.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8681 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 44.70 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -38.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.90 | Trades | |
| Will a replacement for Jerome Powell as the Fed's chairman be announced by Noon ET, November 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 204.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.6354 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | 334.87 | 3.27 | 0.00 | 338.14 | Trades | |
| Will the US Senate pass the Build Back Better Act by Christmas Eve? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 24 2021 | ✅ | 24.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 24.66 | Trades | ||
| Will Kevin Paffrath be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 269.01 | 0.00% | 0.9293 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 269.01 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.01 | Trades | |
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -799.92 | 47.39 | 0.00 | -752.52 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 4.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 742.78 | 0.00% | 0.1346 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.39 | 0.00% | 0.9848 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.39 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.39 | Trades | |
| Will at least 85% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 4.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.86 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 90% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 48.27 | 0.00% | 0.6142 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -29.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.65 | Trades | |
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 97.81 | 0.00% | 0.8604 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -84.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -84.16 | Trades | |
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 88.54 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7906 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 88.54 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.54 | Trades | |
| Will at least 10% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 141.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5308 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 141.29 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 66.29 | Trades | |
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 633.31 | 0.00% | 0.1184 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 166.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 166.76 | Trades | ||
| Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 32.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.92 | Trades | ||
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
0.00 214.63 113.29 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | -48.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.50 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 600k or more by January 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 65.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.82 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 8th be higher than it was a week earlier? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 15 2022 | ✅ | 3.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.91 | Trades | ||
| Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on January 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 20 2022 | ✅ | 3.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 154.51 | 0.00% | 0.8090 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 154.51 | Wed Jan 26 2022 | ✅ | -125.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.51 | Trades | |
| Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 28 2022 | ✅ | 4.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.99 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 107.01 | 0.00% | 0.9345 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 107.01 | Sun Jan 30 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.01 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 500,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | ✅ | 16.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.05 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be above 600,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 56.71 | 0.00% | 0.8817 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 56.71 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.71 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on February 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 82.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9105 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 82.37 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.37 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 6.8%? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 212.38 | 0.00% | 0.1177 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 10 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by February 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 663.32 | 0.00% | 0.9121 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 663.32 | Tue Feb 15 2022 | ✅ | -605.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.32 | Trades | |
| Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Feb 21 2022 | ✅ | 82.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 82.79 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Trump in the 2022 State of the Union Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.71 | 0.00% | -1.4489 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.71 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | 3.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.64 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 711.62 | 0.00% | 0.7026 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 01 2022 | ✅ | -500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -500.00 | Trades | |
| Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 18 be higher than on February 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 04 2022 | ✅ | 1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.27 | Trades | ||
| Will 'The Batman' get 90% or higher Tomatometer Score? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.45 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Mon Mar 07 2022 | ✅ | 8.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.81 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 400,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 26.87 | 0.00% | 0.9306 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 26.87 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.87 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 150,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 186.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4031 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 100,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 101.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7374 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will the 7-day COVID-19 Case average in the USA be above 50,000 on March 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 220.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9083 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 220.19 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 08 2022 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.19 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. inflation be 0.7% or more from January to February 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 10 2022 | ✅ | 17.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17.83 | Trades | ||
| Will the Wordle word on Pi day contain a "P" or an "I"? | Yes | No | 416.28 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0360 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 14 2022 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by March 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | ✅ | 3.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.60 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 199.94 | 0.00% | 0.5324 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 15 2022 | ✅ | -106.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -106.45 | Trades | |
| Will the FED set interest rates above 0.5% following their scheduled March meeting? | Yes | No | 93.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5338 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 17 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will the AAA average US gas price reach $5 by March 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 31 2022 | ✅ | 12.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.93 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by April 15, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 106.47 | 0.00% | 0.1879 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 15 2022 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by April 19th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 333.54 | 0.00% | 0.7914 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 333.54 | Tue Apr 19 2022 | ✅ | -263.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 69.58 | Trades | |
| Will Russia have its UNSC permanent member status stripped by April 30, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 215.83 | 0.00% | 0.9266 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 215.83 | Sat Apr 30 2022 | ✅ | -200.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.83 | Trades | |
| Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 08 2022 | ✅ | 9.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.98 | Trades | ||
| Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by May 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 76.18 | 0.00% | 0.6563 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 76.18 | Tue May 17 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.18 | Trades | |
| Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 580.60 | 0.00% | 0.4306 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -250.00 | Trades | |
| Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of June 2022? | Yes | No | 77.31 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3234 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 30 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 354.03 | 0.00% | 0.9745 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 354.03 | Fri Jul 01 2022 | ✅ | -345.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.03 | Trades | |
| Will Celsius announce bankruptcy by July 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 107.84 | 0.00% | 0.4636 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 13 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? | Yes | No | 191.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7830 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 191.56 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 27 2022 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.56 | Trades | |
| Will the CDC declare a variant of high consequence by August 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 141.17 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2479 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 01 2022 | ✅ | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 255.76 | 0.00% | 0.9775 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 255.76 | Thu Sep 01 2022 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.76 | Trades | |
| Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of September 2022? | Yes | No | 34.82 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7180 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 30 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 762.86 | 0.00% | 0.9831 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 762.86 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | -750.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.86 | Trades | |
| Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2022 election? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 24.51 | 0.00% | 0.4079 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Bennet) or Republican (O'Dea) win in Colorado? | Democrat | Republican | 33.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7405 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 33.76 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.76 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 82.79 | 0.00% | 0.3020 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Senate: Will a Democrat (Warnock) or Republican (Walker) win in Georgia? | Democrat | Republican | 0.00 | 89.74 | 0.00% | 0.5572 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 15 2022 | ✅ | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | |
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? | Yes | No | 42.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5896 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 13 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Turkish Lira (TRY) price fall below $0.05 by the end of 2022? | Yes | No | 29.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8344 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will a new U.S. Supreme Court justice be confirmed in 2022? | Yes | No | 264.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9470 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 264.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -250.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? | Yes | No | 88.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2835 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 96.35 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7784 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 96.35 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.35 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | 58.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.39 | Trades | ||
| Will the next recession in the US happen by Q4 2022? | Yes | No | 238.76 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3141 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 238.76 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 27 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 163.76 | Trades | |
| Super Bowl LVII: Eagles vs. Chiefs | Eagles | Chiefs | 399.75 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5151 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 12 2023 | ✅ | -205.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -205.92 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 700.00 | 0.00% | 0.6922 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 700.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | ✅ | -484.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 215.43 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 531.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 531.18 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | ✅ | -345.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 185.93 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 22 2023 | ✅ | 192.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 192.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 892.37 | 0.00% | 0.1570 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -140.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -140.09 | Trades | |
| Will another US bank fail in March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.4800 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -48.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | 16.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.59 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC reach $30,000 by April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 07 2023 | ✅ | 6.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.79 | Trades | ||
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 02 2023 | ✅ | -35.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.00 | Trades | |
| US debt ceiling hike by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | 70.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | Trades | ||
| US Congress approve more Ukraine aid in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | ||
| Will uninsured SVB depositors get all their money back by EOY? | Yes | No | 100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Fed cut rates in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.00 | 0.00% | 0.3200 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | -16.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.00 | Trades | |
| Claudine Gay out as Harvard President by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 100.00 | 0.00% | 0.6600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 15 2024 | ✅ | -66.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -66.00 | Trades | |
| Will Vivek drop out of presidential race before February? | Yes | No | 203.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5909 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 203.08 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 31 2024 | ✅ | -120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 83.08 | Trades | |
| Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | ✅ | 626.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 626.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be the 2024 Republican presidential nominee? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 171.25 | 0.00% | 0.5839 | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 100.53 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
360.86 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |||||||
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2021 Canadian federal election? | Yes | No | 97.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7706 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 97.32 | 0.00 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.32 | Trades | ||
| Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
2.89 82.59 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
2.89 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -3.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |||||||
| Resolved | 4,541.05 | 7,229.63 | -8,405.53 | 124.33 | 0.00 | 3,489.48 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 11.88 | 431.99 | -2,150.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,707.12 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 4,552.93 | 7,661.62 | -10,556.52 | 124.33 | 0.00 | 1,782.36 | ||||||||||||