| Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6600
|
|
0.96 |
0.04 |
14.40
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-9.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.50
|
Trades
|
| Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2700
|
0.89 |
0.11 |
0.00
|
1.68
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-4.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.37
|
Trades
|
| Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
9.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.75
|
Trades
|
| Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
7.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6800
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
7.35
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.35
|
Trades
|
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-3.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.60
|
Trades
|
| Will X start charging all users? |
Yes |
No |
150.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.50
|
Trades
|
| Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-4.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.80
|
Trades
|
| Guatemala Presidential Election: Will Sandra Torres win? |
Yes |
No |
15.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 25 2023
|
✅ |
-5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.25
|
Trades
|
| Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
-6.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.50
|
Trades
|
| Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.35
|
0.00
|
|
|
-19.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.55
|
|
| Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
14.40
|
1.68
|
|
|
-13.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.13
|
|
| Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.76
|
1.68
|
|
|
-33.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.41
|
|