Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? Yes No 0.00 208.48 0.00% 0.3606 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Mar 01 2025 -75.17 0.00 0.00 -75.17 Trades
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? Democrats Republicans 401.43 0.00 0.00% 0.3000 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 05 2024 -120.43 0.00 0.00 -120.43 Trades
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.87 0.13 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 10 2024 -140.00 0.00 0.00 -140.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.93 0.07 0.00 0.00 Tue Sep 10 2024 -277.52 0.00 0.00 -277.52 Trades
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 31 2024 -460.70 0.00 0.00 -460.70 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 10,005.99 0.00 0.00 10,005.99 Trades
Will Erdoğan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… 9,490.32 0.00 0.00 9,490.32 Trades
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren Nepomniachtchi Liren 0.00 10,889.64 0.00% 0.2095 0.00 1.00 0.00 10,889.64 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -2,281.75 0.00 0.00 8,607.89 Trades
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 14 2022 βœ… 8,290.81 0.00 0.00 8,290.81 Trades
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 01 2024 βœ… 3,719.77 0.00 0.00 3,719.77 Trades
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jan 08 2022 βœ… 3,705.85 0.00 0.00 3,705.85 Trades
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 23 2023 βœ… 3,645.41 0.00 0.00 3,645.41 Trades
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 βœ… 3,397.12 0.00 0.00 3,397.13 Trades
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 02 2023 βœ… 2,546.11 0.00 0.00 2,546.11 Trades
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 16 2023 βœ… 2,446.19 0.00 0.00 2,446.19 Trades
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 2,302.51 0.00 0.00 2,302.52 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 15 2023 βœ… 2,280.00 0.00 0.00 2,280.00 Trades
Sui Airdrop by May 15? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 15 2023 βœ… 2,008.85 0.00 0.00 2,008.85 Trades
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 21 2023 βœ… 1,458.36 0.00 0.00 1,458.36 Trades
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… 1,338.00 0.00 0.00 1,338.00 Trades
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 βœ… 1,194.90 0.00 0.00 1,194.90 Trades
Will Man City lose this year? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 882.00 0.00 0.00 882.00 Trades
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Nov 23 2023 βœ… 878.07 0.00 0.00 878.08 Trades
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… 641.24 0.00 0.00 641.24 Trades
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… 595.88 0.00 0.00 595.88 Trades
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 439.99 0.00 0.00 440.00 Trades
Will Hikaru win the 2023 American Cup? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 26 2023 βœ… 375.63 0.00 0.00 375.63 Trades
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 21 2023 βœ… 350.00 0.00 0.00 350.00 Trades
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC require tiebreaks? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 310.90 0.00 0.00 310.90 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… 243.35 0.00 0.00 243.35 Trades
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Aug 23 2023 βœ… 226.50 0.00 0.00 226.50 Trades
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 209.70 0.00 0.00 209.70 Trades
Will Trump’s Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 21 2022 βœ… 199.45 0.00 0.00 199.45 Trades
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? Rams Bengals 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 βœ… 172.44 0.00 0.00 172.44 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… 140.00 0.00 0.00 140.00 Trades
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 125.00 0.00 0.00 125.00 Trades
Will Fabiano Caruana win 2023 Norway Chess? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 09 2023 βœ… 121.45 0.00 0.00 121.45 Trades
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… 111.92 0.00 0.00 111.92 Trades
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? Yes No 205.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4600 1.00 0.00 205.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -94.30 0.00 0.00 110.70 Trades
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… 92.44 0.00 0.00 92.44 Trades
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022: Will Hikaru Nakamura win Leg #1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 βœ… 89.57 0.00 0.00 89.57 Trades
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… 78.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 Trades
Will NATO expand in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.01 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… 68.26 0.00 0.00 68.27 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Sep 02 2021 βœ… 59.70 0.00 0.00 59.70 Trades
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… 59.26 0.00 0.00 59.26 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 29 2023 βœ… 42.42 0.00 0.00 42.42 Trades
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… 36.97 0.00 0.00 36.97 Trades
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… 32.65 0.00 0.00 32.65 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? Yes No 0.03 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… 29.98 0.00 0.00 30.01 Trades
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Oct 01 2021 βœ… 27.45 0.00 0.00 27.45 Trades
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? Yes No 0.00 205.00 0.00% 0.9200 0.00 1.00 0.00 205.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 βœ… -188.60 0.00 0.00 16.40 Trades
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jun 29 2024 βœ… 4.29 0.00 0.00 4.29 Trades
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 βœ… 1.60 0.00 0.00 1.60 Trades
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 15 2022 βœ… 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.02 Trades
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC have O/U 12 draws? Over Under 0.98 0.00 100.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis Paul Danis 0.00 8.33 0.00% 0.3000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 14 2023 βœ… -2.50 0.00 0.00 -2.50 Trades
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -3.80 0.00 0.00 -3.80 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? Yes No 533.52 0.00 0.00% 0.0094 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -5.00 0.00 0.00 -5.00 Trades
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? Yes No 25.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 30 2023 βœ… -6.25 0.00 0.00 -6.25 Trades
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? Token Public 0.00 0.00 0.08% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -8.99 0.00 0.00 -8.98 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1? Yes No 109.35 0.00 0.00% 0.0846 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -9.25 0.00 0.00 -9.25 Trades
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -11.73 0.00 0.00 -11.73 Trades
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -15.11 0.00 0.00 -15.11 Trades
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? Yes No 1,380.80 0.00 0.00% 0.0188 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jun 30 2023 βœ… -26.00 0.00 0.00 -26.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 460.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -27.60 0.00 0.00 -27.60 Trades
Will another Bonkler be minted this month? Yes No 115.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2461 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Sep 30 2023 βœ… -28.30 0.00 0.00 -28.30 Trades
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… -30.00 0.00 0.00 -30.00 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? Yes No 505.32 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 31 2023 βœ… -30.32 0.00 0.00 -30.32 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 0.00 600.00 0.00% 0.0600 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -36.00 0.00 0.00 -36.00 Trades
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? Yes No 2,085.96 0.00 0.00% 0.0195 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Aug 25 2023 βœ… -40.78 0.00 0.00 -40.78 Trades
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? Yes No 0.01 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -41.59 0.00 0.00 -41.59 Trades
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 1,500.10 0.00 0.00% 0.0300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -45.00 0.00 0.00 -45.00 Trades
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0100 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 02 2023 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? Yes No 1,717.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0379 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 25 2024 βœ… -65.08 0.00 0.00 -65.08 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? Yes No 1,562.50 0.00 0.00% 0.0448 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 20 2023 βœ… -70.00 0.00 0.00 -70.00 Trades
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0482 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -72.34 0.00 0.00 -72.34 Trades
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? Yes No 1,095.31 0.00 0.00% 0.0700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 27 2023 βœ… -76.67 0.00 0.00 -76.67 Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? Yes No 5,182.88 0.00 0.00% 0.0150 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -77.74 0.00 0.00 -77.74 Trades
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? Yes No 673.64 0.00 0.00% 0.1200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Oct 21 2023 βœ… -80.84 0.00 0.00 -80.84 Trades
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 1,355.90 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -81.35 0.00 0.00 -81.35 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? Yes No 1,045.26 0.00 0.00% 0.0815 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… -85.16 0.00 0.00 -85.16 Trades
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? Yes No 1,875.52 0.00 0.00% 0.0466 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 07 2023 βœ… -87.39 0.00 0.00 -87.39 Trades
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? Yes No 550.07 0.00 0.00% 0.1800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -99.01 0.00 0.00 -99.01 Trades
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0498 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 01 2023 βœ… -99.50 0.00 0.00 -99.50 Trades
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? Yes No 999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.1000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Mar 22 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Zuck answer the door? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 15 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will Stephen King still have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.0100 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 21 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? Yes No 383.60 0.00 0.00% 0.2607 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Sep 01 2021 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? Yes No 2,529.16 0.00 0.00% 0.0395 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? Democrat Republican 0.00 247.23 0.00% 0.4045 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 15 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? Yes No 2,749.35 0.00 0.00% 0.0364 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? Yes No 486.13 0.00 0.00% 0.2057 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? Yes No 0.00 1,516.98 0.00% 0.0659 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -100.00 0.00 0.00 -100.00 Trades
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? Yes No 5,000.02 0.00 0.00% 0.0206 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -103.13 0.00 0.00 -103.13 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 1,173.90 0.00% 0.0977 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -114.74 0.00 0.00 -114.74 Trades
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? Yes No 493.16 0.00 0.00% 0.2400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -118.36 0.00 0.00 -118.36 Trades
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? Yes No 2,500.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 13 2023 βœ… -125.00 0.00 0.00 -125.00 Trades
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -130.00 0.00 0.00 -130.00 Trades
Will Shiv Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 29 2023 βœ… -130.00 0.00 0.00 -130.00 Trades
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 30 2023 βœ… -130.00 0.00 0.00 -130.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 26 2022 βœ… -138.68 0.00 0.00 -138.68 Trades
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 1,707.40 0.00 0.00% 0.0835 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 07 2023 βœ… -142.52 0.00 0.00 -142.52 Trades
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? Yes No 0.00 2,084.00 0.00% 0.0700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Nov 01 2023 βœ… -145.88 0.00 0.00 -145.88 Trades
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Mar 27 2022 βœ… -148.79 0.00 0.00 -148.79 Trades
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s? Yes No 1,143.56 0.00 0.00% 0.1461 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -167.04 0.00 0.00 -167.04 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 0.00 748.68 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 βœ… -187.17 0.00 0.00 -187.17 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? Yes No 0.00 1,602.76 0.00% 0.1248 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 25 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? Yes No 915.31 0.00 0.00% 0.2185 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 559.57 0.00 0.00% 0.3574 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 30 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? Yes No 470.72 0.00 0.00% 0.4249 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jan 28 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? Yes No 691.89 0.00 0.00% 0.2891 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? Yes No 0.00 786.31 0.00% 0.2544 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jul 31 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? Yes No 1,269.12 0.00 0.00% 0.1576 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 30 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? Yes No 2,130.37 0.00 0.00% 0.0939 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Jul 01 2022 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $150 million domestically on its opening weekend? Yes No 1,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 07 2023 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? Yes No 0.00 10,000.00 0.00% 0.0200 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 31 2023 βœ… -200.00 0.00 0.00 -200.00 Trades
Spotify: Which song will be streamed more in the week ending on Feb 17: "Bussin" or "MAMIII"? Bussin MAMIII 1,250.28 0.00 0.00% 0.1632 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 17 2022 βœ… -204.05 0.00 0.00 -204.05 Trades
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? Yes No 3,085.18 0.00 0.00% 0.0687 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 27 2023 βœ… -211.85 0.00 0.00 -211.85 Trades
Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 31 2022 βœ… -216.91 0.00 0.00 -216.91 Trades
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? Yes No 1,353.85 0.00 0.00% 0.1686 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -228.21 0.00 0.00 -228.21 Trades
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? Yes No 1,455.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 15 2024 βœ… -232.80 0.00 0.00 -232.80 Trades
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0500 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 31 2023 βœ… -250.00 0.00 0.00 -250.00 Trades
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 01 2022 βœ… -257.70 0.00 0.00 -257.70 Trades
FIDE World Cup Final: Magnus vs. Pragg Magnus Pragg 0.00 1,000.00 0.00% 0.2700 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Aug 24 2023 βœ… -270.00 0.00 0.00 -270.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? Yes No 9,908.74 0.00 0.00% 0.0308 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… -305.05 0.00 0.00 -305.05 Trades
NFT marketplaces: Will OpenSea or LooksRare have higher 30d volume on January 31? OpenSea LooksRare 499.49 0.00 0.00% 0.6324 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jan 31 2022 βœ… -315.87 0.00 0.00 -315.87 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? Yes No 2,441.77 0.00 0.00% 0.1300 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 07 2024 βœ… -317.43 0.00 0.00 -317.43 Trades
Will Wesley So win the WR Chess Masters? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.1700 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 26 2023 βœ… -340.00 0.00 0.00 -340.00 Trades
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? Yes No 1,446.39 0.00 0.00% 0.2483 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Oct 01 2023 βœ… -359.20 0.00 0.00 -359.20 Trades
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.04 0.96 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… -362.25 0.00 0.00 -362.25 Trades
Will Wesley So win the 2023 Superbet Chess Classic? Yes No 1,625.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2308 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… -375.00 0.00 0.00 -375.00 Trades
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? Yes No 2,362.58 0.00 0.00% 0.1607 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Feb 28 2022 βœ… -379.57 0.00 0.00 -379.57 Trades
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 01 2023 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? Yes No 5,070.78 0.00 0.00% 0.0789 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -400.00 0.00 0.00 -400.00 Trades
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 4,100.94 0.00 0.00% 0.0992 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 βœ… -407.00 0.00 0.00 -407.00 Trades
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? Yes No 4,281.51 0.00 0.00% 0.0959 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 01 2022 βœ… -410.47 0.00 0.00 -410.47 Trades
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? Yes No 1,961.01 0.00 0.00% 0.2142 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 07 2022 βœ… -420.00 0.00 0.00 -420.00 Trades
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? Yes No 1,898.51 0.00 0.00% 0.2236 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 30 2024 βœ… -424.46 0.00 0.00 -424.46 Trades
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%? Yes No 0.00 1,400.29 0.00% 0.3032 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 10 2022 βœ… -424.58 0.00 0.00 -424.58 Trades
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sotheby’s? Yes No 600.37 0.00 0.00% 0.7729 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 26 2022 βœ… -464.00 0.00 0.00 -464.00 Trades
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? Barbie Oppenheimer 0.00 9,373.68 0.00% 0.0500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Jul 24 2023 βœ… -468.68 0.00 0.00 -468.68 Trades
Will the Green Bay Packers win the β€˜21-’22 Superbowl? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 βœ… -495.56 0.00 0.00 -495.56 Trades
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? Dune Shang-Chi 1,037.31 0.00 0.00% 0.4820 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Dec 21 2021 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the β€˜21-’22 Superbowl? Yes No 2,072.92 0.00 0.00% 0.2412 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Feb 13 2022 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022? Yes No 0.00 2,237.54 0.00% 0.2235 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Feb 18 2022 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? Yes No 8,004.62 0.00 0.00% 0.0625 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 25 2022 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? Yes No 1,754.85 0.00 0.00% 0.2849 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 22 2022 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? Yes No 0.00 1,524.34 0.00% 0.3280 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 24 2022 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? Yes No 2,230.60 0.00 0.00% 0.2242 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Dec 15 2022 βœ… -500.00 0.00 0.00 -500.00 Trades
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? Yes No 3,114.08 0.00 0.00% 0.1867 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 20 2023 βœ… -581.27 0.00 0.00 -581.27 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? Yes No 9,999.99 0.00 0.00% 0.0600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 15 2023 βœ… -600.00 0.00 0.00 -600.00 Trades
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? Yes No 3,616.14 0.00 0.00% 0.1665 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 01 2023 βœ… -602.24 0.00 0.00 -602.24 Trades
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? Yes No 0.00 2,362.74 0.00% 0.2583 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 18 2022 βœ… -610.21 0.00 0.00 -610.21 Trades
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? Yes No 0.00 2,500.00 0.00% 0.2500 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Mar 31 2023 βœ… -625.00 0.00 0.00 -625.00 Trades
Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? Yes No 0.00 0.00 6.25% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 17 2021 βœ… -627.02 1.33 0.00 -625.69 Trades
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? Yes No 0.00 5,836.00 0.00% 0.1157 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jan 04 2023 βœ… -675.24 0.00 0.00 -675.24 Trades
Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup? Yes No 3,449.38 0.00 0.00% 0.1995 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Aug 19 2023 βœ… -688.00 0.00 0.00 -688.00 Trades
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 05 2021 βœ… -948.79 240.50 0.00 -708.29 Trades
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? Yes No 1,500.38 0.00 0.00% 0.5094 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 31 2021 βœ… -764.24 27.01 0.00 -737.23 Trades
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? Yes No 2,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3800 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Oct 16 2023 βœ… -760.00 0.00 0.00 -760.00 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? Yes No 2,971.00 0.00 0.00% 0.2600 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Feb 29 2024 βœ… -772.46 0.00 0.00 -772.46 Trades
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any regular game in the 2022 Tata Steel Masters? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 30 2022 βœ… -832.02 0.00 0.00 -832.02 Trades
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? Yes No 0.00 2,416.00 0.00% 0.3456 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Dec 01 2023 βœ… -835.00 0.00 0.00 -835.00 Trades
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? Democratic Republican 6,925.77 0.00 0.00% 0.1269 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Nov 08 2022 βœ… -878.61 0.00 0.00 -878.61 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 14,965.27 0.00% 0.0620 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -927.34 0.00 0.00 -927.34 Trades
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023? Yes No 12,397.20 0.00 0.00% 0.0806 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 29 2023 βœ… -999.23 0.00 0.00 -999.23 Trades
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? Yes No 5,462.19 0.00 0.00% 0.1923 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Feb 09 2022 βœ… -1,050.55 0.00 0.00 -1,050.55 Trades
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? Yes No 0.00 0.01 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jan 01 2023 βœ… -1,202.38 0.00 0.00 -1,202.38 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 15,238.00 0.00% 0.0798 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Dec 30 2023 βœ… -1,215.58 0.00 0.00 -1,215.58 Trades
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? Yes No 5,406.63 0.00 0.00% 0.2882 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Nov 01 2021 βœ… -1,558.44 0.00 0.00 -1,558.44 Trades
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.3400 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Sep 01 2023 βœ… -1,700.00 0.00 0.00 -1,700.00 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 23,999.00 0.00% 0.0715 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -1,714.97 0.00 0.00 -1,714.97 Trades
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? Yes No 5,000.00 0.00 0.00% 0.4200 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jun 01 2023 βœ… -2,100.00 0.00 0.00 -2,100.00 Trades
Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? Sandbox Decentraland 6,676.22 0.00 0.00% 0.3437 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Feb 01 2022 βœ… -2,294.38 0.00 0.00 -2,294.38 Trades
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? Yes No 6,167.42 0.00 0.00% 0.3728 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Oct 31 2023 βœ… -2,299.20 0.00 0.00 -2,299.20 Trades
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? Yes No 26,016.00 0.00 0.00% 0.0985 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jul 25 2023 βœ… -2,561.97 0.00 0.00 -2,561.97 Trades
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? Yes No 0.00 11,671.88 0.00% 0.2204 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun May 14 2023 βœ… -2,572.12 0.00 0.00 -2,572.12 Trades
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? Yes No 0.00 33,046.77 0.00% 0.0943 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Dec 31 2023 βœ… -3,116.96 0.00 0.00 -3,116.96 Trades
Resolved 205.05 11,094.65 7,358.22 268.85 0.00 18,926.77
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -1,073.82 0.00 0.00 -1,073.82
Total 205.05 11,094.65 6,284.40 268.85 0.00 17,852.96