Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
208.48
|
0.00% |
|
0.3606
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-75.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.17
|
Trades
|
Which party will control the U.S. Senate after the 2024 election? |
Democrats |
Republicans |
401.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-120.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-120.43
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-140.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-140.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-277.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-277.52
|
Trades
|
Meissner effect confirmed near room temperature? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-460.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-460.70
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Halloween? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
10,005.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,005.99
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
9,490.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,490.32
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE WCC: Ian Nepomniachtchi vs. Ding Liren |
Nepomniachtchi |
Liren |
0.00
|
10,889.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.2095
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
10,889.64
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-2,281.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,607.89
|
Trades
|
Will NASA have confirmed more than 4900 existing exoplanets by January 14? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 14 2022
|
β
|
8,290.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
8,290.81
|
Trades
|
Will Saudi Arabia accept invitation to join BRICS? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
β
|
3,719.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,719.77
|
Trades
|
Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 08 2022
|
β
|
3,705.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,705.85
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
3,645.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,645.41
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
3,397.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3,397.13
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom announce Feinstein's replacement by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
2,546.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,546.11
|
Trades
|
Will Barbenheimer overtake Star Wars: The Force Awakens? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 16 2023
|
β
|
2,446.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,446.19
|
Trades
|
Will NASA record 2023 as the hottest year on record? (1.03Β°C or higher) |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2,302.51
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,302.52
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
2,280.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,280.00
|
Trades
|
Sui Airdrop by May 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 15 2023
|
β
|
2,008.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,008.85
|
Trades
|
Will DeSantis mention "Trump" during his Twitter Space? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 21 2023
|
β
|
1,458.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,458.36
|
Trades
|
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
1,338.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,338.00
|
Trades
|
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
1,194.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,194.90
|
Trades
|
Will Man City lose this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
882.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
882.00
|
Trades
|
Will MrBeast Hit 200 Million Subscribers by Thanksgiving? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 23 2023
|
β
|
878.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
878.08
|
Trades
|
Republican House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
641.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
641.24
|
Trades
|
Will there be widespread flooding in LA? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
595.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
595.88
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
439.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
440.00
|
Trades
|
Will Hikaru win the 2023 American Cup? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 26 2023
|
β
|
375.63
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
375.63
|
Trades
|
Will LeBron have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
β
|
350.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
350.00
|
Trades
|
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC require tiebreaks? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
310.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
310.90
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Sergio Massa win? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
243.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
243.35
|
Trades
|
2023 FIDE World Cup: Will Magnus Carlsen win top 3? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
226.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
226.50
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH moon after Shanghai? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
209.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
209.70
|
Trades
|
Will Trumpβs Truth Social launch on the iOS app store by February 21st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 21 2022
|
β
|
199.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
199.45
|
Trades
|
Superbowl LVI: Who will win Rams v. Bengals? |
Rams |
Bengals |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
β
|
172.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
172.44
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $100m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
140.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
140.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
125.00
|
Trades
|
Will Fabiano Caruana win 2023 Norway Chess? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
121.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
121.45
|
Trades
|
Will the Euler hack victims get any money back? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
111.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
111.92
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
205.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4600
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
205.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-94.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
110.70
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. 7-day COVID-19 Case average be below 100,000 by March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
β
|
92.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
92.44
|
Trades
|
FIDE World Chess Grand Prix 2022: Will Hikaru Nakamura win Leg #1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 17 2022
|
β
|
89.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
89.57
|
Trades
|
Will Trump smile in his mugshot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
78.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.00
|
Trades
|
Will NATO expand in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
68.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.27
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 02 2021
|
β
|
59.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.70
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
59.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
59.26
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by September 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
42.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
42.42
|
Trades
|
Will OpenAI release GPT-4 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
36.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
36.97
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Sep 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
32.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.65
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.03
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
29.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
30.01
|
Trades
|
Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 01 2021
|
β
|
27.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.45
|
Trades
|
Trump mugshot by Aug 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
205.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
205.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-188.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.40
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
4.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4.29
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden's FiveThirtyEight approval rating be 41.7% or more on February 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 09 2022
|
β
|
1.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.60
|
Trades
|
Will there be a variant that overtakes Omicron in the US by February 15th? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 15 2022
|
β
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.02
|
Trades
|
Will the 2023 FIDE WCC have O/U 12 draws? |
Over |
Under |
0.98
|
0.00
|
100.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.00
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
8.33
|
0.00% |
|
0.3000
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
-3.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.80
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
533.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0094
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Twitter home button still be DOGE on Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 30 2023
|
β
|
-6.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.25
|
Trades
|
Will OpenSea launch a token or go public first? |
Token |
Public |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-8.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-8.98
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
109.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0846
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-9.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.25
|
Trades
|
Will the WHO declare a Public Health Emergency for H5N1 influenza by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-11.73
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.73
|
Trades
|
Will @kanyewest tweet again by July 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
-15.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-15.11
|
Trades
|
ETH above $2,000 on June 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,380.80
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0188
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
460.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-27.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-27.60
|
Trades
|
Will another Bonkler be minted this month? |
Yes |
No |
115.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2461
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Sep 30 2023
|
β
|
-28.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.30
|
Trades
|
Scorigami in NFL Week 6? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-30.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.00
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in July? |
Yes |
No |
505.32
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 31 2023
|
β
|
-30.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-30.32
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
600.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-36.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-36.00
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin make an appearance by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
2,085.96
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0195
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Aug 25 2023
|
β
|
-40.78
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-40.78
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-41.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-41.59
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.10
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday? |
Yes |
No |
1,717.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0379
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 25 2024
|
β
|
-65.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.08
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
1,562.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0448
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
-70.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-70.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin Hern be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0482
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-72.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-72.34
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the second RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
1,095.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 27 2023
|
β
|
-76.67
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-76.67
|
Trades
|
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
5,182.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0150
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-77.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-77.74
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Patricia Bullrich win? |
Yes |
No |
673.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-80.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.84
|
Trades
|
Will "Top Gun: Maverick" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
1,355.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-81.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-81.35
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross 2x more than 'Oppenheimer' on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
1,045.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0815
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-85.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-85.16
|
Trades
|
Will Interpol issue a Red Notice for CZ by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
1,875.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0466
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 07 2023
|
β
|
-87.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-87.39
|
Trades
|
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US in October? |
Yes |
No |
550.07
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-99.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.01
|
Trades
|
Will Bing's market share be >4% in February? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0498
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 01 2023
|
β
|
-99.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-99.50
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested on Wednesday? |
Yes |
No |
999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zuck answer the door? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 15 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will Stephen King still have a Blue checkmark on 4/21? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0100
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 21 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
383.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2607
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 01 2021
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH flip $BTC in market cap in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,529.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0395
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
247.23
|
0.00% |
|
0.4045
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Democratic House and Republican Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? |
Yes |
No |
2,749.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0364
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
486.13
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2057
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Will FTX become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,516.98
|
0.00% |
|
0.0659
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0206
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-103.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.13
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.08 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,173.90
|
0.00% |
|
0.0977
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-114.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-114.74
|
Trades
|
Will Dianne Feinstein resign by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
493.16
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-118.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-118.36
|
Trades
|
Will "All Quiet on the Western Front" win the Oscar for Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
2,500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
β
|
-125.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-125.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump tweet again by Aug 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.00
|
Trades
|
Will Shiv Roy be CEO at the end of Succession S4? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 29 2023
|
β
|
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.00
|
Trades
|
Will the vote to oust McCarthy have a margin of over 100? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 30 2023
|
β
|
-130.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-130.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic compete in the 2022 Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 26 2022
|
β
|
-138.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-138.68
|
Trades
|
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $125 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
1,707.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0835
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 07 2023
|
β
|
-142.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-142.52
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,084.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
-145.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-145.88
|
Trades
|
Oscars 2022: Will 'The Power Of The Dog" win the Best Picture? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 27 2022
|
β
|
-148.79
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-148.79
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
1,143.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1461
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-167.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-167.04
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say nuclear in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
748.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-187.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-187.17
|
Trades
|
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 11 be higher than on February 18? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,602.76
|
0.00% |
|
0.1248
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 25 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by December 31, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
915.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2185
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2022 Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
559.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3574
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 30 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Novak Djokovic advance to semifinals in the 2022 Australian Open? |
Yes |
No |
470.72
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4249
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jan 28 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Donda 2 be available for download on stemplayer.com on 2/22/22? |
Yes |
No |
691.89
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2891
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine become a European Union candidate country by July 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
786.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.2544
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Zelenskyy and Biden meet in person by April 30? |
Yes |
No |
1,269.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1576
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 30 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet again by July 1? |
Yes |
No |
2,130.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0939
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jul 01 2022
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3' gross more than $150 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 07 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis file to run for president by May 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0200
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
-200.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-200.00
|
Trades
|
Spotify: Which song will be streamed more in the week ending on Feb 17: "Bussin" or "MAMIII"? |
Bussin |
MAMIII |
1,250.28
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1632
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 17 2022
|
β
|
-204.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-204.05
|
Trades
|
Will SpaceX's Starship reach outer space by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
3,085.18
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0687
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 27 2023
|
β
|
-211.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-211.85
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Bidenβs approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-216.91
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-216.91
|
Trades
|
Will Musk fight Zuck in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,353.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1686
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-228.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-228.21
|
Trades
|
Will the feds cut the razor wire in Shelby Park, Texas? |
Yes |
No |
1,455.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 15 2024
|
β
|
-232.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-232.80
|
Trades
|
Will Biden mention aliens by August 31? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Will a vaccine targeting the Omicron variant be available in the US before April 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Apr 01 2022
|
β
|
-257.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-257.70
|
Trades
|
FIDE World Cup Final: Magnus vs. Pragg |
Magnus |
Pragg |
0.00
|
1,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2700
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 24 2023
|
β
|
-270.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-270.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $170m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
9,908.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0308
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-305.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-305.05
|
Trades
|
NFT marketplaces: Will OpenSea or LooksRare have higher 30d volume on January 31? |
OpenSea |
LooksRare |
499.49
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6324
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 31 2022
|
β
|
-315.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-315.87
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin say Merkel in his upcoming interview with Tucker Carlson? |
Yes |
No |
2,441.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 07 2024
|
β
|
-317.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-317.43
|
Trades
|
Will Wesley So win the WR Chess Masters? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 26 2023
|
β
|
-340.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-340.00
|
Trades
|
Will Mitch McConnell zone out again by October 1? |
Yes |
No |
1,446.39
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2483
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 01 2023
|
β
|
-359.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-359.20
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum switch to Proof-of-Stake (EIP-3675) by February 22, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.04 |
0.96 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
β
|
-362.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-362.25
|
Trades
|
Will Wesley So win the 2023 Superbet Chess Classic? |
Yes |
No |
1,625.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2308
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-375.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-375.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sergey Lavrov and Antony Blinken meet in February 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,362.58
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1607
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Feb 28 2022
|
β
|
-379.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-379.57
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by April 1? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
-400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-400.00
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
5,070.78
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0789
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-400.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
4,100.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0992
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-407.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-407.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ethereum be above $3000 on March 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
4,281.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0959
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 01 2022
|
β
|
-410.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-410.47
|
Trades
|
Will the 7-day COVID-19 case average in the USA be below 20,000 by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
1,961.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2142
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 07 2022
|
β
|
-420.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-420.00
|
Trades
|
Will Jim Jordan be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
1,898.51
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2236
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
β
|
-424.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-424.46
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. annual inflation on January 2022 exceed 7.0%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,400.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.3032
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 10 2022
|
β
|
-424.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-424.58
|
Trades
|
Will Girl with Balloon (by Banksy) sell for Β£500k or more at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
600.37
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7729
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 26 2022
|
β
|
-464.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-464.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' or 'Oppenheimer' gross more on opening weekend? |
Barbie |
Oppenheimer |
0.00
|
9,373.68
|
0.00% |
|
0.0500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
-468.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-468.68
|
Trades
|
Will the Green Bay Packers win the β21-β22 Superbowl? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
β
|
-495.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-495.56
|
Trades
|
Which film will gross more in their domestic box office releases: Dune or Shang-Chi? |
Dune |
Shang-Chi |
1,037.31
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4820
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 21 2021
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the β21-β22 Superbowl? |
Yes |
No |
2,072.92
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2412
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 13 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US 7-day average of Covid-19 cases on February 4, 2022 be higher than on February 11, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,237.54
|
0.00% |
|
0.2235
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 18 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2022 French presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
8,004.62
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0625
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Apr 25 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West release 'Donda 2' (or another new album) by 2/22/22? |
Yes |
No |
1,754.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2849
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 22 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Macron win round 2 of the 2022 French presidential election with 54% or more of the votes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,524.34
|
0.00% |
|
0.3280
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Apr 24 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
2,230.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2242
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'Blue Beetle' gross over $27m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
3,114.08
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1867
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Aug 20 2023
|
β
|
-581.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-581.27
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
9,999.99
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-600.00
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
3,616.14
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1665
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
β
|
-602.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-602.24
|
Trades
|
Will there be a major upset in the World Cup group stage qualification? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,362.74
|
0.00% |
|
0.2583
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 18 2022
|
β
|
-610.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-610.21
|
Trades
|
Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-625.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-625.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye Westβs album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.25% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 17 2021
|
β
|
-627.02
|
1.33
|
0.00
|
-625.69
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,836.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1157
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
-675.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-675.24
|
Trades
|
Will Australia win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
3,449.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1995
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-688.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-688.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 05 2021
|
β
|
-948.79
|
240.50
|
0.00
|
-708.29
|
Trades
|
Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? |
Yes |
No |
1,500.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5094
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 31 2021
|
β
|
-764.24
|
27.01
|
0.00
|
-737.23
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
2,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-760.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-760.00
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by February 29? |
Yes |
No |
2,971.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-772.46
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-772.46
|
Trades
|
Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen lose any regular game in the 2022 Tata Steel Masters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 30 2022
|
β
|
-832.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-832.02
|
Trades
|
Will there be 19 or more named storms during the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,416.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.3456
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-835.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-835.00
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
6,925.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1269
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-878.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-878.61
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.15 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
14,965.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.0620
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-927.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-927.34
|
Trades
|
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Tata Steel Masters 2023? |
Yes |
No |
12,397.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0806
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 29 2023
|
β
|
-999.23
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-999.23
|
Trades
|
Will the Wormhole hacker return 69% or more of the exploited funds by February 9th? |
Yes |
No |
5,462.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1923
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Feb 09 2022
|
β
|
-1,050.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,050.55
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,202.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,202.38
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.05 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
15,238.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0798
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 30 2023
|
β
|
-1,215.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,215.58
|
Trades
|
Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on November 1? |
Yes |
No |
5,406.63
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2882
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 01 2021
|
β
|
-1,558.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,558.44
|
Trades
|
Will Messi sign for Barcelona? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,700.00
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.11 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
23,999.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0715
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1,714.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,714.97
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
5,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4200
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-2,100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,100.00
|
Trades
|
Will The Sandbox or Decentraland have a higher floor price on February 1st, 2022? |
Sandbox |
Decentraland |
6,676.22
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3437
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Feb 01 2022
|
β
|
-2,294.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,294.38
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by October 31? |
Yes |
No |
6,167.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3728
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,299.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,299.20
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 0 bps after its July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
26,016.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0985
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 25 2023
|
β
|
-2,561.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,561.97
|
Trades
|
Will the Turkish presidential election go to a second round? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
11,671.88
|
0.00% |
|
0.2204
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-2,572.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,572.12
|
Trades
|
Will the final global heat increase be 1.13 or greater for 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
33,046.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.0943
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3,116.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,116.96
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
205.05
|
11,094.65
|
|
|
7,358.22
|
268.85
|
0.00
|
18,926.77
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1,073.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,073.82
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
205.05
|
11,094.65
|
|
|
6,284.40
|
268.85
|
0.00
|
17,852.96
|
|