Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.78
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.06
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
1,458.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,458.90
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
5,355.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7738
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
4,676.18
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-4,143.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
532.73
|
Trades
|
OpenSea token in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
|
-28.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-28.53
|
Trades
|
Will 2024 be the hottest year on record? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
152.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.4469
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Mar 01 2025
|
|
-68.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.26
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
230.77
|
0.00% |
|
0.7153
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-165.08
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-165.08
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
888.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4800
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
-426.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-426.24
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by April? |
Yes |
No |
3,020.83
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1890
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Apr 30 2024
|
|
-570.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-570.83
|
Trades
|
EigenLayer airdrop by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
8,819.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6564
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-5,788.84
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,788.84
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
9,713.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,713.34
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
1,840.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,840.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy be elected Speaker of the House in the 118th Congress? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.40
|
0.00% |
|
-185.6647
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 04 2023
|
β
|
445.49
|
33.25
|
0.00
|
478.74
|
Trades
|
NFL Monday: Bears vs. Patriots |
Bears |
Patriots |
0.00
|
2.49
|
0.00% |
|
-170.6503
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 24 2022
|
β
|
424.62
|
5.44
|
0.00
|
430.07
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
700.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
700.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-385.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
315.00
|
Trades
|
Is the Room-Temp Superconductor real? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
800.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6112
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
800.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-489.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
311.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on April 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.03
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.03
|
0.00
|
Sat Apr 01 2023
|
β
|
294.37
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
294.39
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson interview Putin in February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
260.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
260.00
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 3? |
Celtics |
Warriors |
656.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6237
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
656.50
|
0.00
|
Wed Jun 08 2022
|
β
|
-409.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
247.05
|
Trades
|
Will Adam Schiff advance from the 2024 CA Senate Primary? |
Yes |
No |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
234.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
235.04
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
10.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7354
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-7.80
|
238.55
|
0.01
|
230.76
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-800.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
200.00
|
Trades
|
Balaji Bet: BTC > $1m USD on June 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 17 2023
|
β
|
180.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
180.00
|
Trades
|
Will Celsius Network resume withdrawals by July 13? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 13 2022
|
β
|
147.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
147.65
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed May 31 2023
|
β
|
135.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
135.03
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.69
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
509.4630
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Sep 01 2022
|
β
|
-858.52
|
978.70
|
0.00
|
120.18
|
Trades
|
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 255k for the week ending on July 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jul 28 2022
|
β
|
113.18
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
113.18
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on February 1, 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 01 2024
|
β
|
94.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
94.00
|
Trades
|
The Thiel Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
88.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
88.45
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
74.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
74.50
|
Trades
|
zkSync airdrop by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
200.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
200.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-132.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
68.00
|
Trades
|
Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times? |
Yes |
No |
221.64
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7040
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
221.64
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
-156.03
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.61
|
Trades
|
Will Crypto.com become insolvent by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
8.38
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-2.2711
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
19.03
|
39.08
|
0.00
|
58.11
|
Trades
|
Will $USDD fall below 85 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 30 2022
|
β
|
54.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
54.36
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
411.11
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.9100
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
411.11
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
-374.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
37.00
|
Trades
|
Will Blake Masters win the 2022 Arizona Republican Senate nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.58
|
0.00% |
|
1.9633
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 02 2022
|
β
|
-12.92
|
46.73
|
0.00
|
33.82
|
Trades
|
MLB: Who will win Atlanta Braves v. Boston Red Sox, scheduled for August 9, 7:10 PM ET? |
Braves |
Red Sox |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Aug 09 2022
|
β
|
31.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.75
|
Trades
|
American aid to Israel by Nov 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
689.44
|
0.00% |
|
0.9600
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
689.44
|
Wed Nov 15 2023
|
β
|
-661.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.58
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.9500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
500.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
-475.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.00
|
Trades
|
Taylor Swift Super Bowl Parlay |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Feb 11 2024
|
β
|
7.52
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.52
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Jan 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jan 31 2023
|
β
|
5.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.26
|
Trades
|
Will Zelensky visit Israel by Nov 10? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
31.41
|
0.00% |
|
0.9730
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
31.41
|
Fri Nov 10 2023
|
β
|
-30.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.85
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.50% (100 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
4.07
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
5.7051
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-23.20
|
23.61
|
0.00
|
0.41
|
Trades
|
Will there be a negotiated settlement between Russia and Ukraine by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.8017
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-5.99
|
6.20
|
0.00
|
0.20
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek drop out of presidential race in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
Trades
|
Will Arbitrum airdrop a native token before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
3.40
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8391
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-2.85
|
1.77
|
0.00
|
-1.08
|
Trades
|
Will Aave have $100m or more of bad debt by November 30? |
Yes |
No |
89.35
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0237
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
-2.12
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
-2.10
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Masto) or Republican (Laxalt) win in Nevada? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
4.22
|
0.00% |
|
0.8578
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-3.62
|
1.21
|
0.01
|
-2.41
|
Trades
|
NFL Sunday: Dolphins vs. Ravens |
Dolphins |
Ravens |
0.00
|
10.03
|
0.02% |
|
0.3771
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Sep 18 2022
|
β
|
-3.78
|
0.02
|
0.00
|
-3.76
|
Trades
|
Will Twitter report any outages by December 15, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
15.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
1.9193
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 15 2022
|
β
|
-30.06
|
22.76
|
0.00
|
-7.29
|
Trades
|
Will TWTR be delisted from the NYSE by December 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
354.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.0273
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 30 2022
|
β
|
-9.68
|
0.07
|
0.00
|
-9.62
|
Trades
|
Will Binance.com become insolvent by Mar 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Fetterman) or Republican (Oz) win in Pennsylvania? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
9.98
|
0.00% |
|
5.1118
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-51.03
|
7.22
|
0.00
|
-43.80
|
Trades
|
2022 NBA Finals: Who will win Celtics vs. Warriors Game 2? |
Celtics |
Warriors |
3,638.66
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0137
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 05 2022
|
β
|
-50.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-50.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.42
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
46.7917
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-66.59
|
16.26
|
0.00
|
-50.33
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
8.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
11.8296
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-97.06
|
45.47
|
0.00
|
-51.59
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.6% from September to October 2022? |
Yes |
No |
5.02
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
11.5021
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 10 2022
|
β
|
-57.78
|
2.25
|
0.00
|
-55.53
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed set interest rates above 2.25% (75 bps or more) after their scheduled July meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.14
|
0.00% |
|
98.6522
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 27 2022
|
β
|
-408.43
|
335.85
|
0.00
|
-72.58
|
Trades
|
Will Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
3.39
|
0.00% |
|
30.3606
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-102.89
|
9.84
|
0.00
|
-93.05
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.69
|
0.00% |
|
77.3710
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-131.00
|
29.94
|
0.00
|
-101.05
|
Trades
|
NFL Thursday: Ravens vs. Buccaneers |
Ravens |
Buccaneers |
0.00
|
302.07
|
0.02% |
|
0.5274
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 27 2022
|
β
|
-159.30
|
5.24
|
0.00
|
-154.06
|
Trades
|
Will Tether (USDT) fall below 98 cents by July 30? |
Yes |
No |
6.63
|
0.00
|
0.01% |
45.5062
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jul 31 2022
|
β
|
-301.77
|
50.03
|
0.00
|
-251.74
|
Trades
|
Will the U.S. Senate pass a Reconciliation Bill by August 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
850.31
|
0.00% |
|
0.6835
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 15 2022
|
β
|
-581.20
|
43.18
|
0.00
|
-538.02
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
799.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.6946
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 13 2022
|
β
|
-555.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-555.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by October 1, 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
8.05
|
0.00% |
|
108.4992
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 01 2022
|
β
|
-873.81
|
93.87
|
0.00
|
-779.94
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 75 bps after their September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 21 2022
|
β
|
-896.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-896.88
|
Trades
|
Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sothebyβs? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-996.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-996.83
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2,290.27
|
2,920.86
|
|
|
3,949.45
|
2,036.56
|
0.04
|
11,197.18
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4,676.18
|
0.06
|
|
|
-9,732.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5,056.15
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6,966.45
|
2,920.91
|
|
|
-5,782.93
|
2,036.56
|
0.04
|
6,141.03
|
|