Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7420
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
4.37
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-3.71
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.66
|
Trades
|
Will Republican VP nominee be a woman? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.16
|
0.00% |
|
0.4300
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.58
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will Elon get someone pregnant before July? |
Yes |
No |
0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Andrew Tate guilty of human trafficking in 2024? |
Yes |
No |
0.77
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 31 2024
|
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.10
|
Trades
|
Will Young Thug be found guilty of racketeering conspiracy? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.64
|
0.00% |
|
0.3300
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-0.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.54
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.50
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-1.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Who's out first: Benjamin Netanyahu or Yahya Sinwar? |
Netanyahu |
Sinwar |
0.00
|
1.35
|
0.00% |
|
0.5500
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 31 2024
|
|
-0.74
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.74
|
Trades
|
Ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine by June? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.32
|
0.00% |
|
0.7600
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
-1.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1.00
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $75 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
51.39
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.39
|
Trades
|
Will 'Wonka' gross over $35m over its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 17 2023
|
β
|
22.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
22.35
|
Trades
|
Will Manchin announce presidential run by Mar 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
3.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.64
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Marvels' gross more than $65 million domestically on its opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 12 2023
|
β
|
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah officially join the war in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. Supreme Court vote to reinstate Trump on Colorado's 2024 ballot? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Mar 05 2024
|
β
|
1.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.45
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye release βVulturesβ in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.53
|
0.00% |
|
0.7500
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
2.53
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-1.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.63
|
Trades
|
Hunter Biden arrested before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1.18
|
0.00% |
|
0.9200
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1.18
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-1.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Claudine Gay out as Harvard President before April? |
Yes |
No |
0.19
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.19
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.09
|
Trades
|
Paramount merger/acquisition in Q1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.18
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.18
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.08
|
Trades
|
Will another state court disqualify Trump from ballot by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
0.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.06
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis endorse Trump for President in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.71
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will George Santos start an OnlyFans in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
1.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce break up by March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.45
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 26 2023
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Will Iran officially join the war before February? |
Yes |
No |
1.52
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0330
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
'Dune 2' bigger opening weekend than 'Dune'? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.50
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 04 2024
|
β
|
-0.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.05
|
Trades
|
Fed rate cut by March 20? |
Yes |
No |
0.60
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 20 2024
|
β
|
-0.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.26
|
Trades
|
Will the Epstein documents name any sitting US congressman? |
Yes |
No |
0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
β
|
-0.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.30
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds & Snakes' gross over $40m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.1600
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 20 2023
|
β
|
-0.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.80
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy resign from the House in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4.04
|
0.00% |
|
0.5300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.14
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.87
|
0.00% |
|
0.8127
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
β
|
-5.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.58
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.45
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-84.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-84.89
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.19
|
3.90
|
|
|
-13.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.89
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.87
|
0.58
|
|
|
-7.93
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.48
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5.06
|
4.48
|
|
|
-21.90
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.37
|
|