Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.45 |
0.55 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-13.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.81
|
Trades
|
Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 23 2023
|
β
|
10,168.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10,168.61
|
Trades
|
Arbitrum airdrop by March 31st? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
9,638.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9,638.82
|
Trades
|
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
4,087.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
4,087.17
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
969.94
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
969.94
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
849.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
849.43
|
Trades
|
Will Binance pay >$4b to settle with the US? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
630.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
630.36
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
β
|
378.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
378.62
|
Trades
|
Will DOJ charge Binance by EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
300.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
300.34
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
β
|
293.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
293.09
|
Trades
|
Adam D'Angelo leaves OpenAI board by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
β
|
272.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
272.50
|
Trades
|
Will $ETH be above $1700 on February 24? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,015.70
|
0.00% |
|
0.7522
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
1,015.70
|
Fri Feb 24 2023
|
β
|
-764.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
251.70
|
Trades
|
Will Egypt open its border for Palestinian refugees by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
153.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
153.01
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,000 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
65.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
65.28
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
50.32
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.32
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
531.91
|
0.00% |
|
0.9400
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
531.91
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
31.91
|
Trades
|
Musk vs. Zuck: Aug 31 |
Musk |
Zuck |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
1.87
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.87
|
Trades
|
Will 'Barbie' gross over $150m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
1.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.24
|
Trades
|
All 3 University Presidents who testified on antisemitism out by Jan 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
β
|
-0.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.48
|
Trades
|
Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-0.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.75
|
Trades
|
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.00
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Another Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-4.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.45
|
Trades
|
Will Tucker Carlson win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-9.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-9.19
|
Trades
|
Will Tim Scott win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-17.16
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.16
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
β
|
-152.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-152.05
|
Trades
|
Will BTC hit $50,000 in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
627.88
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3074
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-193.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-193.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-253.77
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-253.77
|
Trades
|
Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-358.58
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-358.58
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 5? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
5,384.10
|
0.00% |
|
0.0688
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 05 2023
|
β
|
-370.48
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-370.48
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
1,832.72
|
0.00% |
|
0.2380
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-436.17
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-436.17
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-508.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-508.85
|
Trades
|
Will Silvergate announce it is filing for bankruptcy by March 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 31 2023
|
β
|
-655.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-655.20
|
Trades
|
Huobi Insolvent in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
5,700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1361
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-775.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-775.80
|
Trades
|
ARB above $1.50 on April 26? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Apr 26 2023
|
β
|
-930.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-930.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ron DeSantis win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
β
|
-1,093.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,093.36
|
Trades
|
US debt ceiling hike by June 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Jun 01 2023
|
β
|
-1,318.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,318.19
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
β
|
-1,802.28
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-1,802.28
|
Trades
|
$ARB above $1 one week after launch? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
10,988.67
|
0.00% |
|
0.2260
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-2,483.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,483.85
|
Trades
|
Will PredictIt still support trading on February 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.16
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Feb 17 2023
|
β
|
-2,853.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2,853.26
|
Trades
|
Will Niger's coup trigger military intervention? |
Yes |
No |
9,648.74
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3297
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Aug 14 2023
|
β
|
-3,181.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3,181.45
|
Trades
|
Will Biden drop out of presidential race? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
22,302.50
|
0.00% |
|
0.7559
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-16,858.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-16,858.47
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
1,547.62
|
|
|
-7,668.21
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,120.57
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-13.81
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.81
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.02
|
1,547.62
|
|
|
-7,682.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6,134.38
|
|