Account
0x90f8a49a744d62ea2d91f8b5bcc45ca0710534cb Trades
Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
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Will the jury find Derek Chauvin guilty? you | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | ||||
Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $10M in total sales? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | -1,000.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,000.00 | Trades | |||
How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.17 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 06 2021 | -2,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2,500.00 | Trades | |||||||
Will President Biden say βfolksβ in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,769,839.69 | 100.00% | 0.0000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -124.56 | 3,305.30 | 0.00 | 3,180.74 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,823,695.23 | 3.33% | 0.0014 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | -2,496.57 | 4,006.65 | 0.00 | 1,510.07 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,489,150.40 | 0.00 | 3.03% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | β | -999.71 | 1,959.45 | 0.00 | 959.74 | Trades | |
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 4,634,449.69 | 0.00 | 99.99% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | -1,417.33 | 2,331.34 | 0.00 | 914.01 | Trades | |
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
29.36 0.00 11.23 |
2.94% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
9.79 0.00 3.74 |
β | -13.46 | 815.47 | 0.00 | 815.55 | Trades | |||||||
Will Mac Jones be the 3rd pick in the NFL draft? | Yes | No | 555,079.08 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -255.02 | 699.17 | 0.00 | 444.15 | Trades | |
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,237,792.67 | 78.70% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | β | -255.39 | 659.13 | 0.00 | 403.73 | Trades | |
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,860,351.85 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -1,132.97 | 1,432.46 | 0.00 | 299.49 | Trades | |
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 668.89 | 99.84% | 0.2495 | 0.90 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 66.89 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -166.89 | 178.19 | 0.00 | 78.19 | Trades | |
What will the price of $LINK be on April 27, 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 73.34 | 100.00% | 0.4817 | 0.52 | 0.48 | 0.00 | 35.07 | Tue Apr 27 2021 | β | -35.33 | 33.58 | 0.00 | 33.32 | Trades | |
Will Chelsea or Porto win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? | Chelsea FC | FC Porto | 511,265.23 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -3.77 | 19.80 | 0.00 | 16.03 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 30 2021 | β | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | Trades | ||
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 280.48 | 0.00% | 0.4378 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | β | -122.80 | 80.65 | 0.00 | -42.15 | Trades | |
Will Dortmund or Man City advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? | Dortmund | Man City | 55,488.95 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0009 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -49.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.95 | Trades | |
Will PSG or Bayern advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? | PSG | Bayern | 0.00 | 168,202.97 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -49.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -49.99 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | β | -50.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.00 | Trades | ||
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 966,955.61 | 99.76% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -399.83 | 349.67 | 0.00 | -50.17 | Trades | |
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,059,938.14 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -1,498.55 | 1,447.03 | 0.00 | -51.53 | Trades | |
Will Chelsea or Porto advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? | Chelsea | Porto | 0.00 | 698,404.76 | 100.00% | 0.0001 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -81.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -81.40 | Trades | |
Will PSG or Bayern win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? | PSG | Bayern | 0.00 | 509,031.54 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -92.77 | 7.24 | 0.00 | -85.53 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,881,862.29 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -999.65 | 889.86 | 0.00 | -109.79 | Trades | |
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,734,096.26 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | β | -999.63 | 835.14 | 0.00 | -164.49 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? | Yes | No | 1,503,125.99 | 0.00 | 92.38% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -166.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -166.10 | Trades | |
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,064,979.38 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -316.66 | 128.61 | 0.00 | -188.05 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,654,660.20 | 99.91% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -998.62 | 805.22 | 0.00 | -193.40 | Trades | |
Will the first 4 picks in the NFL draft all be quarterbacks? | Yes | No | 314,953.32 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0006 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -199.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -199.87 | Trades | |
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,527,628.90 | 0.00 | 65.67% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -220.27 | 14.84 | 0.00 | -205.43 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,063,119.36 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | -499.76 | 283.70 | 0.00 | -216.06 | Trades | |
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,058,283.19 | 99.18% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 25 2021 | β | -499.76 | 283.42 | 0.00 | -216.34 | Trades | |
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,347,741.51 | 0.00 | 89.77% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 11 2021 | β | -228.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -228.18 | Trades | |
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? | Yes | No | 386,338.11 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0013 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 19 2021 | β | -499.35 | 266.64 | 0.00 | -232.71 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,044,781.41 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | β | -998.60 | 760.38 | 0.00 | -238.22 | Trades | |
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on April 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,486,635.23 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 05 2021 | β | -998.71 | 758.40 | 0.00 | -240.31 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,753,644.46 | 0.00 | 0.78% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -499.86 | 257.25 | 0.00 | -242.61 | Trades | |
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? | Yes | No | 5,472,415.26 | 0.00 | 48.48% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 15 2021 | β | -499.95 | 252.64 | 0.00 | -247.31 | Trades | |
Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 318,143.28 | 67.72% | 0.0010 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -304.73 | 16.64 | 0.00 | -288.09 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 261: Zhang vs. Namajunas? | Zhang | Namajunas | 471,449.21 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0006 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | -299.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -299.89 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,661,777.04 | 0.00 | 82.41% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 10 2021 | β | -640.06 | 334.10 | 0.00 | -305.96 | Trades | |
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,103,496.00 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -499.77 | 188.12 | 0.00 | -311.65 | Trades | |
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,655,162.20 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 27 2021 | β | -999.62 | 685.78 | 0.00 | -313.85 | Trades | |
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 720K for the week ending on April 10? | Yes | No | 1,047,312.48 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | -499.77 | 181.29 | 0.00 | -318.47 | Trades | |
Will President Bidenβs first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trumpβs? | Yes | No | 2,002,913.57 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -322.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -322.19 | Trades | |
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 2,505,800.31 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -588.64 | 248.37 | 0.00 | -340.28 | Trades | |
What will Beeple's βOcean Frontβ sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction? | Long | Short | 6,506.79 | 0.00 | 99.90% | 0.0857 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 144.59 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -557.44 | 70.49 | 0.00 | -342.35 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 967,841.71 | 100.00% | 0.0006 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 12 2021 | β | -564.12 | 207.48 | 0.00 | -356.64 | Trades | |
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,608,391.70 | 98.76% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -999.16 | 622.18 | 0.00 | -376.98 | Trades | |
Will Liverpool or Real Madrid win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? | Liverpool | Real Madrid | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.96% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -488.99 | 24.47 | 0.00 | -464.53 | Trades | ||
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,028,652.33 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 06 2021 | β | -977.58 | 509.19 | 0.00 | -468.38 | Trades | |
What will US GDP growth be in Q1 2021? | Long | Short | 0.01 | 0.00 | 99.92% | 0.20 | 0.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -498.40 | 25.69 | 0.00 | -472.71 | Trades | ||
Will Liverpool or Real Madrid advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? | Liverpool | Real Madrid | 1,062,531.96 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -499.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.76 | Trades | |
Will Dortmund or Man City win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? | Dortmund | Man City | 1,063,151.00 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -499.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.76 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 1,064,302.38 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | β | -499.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.77 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal? | Usman | Masvidal | 0.00 | 1,109,100.63 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | -499.77 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.77 | Trades | |
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,414,989.51 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -499.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.82 | Trades | |
Who will win UFC 261: Hall vs. Weidman? | Hall | Weidman | 0.00 | 1,600,535.75 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 24 2021 | β | -499.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.84 | Trades | |
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 4,040.06 5,733.73 2,556.73 3,673.24 |
100.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -499.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -499.86 | Trades | ||||||
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 3,893,319.66 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | β | -1,110.68 | 596.54 | 0.00 | -514.15 | Trades | |
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 1,419,762.70 | 0.00 | 20.02% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | β | -554.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -554.78 | Trades | |
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 1,444,202.62 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 23 2021 | β | -554.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -554.79 | Trades | |
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,644,057.45 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -999.62 | 436.11 | 0.00 | -563.51 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 5,956,807.81 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0001 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -578.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -578.89 | Trades | |
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,372,267.73 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -830.54 | 190.97 | 0.00 | -639.58 | Trades | |
Will there be more than 140 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,609,838.85 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 20 2021 | β | -999.46 | 352.42 | 0.00 | -647.05 | Trades | |
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,562,111.89 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -998.52 | 341.31 | 0.00 | -657.21 | Trades | |
Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $5M in total sales? | Yes | No | 1,277,837.19 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | β | -683.21 | 21.20 | 0.00 | -662.01 | Trades | |
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2020 Chess Fide Candidates Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,204,883.02 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -949.60 | 221.43 | 0.00 | -728.17 | Trades | |
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 3,198,784.62 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | β | -874.03 | 140.54 | 0.00 | -733.49 | Trades | |
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,613,005.16 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -999.60 | 265.56 | 0.00 | -734.04 | Trades | |
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? | 40,999 or fewer 41,000-65,999 66,000-99,999 100,000 or more |
0.00 13,328.95 20,001.40 57,817.42 |
99.96% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 15 2021 | β | -2,993.50 | 2,238.01 | 0.00 | -755.48 | Trades | ||||||
Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,489,381.96 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 03 2021 | β | -999.71 | 234.52 | 0.00 | -765.19 | Trades | |
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? | Yes | No | 2,472,590.56 | 0.00 | 99.81% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -999.13 | 153.40 | 0.00 | -845.73 | Trades | |
Will the US have 200M total COVID-19 vaccines administered by Bidenβs 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,597,044.90 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -998.55 | 148.41 | 0.00 | -850.15 | Trades | |
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,793,554.17 | 52.91% | 0.0005 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -1,499.55 | 629.65 | 0.00 | -869.91 | Trades | |
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2,396,442.90 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | β | -999.50 | 125.89 | 0.00 | -873.61 | Trades | |
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.5% or higher on March 30? | Yes | No | 3,314,208.61 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | -998.70 | 119.42 | 0.00 | -879.27 | Trades | |
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 5,000,763.73 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -1,151.77 | 248.95 | 0.00 | -902.83 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 12,197,407.45 | 0.00 | 99.67% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | β | -2,221.39 | 1,318.38 | 0.00 | -903.00 | Trades | |
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 6,002,804.24 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -1,145.77 | 204.05 | 0.00 | -941.72 | Trades | |
Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
2,765.57 0.00 5,923.94 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | -1,045.02 | 96.49 | 0.00 | -948.54 | Trades | ||||||
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? | Yes | No | 2,364,236.47 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | β | -998.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -998.58 | Trades | |
Will 130 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 2,541,599.41 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | β | -999.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -999.61 | Trades | |
Will Jake Paulβs boxing match against Ben Askren end in a KO, Decision, or DQ? | KO Decision DQ |
0.00 17,524.81 18,912.13 |
100.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Apr 17 2021 | β | -1,181.96 | 181.52 | 0.00 | -1,000.43 | Trades | ||||||
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christieβs? | Yes | No | 8,737,110.76 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -2,331.57 | 1,301.28 | 0.00 | -1,030.29 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4,895,891.19 | 99.80% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | β | -2,000.18 | 939.34 | 0.00 | -1,060.85 | Trades | |
What will Edward Snowdenβs NFT βStay Freeβ sell for at auction? | Less than $250,000 $250,000-$500,000 $500,000-$750,000 $750,000-$1M $1M-$2M $2M or More |
6,587.02 8,435.89 3,192.02 9,829.64 2,581.26 0.00 |
100.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 16 2021 | β | -1,072.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1,072.75 | Trades | ||||||
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,709,387.46 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -1,499.32 | 327.40 | 0.00 | -1,171.92 | Trades | |
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? | Yes | No | 3,877,971.43 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 17 2021 | β | -1,554.39 | 380.89 | 0.00 | -1,173.50 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10,523,693.01 | 5.26% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -2,999.14 | 1,732.96 | 0.00 | -1,266.19 | Trades | |
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 7,008,686.86 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | β | -1,997.43 | 700.81 | 0.00 | -1,296.62 | Trades | |
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14,606.30 | 100.00% | 0.0944 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | β | -1,379.23 | 65.86 | 0.00 | -1,313.37 | Trades | |
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,675,204.76 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | β | -1,499.39 | 167.37 | 0.00 | -1,332.02 | Trades | |
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? | Yes | No | 5,260,433.79 | 0.00 | 99.98% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 19 2021 | β | -1,781.89 | 367.26 | 0.00 | -1,414.63 | Trades | |
Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? | Man City | PSG | 0.00 | 5,301,945.84 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 04 2021 | β | -1,739.29 | 317.76 | 0.00 | -1,421.53 | Trades | |
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? | 49,999 or fewer 50,000-62,499 62,500-74,999 75,000 or more |
60,995.95 29,002.67 0.00 57,879.92 |
100.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 09 2021 | β | -1,999.84 | 492.31 | 0.00 | -1,507.53 | Trades | ||||||
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? | Less than 8M 8M to less than 10M 10M to less than 15M 15M to less than 20M 20M or more |
7,425.45 0.00 11,878.70 16,704.22 17,804.09 |
100.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat May 01 2021 | β | -1,998.45 | 339.54 | 0.00 | -1,658.91 | Trades | ||||||
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 5,351,929.15 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | -1,999.25 | 301.74 | 0.00 | -1,697.51 | Trades | |
What will The Weekndβs Nifty Gateway drop generate in total sales? | Less than $5M $5M to less than $10M $10M to less than $20M $20M to less than $30M $30M or more |
0.00 7,665.08 59,870.99 59,518.02 59,747.31 |
100.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Apr 05 2021 | β | -1,999.98 | 145.19 | 0.00 | -1,854.79 | Trades | ||||||
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 14,311,427.58 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0002 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | β | -2,499.56 | 576.32 | 0.00 | -1,923.24 | Trades | |
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 9,236,699.72 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | β | -2,499.02 | 533.75 | 0.00 | -1,965.27 | Trades | |
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,433,206.70 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | β | -2,497.43 | 531.89 | 0.00 | -1,965.53 | Trades | |
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? | $80M or Less $81-105M $106-120M $121-135M $136M or More |
47,932.95 0.00 27,373.06 46,387.77 48,940.77 |
100.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 13 2021 | β | -3,332.86 | 1,329.53 | 0.00 | -2,003.33 | Trades | ||||||
How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
14,619.20 13,994.89 14,306.85 13,992.85 12,148.21 0.00 3,239.89 |
100.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -2,554.56 | 392.01 | 0.00 | -2,162.55 | Trades | ||||||
How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
15,272.53 0.00 6,700.39 15,298.08 21,019.63 19,446.40 18,197.57 |
100.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 06 2021 | β | -2,499.95 | 332.71 | 0.00 | -2,167.24 | Trades | ||||||
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 10,626,620.20 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | β | -3,999.14 | 1,674.91 | 0.00 | -2,324.23 | Trades | |
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 22, 2021? | Less than 80 80-95 96-110 111-125 126-140 More than 140 |
42,475.12 0.00 40,735.55 41,961.46 43,214.45 42,866.37 |
100.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -3,499.99 | 1,165.58 | 0.00 | -2,334.40 | Trades | ||||||
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 30, 2021? | Less than 70 70-80 81-90 91-100 101-110 More than 110 |
0.00 17,276.10 23,984.86 25,526.98 28,662.88 28,092.30 |
7.69% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Mar 30 2021 | β | -2,999.91 | 353.48 | 0.00 | -2,646.44 | Trades | ||||||
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 6,437,534.35 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | β | -3,219.83 | 454.56 | 0.00 | -2,765.27 | Trades | |
What will Pakβs Sothebyβs auction generate in total sales? | Less than $20M $20M to less than $45M $45M to less than $70M $70M or more |
0.00 19,150.27 99,431.75 97,493.81 |
100.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Apr 14 2021 | β | -3,618.72 | 444.83 | 0.00 | -3,173.90 | Trades | ||||||
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,015,357.30 | 100.00% | 0.0006 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -3,654.05 | 334.13 | 0.00 | -3,319.92 | Trades | |
Will Real Madrid or Chelsea advance to the Champions League final? | Real Madrid | Chelsea | 4,166,844.44 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0009 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | β | -3,571.50 | 241.68 | 0.00 | -3,329.82 | Trades | |
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 3,408,274.94 | 0.00% | 0.0012 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 15 2021 | β | -3,996.45 | 664.62 | 0.00 | -3,331.83 | Trades | |
Will Beeple's βOcean Frontβ sell for more than $25 million at auction? | Yes | No | 8,641,456.98 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -3,997.63 | 588.20 | 0.00 | -3,409.43 | Trades | |
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 4,871,123.89 | 0.00 | 99.53% | 0.0008 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | β | -4,009.94 | 535.79 | 0.00 | -3,474.15 | Trades | |
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6,060,899.91 | 100.00% | 0.0006 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | β | -3,499.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3,499.05 | Trades | |
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 2,135,219.51 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0023 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | β | -4,836.81 | 1,336.60 | 0.00 | -3,500.21 | Trades | |
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 27,855,846.89 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.0003 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | β | -7,055.67 | 3,365.50 | 0.00 | -3,690.17 | Trades | |
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 9,741,206.59 | 0.00 | 99.50% | 0.0005 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | β | -4,886.73 | 867.95 | 0.00 | -4,018.78 | Trades | |
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? | Yes | No | 10,579,294.61 | 0.00 | 100.00% | 0.0004 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 12 2021 | β | -4,499.14 | 158.92 | 0.00 | -4,340.22 | Trades | |
Resolved | 154.38 | 101.96 | -163,056.79 | 57,702.48 | 0.00 | -105,094.23 | ||||||||||||
Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,500.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4,500.00 | ||||||||||||
Total | 154.38 | 101.96 | -167,556.79 | 57,702.48 | 0.00 | -109,594.23 |