Polymarket Whales

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Market Outcome 0 Outcome 1 Shares 0 Shares 1 LP Share Avg Price 0 Avg Price 1 Cur Price 0 Cur Price 1 Value 0 Value 1 End Date Resolved Collateral Fees Collected Withdrawable Fees Net
Will the jury find Derek Chauvin guilty? you Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 -1,000.00 0.00 96.69 -903.31 Trades
Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $10M in total sales? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 25 2021 -1,000.00 0.00 85.80 -914.20 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? Less than 30
30-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
More than 80
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00% 0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.17
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Apr 06 2021 -2,500.00 0.00 85.81 -2,414.19 Trades
Will President Biden say β€œfolks” in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 3,769,839.69 100.00% 0.0000 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -124.56 3,305.30 0.00 3,180.74 Trades
Will the Ever Given be dislodged from the Suez Canal by March 30? Yes No 0.00 1,823,695.23 3.33% 0.0014 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 βœ… -2,496.57 4,006.65 0.00 1,510.07 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? Yes No 3,489,150.40 0.00 3.03% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 02 2021 βœ… -999.71 1,959.45 0.00 959.74 Trades
Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? Yes No 4,634,449.69 0.00 99.99% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… -1,417.33 2,331.34 0.00 914.01 Trades
How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? 0
1
2
29.36
0.00
11.23
2.94% 0.33
0.33
0.33
9.79
0.00
3.74
βœ… -13.46 815.47 0.00 815.55 Trades
Will Mac Jones be the 3rd pick in the NFL draft? Yes No 555,079.08 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -255.02 699.17 0.00 444.15 Trades
Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? Yes No 0.00 1,237,792.67 78.70% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Aug 09 2021 βœ… -255.39 659.13 0.00 403.73 Trades
Will Matt Gaetz continue to hold Congressional office through June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,860,351.85 100.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -1,132.97 1,432.46 0.00 299.49 Trades
Will Floyd Mayweather beat Logan Paul in their rescheduled exhibition boxing match? Yes No 0.00 668.89 99.84% 0.2495 0.90 0.10 0.00 66.89 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -166.89 178.19 0.00 78.19 Trades
What will the price of $LINK be on April 27, 2021? Long Short 0.00 73.34 100.00% 0.4817 0.52 0.48 0.00 35.07 Tue Apr 27 2021 βœ… -35.33 33.58 0.00 33.32 Trades
Will Chelsea or Porto win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? Chelsea FC FC Porto 511,265.23 0.00 100.00% 0.0000 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -3.77 19.80 11.24 27.27 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 30 2021 βœ… 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Trades
Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… -0.00 0.00 0.00 -0.00 Trades
Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? Yes No 0.00 280.48 0.00% 0.4378 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 08 2021 βœ… -122.80 80.65 0.00 -42.15 Trades
Will Dortmund or Man City advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? Dortmund Man City 55,488.95 0.00 100.00% 0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -49.95 0.00 5.64 -44.32 Trades
Will PSG or Bayern advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? PSG Bayern 0.00 168,202.97 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -49.99 0.00 4.80 -45.18 Trades
Will PSG or Bayern win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? PSG Bayern 0.00 509,031.54 100.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -92.77 7.24 38.39 -47.14 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 0.00 0.00% 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 01 2021 βœ… -50.00 0.00 0.00 -50.00 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? Yes No 0.00 966,955.61 99.76% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… -399.83 349.67 0.00 -50.17 Trades
Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? Yes No 0.00 3,059,938.14 100.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… -1,498.55 1,447.03 0.00 -51.53 Trades
Will Chelsea or Porto advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? Chelsea Porto 0.00 698,404.76 100.00% 0.0001 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -81.40 0.00 3.57 -77.83 Trades
Will the first 4 picks in the NFL draft all be quarterbacks? Yes No 314,953.32 0.00 100.00% 0.0006 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -199.87 0.00 92.47 -107.40 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 28, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,881,862.29 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -999.65 889.86 0.00 -109.79 Trades
Will Donald Trump be federally charged by June 1st? Yes No 1,503,125.99 0.00 92.38% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -166.10 0.00 48.83 -117.27 Trades
Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? Yes No 2,734,096.26 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 24 2021 βœ… -999.63 835.14 0.00 -164.49 Trades
Will Harriet Tubman appear on the face of the $20 bill by July 1, 2021? Yes No 1,527,628.90 0.00 65.67% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -220.27 14.84 35.10 -170.33 Trades
Will Binance Coin (BNB) have a higher market cap than Ethereum (ETH) at any time before July 1, 2021? Yes No 2,064,979.38 0.00 100.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -316.66 128.61 0.00 -188.05 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,654,660.20 99.91% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -998.62 805.22 0.00 -193.40 Trades
Will Texas reinstate a mask mandate by April 11, 2021? Yes No 3,347,741.51 0.00 89.77% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 11 2021 βœ… -228.18 0.00 17.38 -210.80 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? Yes No 0.00 1,063,119.36 100.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 22 2021 βœ… -499.76 283.70 0.00 -216.06 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 25? Yes No 0.00 1,058,283.19 99.18% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 25 2021 βœ… -499.76 283.42 0.00 -216.34 Trades
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 170 Gwei on April 19? Yes No 386,338.11 0.00 0.00% 0.0013 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 19 2021 βœ… -499.35 266.64 0.00 -232.71 Trades
Will any of the first 10 picks in the NFL draft be traded during the draft? Yes No 0.00 318,143.28 67.72% 0.0010 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -304.73 16.64 53.35 -234.74 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? Yes No 3,044,781.41 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 16 2021 βœ… -998.60 760.38 3.00 -235.22 Trades
Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on April 5? Yes No 0.00 3,486,635.23 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 05 2021 βœ… -998.71 758.40 0.00 -240.31 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Zhang vs. Namajunas? Zhang Namajunas 471,449.21 0.00 100.00% 0.0006 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… -299.89 0.00 57.57 -242.32 Trades
Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? Yes No 1,753,644.46 0.00 0.78% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -499.86 257.25 0.00 -242.61 Trades
Will President Biden’s first Joint Address have more viewers than President Trump’s? Yes No 2,002,913.57 0.00 100.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -322.19 0.00 79.02 -243.17 Trades
Will LeVar Burton be announced as the next permanent host of Jeopardy by August 15? Yes No 5,472,415.26 0.00 48.48% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 15 2021 βœ… -499.95 252.64 0.00 -247.31 Trades
Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? Bezos Musk 0.00 2,505,800.31 100.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… -588.64 248.37 85.49 -254.79 Trades
Will there be more than 160 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by May 10, 2021? Yes No 1,661,777.04 0.00 82.41% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 10 2021 βœ… -640.06 334.10 0.00 -305.96 Trades
Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 15, 2021? Yes No 1,103,496.00 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -499.77 188.12 0.00 -311.65 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $36 on April 27, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,655,162.20 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 27 2021 βœ… -999.62 685.78 0.00 -313.85 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 720K for the week ending on April 10? Yes No 1,047,312.48 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 15 2021 βœ… -499.77 181.29 0.00 -318.47 Trades
What will Beeple's β€œOcean Front” sell for in its Nifty Gateway auction? Long Short 6,506.79 0.00 99.90% 0.0857 0.02 0.98 144.59 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… -557.44 70.49 0.00 -342.35 Trades
Will inflation be 0.2% or more from March to April? Yes No 0.00 967,841.71 100.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 12 2021 βœ… -564.12 207.48 0.00 -356.64 Trades
Will $DOGE be above 15c on April 29, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,608,391.70 98.76% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -999.16 622.18 0.00 -376.98 Trades
Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? Yes No 0.00 1,414,989.51 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -499.82 0.00 95.24 -404.59 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? Yes No 1,064,302.38 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 22 2021 βœ… -499.77 0.00 92.27 -407.49 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Hall vs. Weidman? Hall Weidman 0.00 1,600,535.75 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… -499.84 0.00 89.07 -410.77 Trades
Who will win UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal? Usman Masvidal 0.00 1,109,100.63 100.00% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 24 2021 βœ… -499.77 0.00 82.55 -417.23 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 23, 2021? Yes No 1,444,202.62 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Fri Apr 23 2021 βœ… -554.79 0.00 115.46 -439.33 Trades
Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? Nomadland
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Other
0.00
4,040.06
5,733.73
2,556.73
3,673.24
100.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… -499.86 0.00 58.06 -441.80 Trades
Will Dortmund or Man City win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? Dortmund Man City 1,063,151.00 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -499.76 0.00 40.05 -459.71 Trades
Will Liverpool or Real Madrid win the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final draw? Liverpool Real Madrid 0.00 0.00 99.96% 0.50 0.50 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -488.99 24.47 0.00 -464.53 Trades
Will Liverpool or Real Madrid advance to the semi-final of the Champions League? Liverpool Real Madrid 1,062,531.96 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -499.76 0.00 31.74 -468.03 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on May 5? Yes No 0.00 4,028,652.33 100.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 06 2021 βœ… -977.58 509.19 0.00 -468.38 Trades
Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? Yes No 1,419,762.70 0.00 20.02% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Aug 01 2021 βœ… -554.78 0.00 83.70 -471.08 Trades
What will US GDP growth be in Q1 2021? Long Short 0.01 0.00 99.92% 0.20 0.80 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -498.40 25.69 0.00 -472.71 Trades
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before June 1, 2021? Yes No 5,956,807.81 0.00 100.00% 0.0001 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -578.89 0.00 95.09 -483.80 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? Yes No 3,893,319.66 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 10 2021 βœ… -1,110.68 596.54 0.00 -514.15 Trades
Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? Yes No 0.00 2,562,111.89 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -998.52 341.31 102.45 -554.76 Trades
Will Kygo's Nifty Gateway drop generate over $5M in total sales? Yes No 1,277,837.19 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Mar 25 2021 βœ… -683.21 21.20 98.55 -563.46 Trades
Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? Yes No 0.00 2,644,057.45 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -999.62 436.11 0.00 -563.51 Trades
Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? Yes No 3,372,267.73 0.00 100.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -830.54 190.97 73.51 -566.07 Trades
Will there be more than 140 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 20, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,609,838.85 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 20 2021 βœ… -999.46 352.42 62.58 -584.47 Trades
Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2020 Chess Fide Candidates Tournament? Yes No 0.00 2,204,883.02 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -949.60 221.43 0.00 -728.17 Trades
Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? Yes No 3,198,784.62 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu May 20 2021 βœ… -874.03 140.54 0.00 -733.49 Trades
Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? Yes No 0.00 2,613,005.16 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -999.60 265.56 0.30 -733.74 Trades
Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before May 1? Yes No 2,472,590.56 0.00 99.81% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… -999.13 153.40 97.40 -748.33 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count be in the US on May 15? 40,999 or fewer
41,000-65,999
66,000-99,999
100,000 or more
0.00
13,328.95
20,001.40
57,817.42
99.96% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -2,993.50 2,238.01 0.00 -755.48 Trades
Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,396,442.90 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 26 2021 βœ… -999.50 125.89 117.29 -756.32 Trades
Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? Yes No 0.00 3,489,381.96 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 03 2021 βœ… -999.71 234.52 0.00 -765.19 Trades
Will the US have 200M total COVID-19 vaccines administered by Biden’s 100th day in office? Yes No 0.00 2,597,044.90 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -998.55 148.41 1.33 -848.82 Trades
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 2,793,554.17 52.91% 0.0005 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -1,499.55 629.65 0.00 -869.91 Trades
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.5% or higher on March 30? Yes No 3,314,208.61 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Mar 30 2021 βœ… -998.70 119.42 0.00 -879.27 Trades
Will President Biden mention coronavirus 3 or more times in his first Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 5,000,763.73 100.00% 0.0002 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -1,151.77 248.95 0.00 -902.83 Trades
Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? Yes No 12,197,407.45 0.00 99.67% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Jul 31 2021 βœ… -2,221.39 1,318.38 0.00 -903.00 Trades
Will there be more than 475K COVID-19 cases in India on any day on or before April 29? Yes No 2,364,236.47 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 29 2021 βœ… -998.58 0.00 65.39 -933.19 Trades
Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? Yes No 6,002,804.24 0.00 100.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -1,145.77 204.05 0.00 -941.72 Trades
Will 130 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 15, 2021? Yes No 2,541,599.41 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 15 2021 βœ… -999.61 0.00 56.50 -943.11 Trades
Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? Texas
Florida
California
2,765.57
0.00
5,923.94
0.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Thu Apr 15 2021 βœ… -1,045.02 96.49 0.00 -948.54 Trades
What will Edward Snowden’s NFT β€œStay Free” sell for at auction? Less than $250,000
$250,000-$500,000
$500,000-$750,000
$750,000-$1M
$1M-$2M
$2M or More
6,587.02
8,435.89
3,192.02
9,829.64
2,581.26
0.00
100.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Apr 16 2021 βœ… -1,072.75 0.00 101.28 -971.47 Trades
Will Jake Paul’s boxing match against Ben Askren end in a KO, Decision, or DQ? KO
Decision
DQ
0.00
17,524.81
18,912.13
100.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat Apr 17 2021 βœ… -1,181.96 181.52 0.00 -1,000.43 Trades
Will total sales exceed $20M for the Cryptopunks auction at Christie’s? Yes No 8,737,110.76 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… -2,331.57 1,301.28 0.00 -1,030.29 Trades
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? Yes No 0.00 4,895,891.19 99.80% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Jun 30 2021 βœ… -2,000.18 939.34 0.00 -1,060.85 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? Yes No 3,709,387.46 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -1,499.32 327.40 34.72 -1,137.21 Trades
Will $UNI (Uniswap) be above $45 on May 17, 2021? Yes No 3,877,971.43 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon May 17 2021 βœ… -1,554.39 380.89 0.00 -1,173.50 Trades
Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? Yes No 0.00 10,523,693.01 5.26% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 08 2021 βœ… -2,999.14 1,732.96 0.00 -1,266.19 Trades
Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? Yes No 0.00 7,008,686.86 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Apr 08 2021 βœ… -1,997.43 700.81 0.00 -1,296.62 Trades
Will Basquiat's "In this Case" sell for more than 70 million? Yes No 0.00 14,606.30 100.00% 0.0944 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 11 2021 βœ… -1,379.23 65.86 0.41 -1,312.97 Trades
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? Yes No 0.00 3,675,204.76 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat Apr 17 2021 βœ… -1,499.39 167.37 0.00 -1,332.02 Trades
Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on May 19, 2021? Yes No 5,260,433.79 0.00 99.98% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 19 2021 βœ… -1,781.89 367.26 0.00 -1,414.63 Trades
Will Man City or PSG advance to the finals of the Champions League? Man City PSG 0.00 5,301,945.84 100.00% 0.0003 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue May 04 2021 βœ… -1,739.29 317.76 0.00 -1,421.53 Trades
What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? 49,999 or fewer
50,000-62,499
62,500-74,999
75,000 or more
60,995.95
29,002.67
0.00
57,879.92
100.00% 0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Fri Apr 09 2021 βœ… -1,999.84 492.31 0.00 -1,507.53 Trades
How many J&J vaccine doses will be administered by May 1, 2021? Less than 8M
8M to less than 10M
10M to less than 15M
15M to less than 20M
20M or more
7,425.45
0.00
11,878.70
16,704.22
17,804.09
100.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Sat May 01 2021 βœ… -1,998.45 339.54 0.00 -1,658.91 Trades
Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? Yes No 5,351,929.15 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 05 2021 βœ… -1,999.25 301.74 0.00 -1,697.51 Trades
What will The Weeknd’s Nifty Gateway drop generate in total sales? Less than $5M
$5M to less than $10M
$10M to less than $20M
$20M to less than $30M
$30M or more
0.00
7,665.08
59,870.99
59,518.02
59,747.31
100.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Apr 05 2021 βœ… -1,999.98 145.19 0.00 -1,854.79 Trades
Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? Yes No 0.00 6,433,206.70 100.00% 0.0004 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Apr 25 2021 βœ… -2,497.43 531.89 43.63 -1,921.91 Trades
Will a bill which increases long-term capital gains taxes above 20% become law by August 10, 2021? Yes No 14,311,427.58 0.00 100.00% 0.0002 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Aug 10 2021 βœ… -2,499.56 576.32 0.00 -1,923.24 Trades
Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? Yes No 9,236,699.72 0.00 100.00% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 15 2021 βœ… -2,499.02 533.75 0.00 -1,965.27 Trades
What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? $80M or Less
$81-105M
$106-120M
$121-135M
$136M or More
47,932.95
0.00
27,373.06
46,387.77
48,940.77
100.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Apr 13 2021 βœ… -3,332.86 1,329.53 0.00 -2,003.33 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on April 14, 2021? Less than 30
30-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
More than 80
14,619.20
13,994.89
14,306.85
13,992.85
12,148.21
0.00
3,239.89
100.00% 0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -2,554.56 392.01 0.14 -2,162.41 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? Less than 30
30-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
More than 80
15,272.53
0.00
6,700.39
15,298.08
21,019.63
19,446.40
18,197.57
100.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Apr 06 2021 βœ… -2,499.95 332.71 0.00 -2,167.24 Trades
Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? Yes No 10,626,620.20 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 07 2021 βœ… -3,999.14 1,674.91 0.00 -2,324.23 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 22, 2021? Less than 80
80-95
96-110
111-125
126-140
More than 140
42,475.12
0.00
40,735.55
41,961.46
43,214.45
42,866.37
100.00% 0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… -3,499.99 1,165.58 0.00 -2,334.40 Trades
How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 30, 2021? Less than 70
70-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
More than 110
0.00
17,276.10
23,984.86
25,526.98
28,662.88
28,092.30
7.69% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Tue Mar 30 2021 βœ… -2,999.91 353.48 0.00 -2,646.44 Trades
Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? Yes No 6,437,534.35 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 01 2021 βœ… -3,219.83 454.56 19.28 -2,745.99 Trades
Will 162 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 1, 2021? Yes No 0.00 6,060,899.91 100.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Tue Jun 01 2021 βœ… -3,499.05 0.00 699.58 -2,799.47 Trades
What will Pak’s Sotheby’s auction generate in total sales? Less than $20M
$20M to less than $45M
$45M to less than $70M
$70M or more
0.00
19,150.27
99,431.75
97,493.81
100.00% 1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Wed Apr 14 2021 βœ… -3,618.72 444.83 8.39 -3,165.50 Trades
Will Real Madrid or Chelsea advance to the Champions League final? Real Madrid Chelsea 4,166,844.44 0.00 100.00% 0.0009 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed May 05 2021 βœ… -3,571.50 241.68 123.99 -3,205.83 Trades
Will President Biden speak for longer than 1 hour at his Joint Address? Yes No 0.00 6,015,357.30 100.00% 0.0006 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -3,654.05 334.13 0.00 -3,319.92 Trades
Will Vice President Harris cast a tie-breaking vote by May 15, 2021? Yes No 0.00 3,408,274.94 0.00% 0.0012 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Sat May 15 2021 βœ… -3,996.45 664.62 0.00 -3,331.83 Trades
Will Beeple's β€œOcean Front” sell for more than $25 million at auction? Yes No 8,641,456.98 0.00 100.00% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… -3,997.63 588.20 0.04 -3,409.39 Trades
Will Apple, Amazon, or Twitter announce a Bitcoin purchase before July 1, 2021? Yes No 4,871,123.89 0.00 99.53% 0.0008 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Thu Jul 01 2021 βœ… -4,009.94 535.79 0.00 -3,474.15 Trades
Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? Keiko Fujimori Pedro Castillo 2,135,219.51 0.00 100.00% 0.0023 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Sun Jun 06 2021 βœ… -4,836.81 1,336.60 0.00 -3,500.21 Trades
Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? Yes No 27,855,846.89 0.00 4.76% 0.0003 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Mar 22 2021 βœ… -7,055.67 3,365.50 0.00 -3,690.17 Trades
Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? Yes No 9,741,206.59 0.00 99.50% 0.0005 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Wed Apr 28 2021 βœ… -4,886.73 867.95 0.00 -4,018.78 Trades
Will NASA conduct a sustained flight of Ingenuity on Mars by April 12? Yes No 10,579,294.61 0.00 100.00% 0.0004 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 Mon Apr 12 2021 βœ… -4,499.14 158.92 0.00 -4,340.22 Trades
Resolved 154.38 101.96 -163,056.79 57,702.48 3,025.82 -102,068.41
Unresolved 0.00 0.00 -4,500.00 0.00 268.30 -4,231.70
Total 154.38 101.96 -167,556.79 57,702.48 3,294.12 -106,300.11