Will Joe Biden win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.87 |
0.13 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-17.24
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.24
|
Trades
|
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the U.S. 2024 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.05 |
0.95 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 10 2024
|
|
-179.38
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-179.38
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through EoY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
1,273.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,273.00
|
Trades
|
Israeli troops on the ground in Gaza by the end of this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
4,634.31
|
0.00% |
|
-0.2188
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 13 2023
|
β
|
1,013.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,013.99
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
9,999.98
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.0993
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
993.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
993.14
|
Trades
|
Will ProgresΓvne Slovensko win over 18% of votes? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 29 2023
|
β
|
610.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
610.00
|
Trades
|
Will the SEC approve BlackRock's Bitcoin ETF by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
540.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
540.00
|
Trades
|
Will Taylor Swift attend the next Chiefs home game? |
Yes |
No |
230.12
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5000
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
230.12
|
0.00
|
Thu Oct 12 2023
|
β
|
-115.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.06
|
Trades
|
Did Israeli intelligence have advanced knowledge of the Attack? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
115.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
115.00
|
Trades
|
Will Kevin McCarthy remain Speaker through Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.00
|
Trades
|
Will the US rescue at least one American hostage from Hamas by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
11.34
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.34
|
Trades
|
Any hostage deal brokered with Hamas by Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 01 2023
|
β
|
10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel regain control of all territory by Oct 9? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,035.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0010
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 08 2023
|
β
|
-2.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.07
|
Trades
|
USDC market cap over $25 billion EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-6.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-6.28
|
Trades
|
Israel or Palestine responsible for Gaza hospital explosion? |
Israel |
Palestine |
384.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Oct 20 2023
|
β
|
-11.53
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-11.53
|
Trades
|
Will Biden be impeached by December 31, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-23.85
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.85
|
Trades
|
Will βTaylor Swift: Eras Tourβ have a bigger opening weekend than 'Barbie'? |
Yes |
No |
463.47
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1213
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-56.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-56.22
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.00
|
Trades
|
Will Newsom appoint a black woman as Feinstein's replacement? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0300
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.00
|
Trades
|
Argentina Presidential Election: Will Javier Milei win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 21 2023
|
β
|
-60.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-60.00
|
Trades
|
Will another nation declare war in the Israel-Hamas conflict? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-68.35
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-68.35
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
β
|
-79.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-79.99
|
Trades
|
Will 'Taylor Swift: The Eras Tour' movie gross over $125m opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
384.57
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2100
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 16 2023
|
β
|
-80.76
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-80.76
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
β
|
-88.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-88.22
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 15? |
Yes |
No |
153.61
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7665
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-117.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-117.75
|
Trades
|
Will the next speaker be elected by Oct 10? |
Yes |
No |
3,160.90
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0400
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 10 2023
|
β
|
-126.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-126.44
|
Trades
|
Will Hezbollah deploy ground forces in Israel by Oct 14? |
Yes |
No |
1,000.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-180.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-180.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise rates again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-189.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-189.89
|
Trades
|
Will Steve Scalise be the next Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 29 2024
|
β
|
-398.01
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-398.01
|
Trades
|
Will Hakeem Jeffries get the most votes in next vote for Speaker? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
800.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.5800
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
-464.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-464.00
|
Trades
|
Logan Paul vs. Dillon Danis |
Paul |
Danis |
0.00
|
3,000.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.2233
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Oct 14 2023
|
β
|
-670.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-670.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
230.12
|
0.00
|
|
|
1,788.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,018.17
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-196.62
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-196.62
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
230.12
|
0.00
|
|
|
1,591.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,821.54
|
|