Account
0x8e764938035a46bd150eef4b33ba003061e5c3f7 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kanye West win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 33.87 | 0.00% | 0.9400 | 0.02 | 0.98 | 0.00 | 33.12 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -31.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Nikki Haley win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 10.95 | 0.00% | 0.9129 | 0.04 | 0.96 | 0.00 | 10.50 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.50 | Trades | ||
| Trump and Biden both win nomination? | Yes | No | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8800 | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.90 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 10 2024 | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.10 | Trades | ||
| Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 6.33 | 0.00% | 0.7900 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 30 2024 | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Fed rate cut by July 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 14.93 | 0.00% | 0.6700 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 31 2024 | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before July 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 306.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 306.75 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @SouljaBoy account on February 25, 2021? | Less than 60 60-75 76-90 91-105 106-120 more than 120 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Feb 25 2021 | ✅ | 175.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 175.92 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the US have more than 200,000 new daily COVID-19 cases on or before October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | 133.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.92 | Trades | ||
| Will a team from China win Dota 2 The International 10? | Yes | No | 107.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -1.2041 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Oct 17 2021 | ✅ | 128.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 128.91 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 51.0% or higher at the end of October 31? | Yes | No | 299.91 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5788 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 299.91 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -173.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 126.31 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.5 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before December 31? | Yes | No | 1.44 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -85.4196 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 123.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 123.01 | Trades | |
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 8? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 08 2021 | ✅ | 115.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 115.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s DONDA sell more than 250K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 23 2021 | ✅ | 110.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher on January 6, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | 110.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 110.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 1? | Yes | No | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 108.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 108.24 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on March 7th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.87 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Mar 07 2021 | ✅ | 103.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 103.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Iron Finance V2’s TVL be above $500m on August 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 102.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 102.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the FTX Crypto Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 31 2021 | ✅ | 94.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 94.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 13? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | 92.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 92.10 | Trades | ||
| Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $40 on November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 79.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 79.73 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 50,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 73.96 | 2.93 | 0.00 | 76.88 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 74.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 74.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | 73.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Armin Laschet be the next chancellor of Germany? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 26 2021 | ✅ | 73.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 73.37 | Trades | ||
| Will fully vaccinated non-essential Canadian travelers be permitted to cross into the US through the land borders by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 72.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 72.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Psychonauts 2 get a better or equal 'Metascore' to Psychonauts 1 (87/100) 1 week after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | 68.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 68.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden’s disapproval rating be 48% or higher on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 16 2021 | ✅ | 67.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 67.54 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 45.0% or higher at the end of October 15? | Yes | No | 2.34 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -27.5269 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | 64.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 64.52 | Trades | |
| Will Candyman gross more than $19M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 147.62 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5758 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 147.62 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 30 2021 | ✅ | -85.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 62.62 | Trades | |
| Will the United States average less than 75k Covid cases by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 60.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.73 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.56% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | 46.39 | 13.65 | 0.00 | 60.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | 59.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.06 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenTable’s “Seated diners from online, phone, and walk-in reservations” data point for the United States exceed its 2019 baseline by 7% or more by November 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 563.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8970 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 563.20 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -505.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 58.04 | Trades | |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 by November 17th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 17 2021 | ✅ | 56.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 56.24 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 10, 2021? | Less than 30 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 10 2021 | ✅ | 53.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.60 | Trades | ||||||
| What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? | $80M or Less $81-105M $106-120M $121-135M $136M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 13 2021 | ✅ | 53.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 53.56 | Trades | ||||||
| Will California or Florida have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on Christmas Eve? | California | Florida | 0.00 | 181.47 | 0.00% | 0.7439 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 181.47 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -135.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.47 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.5% or more from September to October 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 10 2021 | ✅ | 46.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 46.26 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day between Dec. 23 and Dec. 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 201.43 | 0.00% | 0.7741 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 201.43 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -155.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 45.51 | Trades | |
| How many more tweets will be on the @MCuban account on February 17, 2021? | Less Than 20 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60 or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 17 2021 | ✅ | 43.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.63 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2021 St. Louis Rapid and Blitz Chess Tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 43.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 43.45 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from August to September? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Oct 13 2021 | ✅ | 41.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 41.89 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the USA be 7.0% or more in December 2021? | Yes | No | 19.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.8835 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 19.96 | 0.00 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | 17.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.59 | Trades | |
| Will the price of Unisocks be above $100,000 on February 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | 36.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 36.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 1000 COVID-19 cases on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 02 2021 | ✅ | 35.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.97 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before August 1? | Yes | No | 76.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.4189 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 32.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.19 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 14, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | 31.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 31.89 | Trades | ||
| Will Nina Turner win the Democratic Nomination in the OH-11 special election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 30.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.37 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA report a 7-day COVID-19 case average of 200k or more before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 173.89 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8281 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 173.89 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -144.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 29.89 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented by July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.71 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 27.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.79 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on Week 46, 2021 (Nov 15 - Nov 21)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | 27.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.74 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) price reach $70,000 before November 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 27.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.57 | Trades | ||
| Will Shang-Chi gross more than $52M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 06 2021 | ✅ | 27.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 27.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine win the 2022 Eurovision Song Contest? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 14 2022 | ✅ | 26.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 26.85 | Trades | ||
| How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021? | Less than 6.5 Million 6.5-7.5 Million 7.5-8.5 Million 8.5-9.5 Million 9.5-10.5 Million Greater than 10.5 Million |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Feb 07 2021 | ✅ | 25.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.81 | Trades | ||||||
| Will USD be worth more than EUR on September 15? | Yes | No | 23.10 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0171 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 23.10 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 15 2022 | ✅ | 0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.50 | Trades | |
| Will Germany or Poland report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 18? | Germany | Poland | 0.00 | 12.40 | 0.00% | -1.7874 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | 22.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.17 | Trades | |
| Will ETH be above $1750 on March 22nd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | 21.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.70 | Trades | ||
| Will China win 38 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 21.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.59 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE be available to trade on Coinbase by July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 21.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 21.48 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jan 28 2021 | ✅ | 19.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 52.5% or higher on August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 02 2021 | ✅ | 19.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.36 | Trades | ||
| Will Willem do Kooning's “Untitled VII” (Lot 40C) sell for more than $12m at Christie’s on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 19.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.27 | Trades | ||
| Will F9 gross more than $62M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.44 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 29 2021 | ✅ | 19.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.06 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 Peruvian Presidential Election? | Keiko Fujimori | Pedro Castillo | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 06 2021 | ✅ | 18.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 18.89 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.54 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 16.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Terry McAuliffe win the general election for Governor of Virginia in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 02 2021 | ✅ | 16.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 02 2021 | ✅ | 15.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.89 | Trades | ||
| Will the Mavericks or the Rockets win their February 19th matchup? | Mavericks | Rockets | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.02% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Feb 19 2021 | ✅ | 15.05 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 15.14 | Trades | ||
| Will Black Widow be the highest grossing domestic film of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 15.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 15.01 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 14.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.88 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before November 30th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | 13.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.76 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 43% or higher on August 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.64 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 16 2021 | ✅ | 13.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.73 | Trades | ||
| Will a second union vote be approved by the NLRB at the Bessemer Amazon Warehouse before October 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 14 2021 | ✅ | 13.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.61 | Trades | ||
| How much will “Dune” gross domestically on opening weekend? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.37 | 0.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 25 2021 | ✅ | 13.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.37 | Trades | ||
| Will Hashmasks be the highest volume NFT category by 7-day volume on February 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Feb 25 2021 | ✅ | 13.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.26 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 95% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 33.05 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6051 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 33.05 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.05 | Trades | |
| Will more than 1.75 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before April 10? | Yes | No | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 10 2021 | ✅ | 13.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul or Tyron Woodley win their boxing match? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 29 2021 | ✅ | 12.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.69 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 43.0% or higher at the end of November 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | 12.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.42 | Trades | ||
| Will the Boeing CST-100 Starliner Spacecraft successfully dock with the ISS before August 6? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | 11.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.94 | Trades | ||
| Which film will win Best Picture at the 2021 Oscars? | Nomadland The Trial of the Chicago 7 Minari Promising Young Woman Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | 11.09 | 0.46 | 0.00 | 11.55 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 42% or higher on July 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.09% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 16 2021 | ✅ | 9.35 | 1.91 | 0.00 | 11.25 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 9.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.76 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 03 2021 | ✅ | 9.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.65 | Trades | ||
| Which will sell more album units in its first week of release: Kanye’s Donda or Drake’s Certified Lover Boy? | Kanye | Drake | 14.80 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.6284 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 9.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.30 | Trades | |
| Will Jungle Cruise gross more than $30M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 03 2021 | ✅ | 9.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.06 | Trades | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 8.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.87 | Trades | ||
| Which cryptocurrency will have higher market cap on November 9th: Cardano ($ADA) or Solana ($SOL)? | Cardano | Solana | 30.45 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7226 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 30.45 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 09 2021 | ✅ | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.45 | Trades | |
| Will it be possible to buy a Tesla online in the US using Bitcoin before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 8.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.42 | Trades | ||
| Will a French cyclist win the Tour de France polka dot jersey? | Yes | No | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 8.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.35 | Trades | ||
| Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 8.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.19 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 720K for the week ending on April 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | 8.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos reach outer space by July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 8.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.16 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 100 ETH on October 1? | Yes | No | 13.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3933 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.19 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.00 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 7.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.42 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $ETH be on August 11? | Long | Short | 19.78 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3611 | 0.72 | 0.28 | 14.22 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -7.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.08 | Trades | |
| Will Sweden join NATO by July 12? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 47.06 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 47.06 | Wed Jul 12 2023 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.06 | Trades | |
| Will Japan or the USA win gold in Baseball at the 2020 Olympics? | Japan | USA | 18.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6103 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 18.02 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 07 2021 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.02 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.05 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on Friday, October 22nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 23 2021 | ✅ | 6.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.85 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin reach an all-time high by November 15th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 102.75 | 0.00% | -0.0647 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 6.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.65 | Trades | |
| Will “The Suicide Squad” gross more than $37.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | 6.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.65 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully in 2021? | Yes | No | 62.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8979 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 62.37 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -56.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.37 | Trades | |
| Will more than 2.3 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.48 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 6.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.22 | Trades | ||
| Will Free Guy gross more than $20M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 17 2021 | ✅ | 6.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.17 | Trades | ||
| Will Maya Wiley win second place in the 2021 NYC Democratic Primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 5.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.84 | Trades | |||
| Will England or Denmark qualify for the Euro 2020 Finals? | England | Denmark | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jul 07 2021 | ✅ | 5.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.71 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano support smart contracts on Mainnet by October 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 27.57 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7979 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 27.57 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -22.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.57 | Trades | |
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 5.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.42 | Trades | ||
| Will NYC fully reopen by July 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | 5.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 25.00 | 0.00% | 0.8000 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 25.00 | Tue Oct 31 2023 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.00 | Trades | |
| Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 165 Gwei on February 16? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | 4.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.92 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @mtgreenee account on March 30, 2021? | Less than 70 70-80 81-90 91-100 101-110 More than 110 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Mar 30 2021 | ✅ | 4.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.85 | Trades | ||||||
| Will the NYC Democratic mayoral first round leader also win the primary? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 4.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.67 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 55 ETH on December 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 23 2021 | ✅ | 4.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.59 | Trades | ||
| Will $GM be above $.000216 on November 19, 2021 (11:30 PM ET)? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 19 2021 | ✅ | 4.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.55 | Trades | ||
| Will the USA beat Australia by 10 or more points in the Men's Basketball Tokyo 2020 Olympic Semifinals match? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | 4.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.43 | Trades | ||
| Who will win Jake Paul v. Tyron Woodley? | Paul | Woodley | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 19 2021 | ✅ | 4.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by October 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 15 2021 | ✅ | 4.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.28 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @WHCOS account on March 4, 2021? | Less than 170 170-185 186-200 201-215 216-230 More than 230 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Mar 04 2021 | ✅ | 4.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.27 | Trades | ||||||
| Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -3.20 | 7.02 | 0.00 | 3.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 13, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 13 2021 | ✅ | 3.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Kim Kardashian or Kanye West file for divorce before March 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 02 2021 | ✅ | 3.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump launch a new social media platform by June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | 3.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.73 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 140 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 20 2021 | ✅ | 3.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.56 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from May to June? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | 3.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.51 | Trades | ||
| Will Theranos executive Elizabeth Holmes be found guilty of fraud? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | 3.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.43 | Trades | ||
| Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? | Democratic | Republican | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 3.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.18 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by midnight ET, August 9, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 2.99 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.99 | Trades | ||
| Will David Hockney’s “A Neat Lawn” sell for more than $18M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 2.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.95 | Trades | ||
| Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.88 | Trades | ||
| Will a picture surface of Kim Kardashian and Pete Davidson kissing before the end of the year? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 13.83 | 0.00% | 0.7952 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 13.83 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.83 | Trades | |
| Will the Tokyo Summer Olympics be cancelled or postponed by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.83 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @laurenboebert account on April 6, 2021? | Less than 30 30-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-80 More than 80 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 06 2021 | ✅ | 2.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.82 | Trades | ||||||
| Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the 2021 Tokyo Olympics take place? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 2.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.76 | Trades | ||
| Will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” sell more than 400K album units in its first week? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | 2.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Partyround launch on the iOS App Store before September 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.68 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.68 | Trades | ||
| Will a vacancy for the US Supreme Court be announced by September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas or Virginia have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on January 1, 2022? | Texas | Virginia | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 2.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Cardano ($ADA) break $3 before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 2.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.50 | Trades | ||
| Will A Quiet Place Part II gross more domestically on opening weekend than A Quiet Place Part I? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.43 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have more than 100,000 new daily COVID-19 cases before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 2.40 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.40 | Trades | ||
| Will 183 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by July 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 2.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.37 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 2.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.30 | Trades | ||
| Which country will report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on January 12: France, Italy, USA or Spain? | France USA Italy Spain |
13.28 0.00 0.00 6.36 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
13.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Jan 14 2022 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.28 | Trades | ||||||
| Will $SOL (Solana) be above $50 on May 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | 2.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Anthony Joshua or Oleksandr Usyk win their boxing match? | Joshua | Usyk | 0.00 | 3.21 | 0.00% | 0.3113 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 3.21 | Sat Sep 25 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.21 | Trades | |
| Will there be enough signatures for a vote on the recall of Gov. Newsom by March 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Mar 17 2021 | ✅ | 2.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.10 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.07 | Trades | ||
| Will 19 states have high or substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before July 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 30 2021 | ✅ | 2.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.05 | Trades | ||
| Will the missing submarine be found by June 23? | Yes | No | 12.94 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.8500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 12.94 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 23 2023 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.94 | Trades | |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu remain prime minister of Israel through June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 1.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.86 | Trades | ||
| Will “Bananas” by Basquiat & Warhol sell for more than $6M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 1.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.80 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 23, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 23 2021 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.79 | Trades | ||
| Russian Coup: Putin vs Wagner | Putin | Wagner | 41.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9600 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 41.67 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 31 2023 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.67 | Trades | |
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.65 | Trades | ||
| Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 60M global weekly streams for period Nov 4 - Nov 11? | Yes | No | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 12 2021 | ✅ | 1.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.65 | Trades | ||
| Will Messi score a goal on his PSG debut? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.44 | 0.00% | 0.4103 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.44 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Gerhard Richter’s “Abstraktes Bild” sell for more than $5.5M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 1.34 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.34 | Trades | ||
| Will Vija Celmins’ “Untitled (Ocean)” sell for more than $6.5M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 1.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Mark Rothko’s “Untitled” sell for more than $4.5M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | 1.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.23 | Trades | ||
| Will Miso Robotics expand its restaurant partnerships in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 1.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.21 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 Meltwater Champions Chess Tour Finals? | Yes | No | 2.20 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4549 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.20 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 04 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.20 | Trades | |
| International soccer: Will there be 3 or more goals in Ireland v. Portugal game on November 11? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 11 2021 | ✅ | 1.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Rudy Giuliani be indicted for a federal crime by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | 1.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.11 | Trades | ||
| Will the Warriors beat the Grizzlies by more than 5.5 points in their October 28th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | ✅ | 1.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.08 | Trades | ||
| How many new US residential sales will the U.S. Census Bureau report for June? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | Trades | ||
| NBA: Will the Bucks beat the 76ers by more than 6.5 points in their November 9th matchup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 09 2021 | ✅ | 1.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | Trades | ||
| Will the winning margin of the 2021 Tour de France be less than 1 minute? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 1.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.02 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $2 on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 0.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.95 | Trades | ||
| Who will win UFC 264: McGregor vs. Poirier? | McGregor | Poirier | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.84 | Trades | ||
| Will Richard Rapport win the 2021 Norway Chess tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Sep 18 2021 | ✅ | 0.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.81 | Trades | ||
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? | Yes | No | 15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9500 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 15.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -14.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.75 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump announce a run for President by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 02 2021 | ✅ | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 1K daily COVID-19 cases in Japan on August 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | ✅ | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.70 | Trades | ||
| Who will win the 2021 World Chess Championship? | Magnus Carlsen | Ian Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 16 2021 | ✅ | 0.70 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.70 | Trades | ||
| Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.26 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.69 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.69 | Trades | ||
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | 0.64 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.64 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by September 17, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 17 2021 | ✅ | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.62 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2021 Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | Trades | ||
| Will @elonmusk post more than 70 new tweets by June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | 0.61 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.61 | Trades | ||
| Will 170 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 0.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.58 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA have confirmed more than 4580 existing exoplanets by November 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 27 2021 | ✅ | 0.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.47 | Trades | ||
| Will Tadej Pogacar win the 2021 Tour de France? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 0.45 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.45 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States win 44 or more Gold Medals at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | ||
| Will more than 2.25 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day on or before June 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.43 | Trades | ||
| What will the ETH floor price of CryptoPunks be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 3.08 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3248 | 0.46 | 0.54 | 1.42 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | |
| Will Kathryn Garcia win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2021 Sinquefield Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Aug 28 2021 | ✅ | 0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.37 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 100 positive cases of COVID-19 among athletes at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Aug 09 2021 | ✅ | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.35 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 650K for the week ending on April 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | 0.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.33 | Trades | ||
| Emmys 2022: Will ‘Succession’ win Outstanding Drama Series? | Yes | No | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7568 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 13 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | |
| What will the price of $DOGE be on August 20, 2021? | Long | Short | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7598 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.32 | Trades | |
| Will Switzerland or Wales win their Euro 2020 match? | Switzerland | Wales | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 12 2021 | ✅ | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | ||
| Will the U.S. Men’s Basketball team win the Gold Medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | 0.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.30 | Trades | ||
| Emmys 2022: Will ‘White Lotus’ win Outstanding Limited Series? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 13 2022 | ✅ | 0.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.29 | Trades | ||
| Will 3 or more of Dan Ariely’s papers be retracted by December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
| Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from April to May? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.28 | Trades | ||
| Will the bipartisan infrastructure bill become law by November 4, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
| Will OpenSea launch a token by the end of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | 0.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Princeton University remain the highest ranking national university in the US according to the 2022 US News ranking? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | Trades | ||
| Will 18 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by November 4th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | 0.22 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.22 | Trades | ||
| Will Medina Spirit be disqualified from the 2021 Kentucky Derby by July 15? | Yes | No | 57.18 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0036 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.21 | Trades | |
| Will Facebook report having more than 3.6 billion Monthly Active People in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | 0.18 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.18 | Trades | |||
| Will Italy or Austria qualify for the Euro 2020 Quarterfinals? | Italy | Austria | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.16 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.02 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.15 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of @balajis on bitclout be on July 18? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 18 2021 | ✅ | 0.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.14 | Trades | ||
| Will 229 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by November 15? | Yes | No | 1.85 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.0707 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | |
| Will Messi sign a contract to stay with FC Barcelona by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | 0.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.13 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.10 | Trades | ||
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 1.06 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.9424 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.06 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | |
| Will more than 3.30 million people travel via New York City subway on any day before November 19? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Nov 20 2021 | ✅ | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | Fri Jun 30 2023 | ✅ | -0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will 21 US States administer at least one COVID-19 vaccine dose to 70% of adults by July 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 05 2021 | ✅ | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam on November 14, 5PM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 14 2021 | ✅ | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.05 | Trades | ||
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,000 on January 12, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.04 | 0.00% | 0.9639 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.04 | Wed Jan 12 2022 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.04 | Trades | |
| Will the Indexed Finance hacker return 90% or more of the exploited funds by October 26th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 26 2021 | ✅ | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | ||
| Will Moriah Mills leak a sex tape with Zion Williamson? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.03 | 0.00% | 0.9700 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.03 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | |
| Will Conor McGregor win his UFC 257 match on January 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 23 2021 | ✅ | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.03 | Trades | ||
| What will the ETH floor price of Bored Apes be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3908 | 0.39 | 0.61 | 1.01 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | Trades | |
| What will the price of $ETH be on July 19? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 19 2021 | ✅ | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Trades | ||
| Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be above 10% on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.01% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 15 2021 | ✅ | -0.07 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Carlsen | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.17 | Trades | ||
| What will Coinbase’s market cap be 1 week after it starts publicly trading? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.79 | 0.21 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.20 | Trades | ||
| Will the federal minimum wage be $9.50 per hour or higher by April 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.57 | 0.31 | 0.00 | -0.26 | Trades | ||
| Will Nicki Minaj get the COVID-19 vaccine by November 29th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 29 2021 | ✅ | -0.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $10 million in its Christie's auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -0.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.36 | Trades | ||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -0.39 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Bitcoin or Tesla have a higher market cap on March 1, 2021? | Bitcoin | Tesla | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.42 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $MATIC be on June 17? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.45 | 0.55 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 17 2021 | ✅ | -0.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.43 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be below 19.5 ETH on August 10? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 10 2021 | ✅ | -0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.50 | Trades | ||
| Will the United States report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 08 2022 | ✅ | -0.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.66 | Trades | ||
| What will the ETH floor price of Loot (for Adventurers) be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 2.63 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3805 | 0.12 | 0.88 | 0.32 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.68 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $2500 on July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 22 2021 | ✅ | -0.75 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.75 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin of victory be in the 2021 OH-11 democratic primary? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.15 | 0.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -0.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.78 | Trades | |||
| Will a hurricane make landfall in the US lower 48 states before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -0.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.89 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in the winning round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary? | Under 1% 1% to 2% Over 2% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -0.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.96 | Trades | |||||||
| How many more tweets will be on the @DonaldJTrumpJr account by February 1, 2021? | 39 or less 40-49 50-59 60-69 70 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Feb 01 2021 | ✅ | -0.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.98 | Trades | ||||||
| UEFA Champions League: Will the sum of goals in Chelsea v. Juventus be 3 or more? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.77 | 0.00% | 0.5657 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 23 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will DeFi Dominance on CoinGecko be 5.15% or higher on April 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will US GDP growth be more than 4.9% in Q1 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Scott Dixon win the Indy 500? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Hikaru Nakamura or Ian Nepomniachtchi win in their FTX Crypto Cup preliminary match? | Nakamura | Nepomniachtchi | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 23 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Sanyu’s “Potted Chrysanthemums” sell for more than HK$120M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Ashleigh Barty win the 2021 Wimbledon? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 10 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Naomi Osaka win a gold medal at the 2020 Olympics? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 10 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 400K for the week ending on July 31? | Yes | No | 2.64 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3785 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented live on Ethereum mainnet by 8:45 AM ET on August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 15.43 | 0.00% | 0.0648 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| What will the ETH floor price of Blitmaps be on September 21, 2021? | Long | Short | 2.19 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4563 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 21 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will President Biden say “Trump” during his October 21st town hall? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 2.21 | 0.00% | 0.4525 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 21 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the sum of goals in Jamaica v. USA soccer matchup be an even or odd number? | Even | Odd | 0.00 | 2.06 | 0.00% | 0.4866 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 16 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1.60 on November 24? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00% | 0.6652 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Molnupiravir before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 4.73 | 0.00% | 0.2114 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? | Yes | No | 4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2500 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 01 2023 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will PNAS retract Dan Ariely’s 2012 paper on dishonesty by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 16.28 | 0.00% | 0.0713 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -1.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.16 | Trades | |
| Will Black Widow gross more than $87.5M domestically on opening weekend? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 13 2021 | ✅ | -1.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.20 | Trades | ||
| Who will the world's richest person be on February 27, 2021? | Jeff Bezos Elon Musk Other |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Sat Feb 27 2021 | ✅ | -1.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.27 | Trades | ||||||
| How many album unit sales will Billie Eilish’s “Happier Than Ever” generate in its first week? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.06 | 0.94 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -1.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Wayne Thiebaud’s “Winding River” sell for more than $8M at Phillips? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 23 2021 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | ||
| What will the Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index be for July 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.65 | 0.35 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -2.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.53 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $SOL (Solana) be on June 24? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.16 | 0.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 24 2021 | ✅ | -2.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.56 | Trades | ||
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by August 20, 2021, 12:15 AM ET? | Yes | No | 98.30 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0270 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 20 2021 | ✅ | -2.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.65 | Trades | |
| Will Tesla announce that it will allow vehicle purchases using Dogecoin before June 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jun 20 2021 | ✅ | -3.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Texas, Florida, or California have the highest 7-day daily average of COVID-19 cases on April 15, 2021? | Texas Florida California |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Thu Apr 15 2021 | ✅ | -3.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.81 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Tesla announce that it has bought Ethereum by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jul 26 2021 | ✅ | -3.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Rookiexbt or Loomdart win the Amir Khan Crypto Fight Night? | Rookiexbt | Loomdart | 0.00 | 8.12 | 0.00% | 0.4925 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Oct 16 2021 | ✅ | -4.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.00 | Trades | |
| Will 188 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by August 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 01 2021 | ✅ | -4.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.44 | Trades | ||
| What will the margin be in Newsom’s recall election? | Under 10% 10% to 15% Over 15% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -4.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.82 | Trades | |||||||
| What will be the average price for a NYC unrestricted taxi medallion in August 2021? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.64 | 0.36 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -4.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -4.95 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will $MATIC (Polygon) be above $1 on May 20, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 417 ppm on January 9? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 50.31 | 0.00% | 0.0994 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will the price of lumber be above $1,150 as of market close on February 7, 2022? | Yes | No | 14.93 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3349 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 08 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Emmys 2022: Will ‘Ted Lasso’ win Outstanding Comedy Series? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 8.13 | 0.00% | 0.6148 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 13 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Space Jam: A New Legacy or Black Widow gross more domestically on the July 16-18 weekend? | Space Jam | Black Widow | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | -5.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.08 | Trades | ||
| Will September 2021 average global temperature be the highest September temperature on record? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.33 | Trades | ||
| Will 40 or more US states have high/substantial COVID-19 community spread on any day on or before September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -5.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.92 | Trades | ||
| Will Vitalik Buterin have a CryptoPunk Twitter profile picture before September 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 476.51 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0126 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.00 | Trades | |
| Who will get more votes in the 2021 California recall election: Paffrath, Faulconer, or Cox? | Paffrath Faulconer Cox |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -6.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.23 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Founders Fund invest in the next announced Onlyfans fundraising round in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -6.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.27 | Trades | ||
| Will the Mavericks or the Jazz win their January 29th matchup? | Jazz | Mavericks | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 30 2021 | ✅ | -6.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Dogecoin be above $.069 on February 2nd? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 02 2021 | ✅ | -6.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.38 | Trades | ||
| Will $DOGE reach $1 at any point before June 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -6.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be indicted for a federal or state crime by November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -7.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Novak Djokovic win the Australian Open? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Feb 28 2021 | ✅ | -7.43 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.43 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -7.44 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.44 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.5% or more from February to March? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Apr 13 2021 | ✅ | -7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.50 | Trades | ||
| Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Ben Askren? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 17 2021 | ✅ | -7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.50 | Trades | ||
| Will Pablo Picasso’s “Nu couché à la libellule” sell for more than HK$68M at Christie’s? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 24 2021 | ✅ | -7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.50 | Trades | ||
| How many charges will Derek Chauvin be convicted of? | 0 1 2 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.33 0.33 0.33 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -7.57 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.57 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jul 20 2021 | ✅ | -7.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.89 | Trades | ||
| What will the price of $DOGE be on June 26? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jun 26 2021 | ✅ | -8.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.06 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in second place in the 2021 Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City? | Adams Garcia Wiley Yang |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | -8.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.11 | Trades | ||||||
| Will New World be a Top 3 game on Steam one month after release? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 28 2021 | ✅ | -8.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.37 | Trades | ||
| Will the average Ethereum gas price be below 150 Gwei on April 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 05 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 419 ppm on June 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 16 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the price of $MATIC (Polygon) or $ADA (Cardano) be higher on November 4th? | Cardano | Polygon | 0.00 | 140.08 | 0.00% | 0.0714 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 04 2021 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Italy win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | -10.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.38 | Trades | ||
| Will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be less than 15,000 for the day of July 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -10.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.86 | Trades | ||
| Will Magnus Carlsen win the Goldmoney Asian Rapid? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 04 2021 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | ||
| Will England win the Euro 2020? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 11 2021 | ✅ | -11.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Squid Game be the #1 Netflix show worldwide on November 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Nov 07 2021 | ✅ | -11.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.09 | Trades | ||
| Who will come in 2nd place in the 2021 California recall election? | Gavin Newsom Larry Elder Other |
0.01 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 |
✅ | -11.96 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -11.96 | Trades | |||||||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 53% or higher on June 10, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jun 10 2021 | ✅ | -12.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -12.01 | Trades | ||
| Will the Nets or the Suns win their February 16th matchup? | Nets | Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Feb 16 2021 | ✅ | -14.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.00 | Trades | ||
| Will American mask usage be 75% or higher on April 14th, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 14 2021 | ✅ | -14.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.60 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | -14.97 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.97 | Trades | ||
| Will Patricio O'Ward have a top 3 finish at the Indy 500? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 15 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Spotify report at least 164m total premium subscribers in Q2 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |||
| Will the FDA approve any COVID-19 vaccination for children under 12 by November 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 98.82 | 0.00% | 0.1518 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -15.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.00 | Trades | |
| Will Newsom get at least 54% support in his recall election? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -15.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.33 | Trades | ||
| Will Iron Finance’s Overall TVL be above $2 billion on July 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 01 2021 | ✅ | -18.48 | 2.86 | 0.00 | -15.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 41% or higher on June 17? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jun 18 2021 | ✅ | -16.59 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.59 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @ElonMusk account on February 3, 2021? | 49 or less 50-59 60-69 70-79 80 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Wed Feb 03 2021 | ✅ | -16.65 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -16.65 | Trades | ||||||
| Will LINK be above $30 on February 10th? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 10 2021 | ✅ | -17.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.29 | Trades | ||
| Will annual inflation in the European Union be 5.4% or more in December? | Yes | No | 203.66 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.5892 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 102.62 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 07 2022 | ✅ | -120.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.38 | Trades | |
| Will Kanye West’s album DONDA be released by July 23? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jul 23 2021 | ✅ | -17.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -17.86 | Trades | ||
| What will the 7-day average COVID-19 case count in the US be on April 9? | 49,999 or fewer 50,000-62,499 62,500-74,999 75,000 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Apr 09 2021 | ✅ | -18.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -18.16 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Britney Spears' father be removed or resign from her conservatorship by October 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 33.65 | 0.00% | 0.5665 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -19.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.06 | Trades | |
| Will $ETH (Ethereum) be above $4,500 on November 24th, 12pm ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Nov 24 2021 | ✅ | -19.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -19.24 | Trades | ||
| Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 22.99 | 0.00% | 0.8700 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon May 01 2023 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 21? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||
| How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1? | 52 or fewer 53-55 56-58 59-61 62 or more |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -20.07 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.07 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Gavin Newsom be Governor of California on December 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -21.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.29 | Trades | ||
| Will there be more than 120 million confirmed COVID-19 cases globally by April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 01 2021 | ✅ | -21.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -21.76 | Trades | ||
| Will any of the COVID vaccines be granted full FDA approval by September 1? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -23.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -23.84 | Trades | ||
| Will the Warriors or the Suns win their January 28th matchup? | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 29 2021 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on April 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 02 2021 | ✅ | -25.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.82 | Trades | ||
| Will Allyson Felix win a medal in the Women’s 400M? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Aug 06 2021 | ✅ | -27.93 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -27.93 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by July 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jul 25 2021 | ✅ | -29.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -29.01 | Trades | ||
| Will weekly jobless claims exceed 364K for the week ending on July 3? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Jul 08 2021 | ✅ | -30.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.00 | Trades | ||
| Will EIP-1559 be implemented on the Ethereum mainnet before August 5, 2021? | Yes | No | 4.67 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 6.6037 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Aug 05 2021 | ✅ | -30.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -30.84 | Trades | |
| Will daily atmospheric CO2 be above 418 ppm on March 22, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.76% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 22 2021 | ✅ | -40.92 | 7.12 | 0.00 | -33.80 | Trades | ||
| Will PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS be Top 3 in Peak Players on Steam on November 22, 5PM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -35.56 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -35.56 | Trades | ||
| What will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for at auction? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -37.96 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -37.93 | Trades | ||
| Will ETH be above $2000 on March 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Mar 01 2021 | ✅ | -43.48 | 4.37 | 0.00 | -39.11 | Trades | ||
| Will inflation be 0.6% or more from June to July? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Aug 11 2021 | ✅ | -40.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.98 | Trades | ||
| Will Harry Kane sign for Manchester City on or before August 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 31 2021 | ✅ | -43.99 | 1.95 | 0.00 | -42.05 | Trades | ||
| Will India Walton win the general election for Mayor of Buffalo in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ✅ | -42.91 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -42.91 | Trades | |||
| Will 400 million doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by March 25, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 25 2021 | ✅ | -43.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -43.27 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 52.0% or higher at the end of November? | Yes | No | 71.70 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6137 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Dec 01 2021 | ✅ | -44.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.00 | Trades | |
| Will the top song on Spotify Charts hit 45M global streams for the week ending on November 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Nov 26 2021 | ✅ | -44.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -44.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Germany or United Kingdom report a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average per capita on November 24? | Germany | United Kingdom | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | -45.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -45.10 | Trades | ||
| Will the floor price of CryptoPunks be above 85 ETH on November 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 15 2021 | ✅ | -46.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -46.66 | Trades | ||
| How many more tweets will be on the @WHCOS account on March 12, 2021? | Less than 190 190-205 206-220 221-235 236-250 More than 250 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Fri Mar 12 2021 | ✅ | -47.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -47.38 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Kamala Harris cast 13 or more tie-breaking votes in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Dec 31 2021 | ✅ | -48.98 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -48.98 | Trades | ||
| Will there be over 220,000 encounters at the US-Mexico border in August 2021? | Yes | No | 595.90 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0843 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Sep 01 2021 | ✅ | -50.24 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -50.24 | Trades | |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the US Open? | Yes | No | 73.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.6959 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 12 2021 | ✅ | -51.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -51.00 | Trades | |
| Will The Queen's Gambit win the Emmy Award for Best Limited Series? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 96.23 | 0.00% | 0.5477 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Sep 19 2021 | ✅ | -52.71 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -52.71 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 35,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 7, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 07 2021 | ✅ | -53.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -53.42 | Trades | ||
| Will a Category 5 Hurricane Make Landfall in the Lower 48 States Before November 1? | Yes | No | 0.42 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -55.76 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -55.76 | Trades | ||
| Will box office sales be higher than $200 million in the first quarter of 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Apr 03 2021 | ✅ | -57.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -57.20 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -63.79 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -63.79 | Trades | ||
| Will there be 19 or more named storms during the Atlantic hurricane season? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -66.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -66.10 | Trades | ||
| Chess: Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2021 FIDE World Rapid Championship? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Dec 28 2021 | ✅ | -69.38 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.38 | Trades | ||
| Will $ENS (Ethereum Name Service) be above $50 on November 25? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 135.70 | 0.00% | 0.5895 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 25 2021 | ✅ | -80.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -80.00 | Trades | |
| Will ConstitutionDAO win the Sotheby’s auction for the United States Constitution? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Nov 18 2021 | ✅ | -82.88 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -82.88 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 49.0% or higher on September 27? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 28 2021 | ✅ | -94.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -94.10 | Trades | ||
| Will Beeple's "Everydays: The First 5000 Days" sell for more than $20 million in its Christie's auction? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Mar 11 2021 | ✅ | -99.30 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -99.30 | Trades | ||
| Will the James Webb telescope be launched successfully before Christmas? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 25 2021 | ✅ | -109.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -109.49 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 171.28 | 0.00% | 0.6422 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -110.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -110.00 | Trades | |
| Will inflation be 0.4% or more from July to August? | Yes | No | 176.74 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.7356 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 14 2021 | ✅ | -130.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -130.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Mar 16 2021 | ✅ | -137.54 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -137.54 | Trades | ||
| Will there be at least 850 unicorn companies worldwide according to CBInsights by October 1st? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Oct 01 2021 | ✅ | -158.29 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -158.29 | Trades | ||
| Will Wisconsin or South Carolina have a higher 7-day COVID-19 case average on October 1? | WI | SC | 0.00 | 236.59 | 0.00% | 0.7185 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Oct 05 2021 | ✅ | -170.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -170.00 | Trades | |
| Will there be a named tropical system Wanda that forms before November 1st, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 368.55 | 0.00% | 0.5967 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 01 2021 | ✅ | -219.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -219.92 | Trades | |
| Will Bitcoin ($BTC) be above $55k on February 24, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.70% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Feb 24 2021 | ✅ | -381.56 | 12.12 | 0.00 | -369.44 | Trades | ||
| Will Fabiano Caruana win the United States Chess Championship? | Yes | No | 864.49 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4637 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Oct 18 2021 | ✅ | -400.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -400.83 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 1,620.71 | 477.51 | -1,886.41 | 54.80 | 0.00 | 266.62 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.90 | 43.62 | -57.84 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -13.31 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 1,621.61 | 521.13 | -1,944.24 | 54.80 | 0.00 | 253.30 | ||||||||||||