Will Donald J. Trump win the U.S. 2024 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.93 |
0.07 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hochul) or Republican (Zeldin) win in New York? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
1.57
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.57
|
Trades
|
CA-22 House: Will a Democrat (Salas) or Republican (Valadao) win? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-5.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.70
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the U.S. House in the 2022 elections? |
Democratic |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 08 2022
|
β
|
-14.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.54
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump announce he is running for president by November 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
6.49
|
0.00% |
|
0.0549
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
-0.36
|
0.09
|
0.00
|
-0.26
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Hobbs) or Republican (Lake) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
21.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
21.86
|
Trades
|
Governor: Will a Democrat (Whitmer) or Republican (Dixon) win in Michigan? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
3.33
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.34
|
Trades
|
Senate: Will a Democrat (Kelly) or Republican (Masters) win in Arizona? |
Democrat |
Republican |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 15 2022
|
β
|
15.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
15.69
|
Trades
|
World Cup 2022: Sunday - Will Ecuador beat Qatar? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 20 2022
|
β
|
23.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.13
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will France beat Australia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 22 2022
|
β
|
5.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.45
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Argentina beat Saudi Arabia? |
Yes |
No |
23.67
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8448
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 22 2022
|
β
|
-20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-20.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Belgium beat Canada? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 23 2022
|
β
|
2.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.82
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Spain beat Costa Rica? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 23 2022
|
β
|
1.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1.02
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will Germany beat Japan? |
Yes |
No |
11.43
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6735
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 23 2022
|
β
|
-7.70
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.70
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Brazil beat Serbia? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
3.22
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.22
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Thursday - Will Switzerland beat Cameroon? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 24 2022
|
β
|
3.66
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
3.66
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will Senegal beat Qatar? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 25 2022
|
β
|
6.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
6.54
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Friday - Will Wales beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 25 2022
|
β
|
7.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.02
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - Will France beat Denmark? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Nov 26 2022
|
β
|
18.40
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.40
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will Croatia beat Canada? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 27 2022
|
β
|
7.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
7.14
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will Belgium beat Morocco? |
Yes |
No |
10.94
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.4755
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 27 2022
|
β
|
-5.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.20
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Sunday - Will Japan beat Costa Rica? |
Yes |
No |
17.87
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6826
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 27 2022
|
β
|
-12.20
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-12.20
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will Portugal beat Uruguay? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.09
|
0.00% |
|
0.5346
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will Brazil beat Switzerland? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
9.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.60
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will South Korea beat Ghana? |
Yes |
No |
36.26
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.3861
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
-14.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-14.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Monday - Will Serbia beat Cameroon? |
Yes |
No |
9.20
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5433
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 28 2022
|
β
|
-5.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will United States beat Iran? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
13.03
|
0.00% |
|
0.5373
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will England beat Wales? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
β
|
5.07
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
5.07
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Tuesday - Will Netherlands beat Qatar? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 29 2022
|
β
|
2.10
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.10
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Wednesday - Will France beat Tunisia? |
Yes |
No |
18.48
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7118
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Nov 30 2022
|
β
|
-13.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.15
|
Trades
|
Will the Margin of Victory in the Georgia runoff be 5.0% or greater? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 06 2022
|
β
|
10.59
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
10.59
|
Trades
|
Will 'Elden Ring' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 08 2022
|
β
|
-0.56
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.55
|
Trades
|
World Cup: Saturday - Portugal vs. Morocco |
Portugal |
Morocco |
29.25
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7522
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 10 2022
|
β
|
-22.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-22.00
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.3% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.62
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.61
|
0.20
|
0.00
|
-0.40
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.2% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
1.41
|
0.00
|
0.02% |
0.2543
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-0.36
|
0.08
|
0.00
|
-0.28
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from October to November 2022? |
Yes |
No |
31.21
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7635
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 13 2022
|
β
|
-23.83
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-23.83
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
-0.36
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.36
|
Trades
|
Will Donald Trump file to run for president before 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2.95
|
0.00% |
|
-0.1992
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
β
|
0.59
|
0.32
|
0.00
|
0.91
|
Trades
|
Will $BTC or $ETH perform better in 2022? |
Bitcoin |
Ethereum |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jan 01 2023
|
β
|
-2.92
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-2.92
|
Trades
|
Will Hunter Biden be indicted by July 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon May 01 2023
|
β
|
50.12
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
50.12
|
Trades
|
Will ErdoΔan win the 2023 Turkish presidential election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 14 2023
|
β
|
-4.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-4.13
|
Trades
|
Turkish Presidential Margin of Victory >5%? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun May 28 2023
|
β
|
23.13
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.13
|
Trades
|
French Open: Who will win Alcaraz vs. Djokovic? |
Alcaraz |
Djokovic |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 09 2023
|
β
|
20.64
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.64
|
Trades
|
Champions League Final: Man City v. Inter |
Man City |
Inter |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jun 10 2023
|
β
|
39.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
39.98
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
56.97
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
56.97
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be indicted a second time by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
β
|
18.95
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
18.95
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.2% from May to June 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jul 11 2023
|
β
|
25.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
25.50
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
β
|
23.96
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.96
|
Trades
|
Will 'Oppenheimer' gross over $65m on opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jul 24 2023
|
β
|
14.69
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.69
|
Trades
|
Did US GDP grow 1.0% or more in Q2 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jul 26 2023
|
β
|
45.26
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.26
|
Trades
|
Will USA win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
38.46
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.2600
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will Brazil win the 2023 Women's World Cup? |
Yes |
No |
53.85
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Aug 19 2023
|
β
|
-7.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-7.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump attend the first RNC debate? |
Yes |
No |
28.33
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.6000
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Aug 23 2023
|
β
|
-17.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-17.00
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
11.24
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.8900
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
β
|
-10.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-10.00
|
Trades
|
Will MbappΓ© join a Saudi club this transfer window? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Sep 01 2023
|
β
|
2.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed raise interest rates by 25 bps after its September meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Sep 20 2023
|
β
|
2.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2.50
|
Trades
|
Will there be a US government shutdown by October 2? |
Yes |
No |
47.30
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5497
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Oct 02 2023
|
β
|
-26.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-26.00
|
Trades
|
Will Trump receive a gag order by October 15? |
Yes |
No |
25.42
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5213
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
25.42
|
0.00
|
Sun Oct 15 2023
|
β
|
-13.25
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
12.17
|
Trades
|
Will a Democrat win the Kentucky gubernatorial election? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 07 2023
|
β
|
28.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
28.19
|
Trades
|
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by December 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
β
|
0.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.65
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.43
|
0.01
|
|
|
251.46
|
0.69
|
0.00
|
277.60
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
-0.02
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-0.02
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.43
|
0.01
|
|
|
251.44
|
0.69
|
0.00
|
277.58
|
|