Netanyahu out by June 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
|
195.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
195.00
|
Trades
|
Trump and Biden both win nomination? |
Yes |
No |
400.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.7500
|
|
0.79 |
0.21 |
317.75
|
0.00
|
Tue Sep 10 2024
|
|
-300.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.75
|
Trades
|
Which party will win the 2024 United States presidential election? |
Democratic |
Republican |
902.68
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.5539
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
454.68
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 08 2024
|
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.32
|
Trades
|
Trump jail before election day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
595.24
|
0.00% |
|
0.8400
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Nov 05 2024
|
|
-500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-500.00
|
Trades
|
SBF sentenced to 50+ years? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Jun 30 2024
|
✅ |
742.86
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
742.86
|
Trades
|
Will ETH hit $2,500 by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
465.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
465.05
|
Trades
|
Will 'Tears of the Kingdom' win Game of the Year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Dec 07 2023
|
✅ |
406.47
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
406.47
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
395.45
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
395.45
|
Trades
|
Taiwan Presidential Election: Will Lai Ching-te win? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jan 13 2024
|
✅ |
371.43
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
371.43
|
Trades
|
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
140.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
140.55
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader through March 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 01 2024
|
✅ |
97.61
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
97.62
|
Trades
|
Will Snoop smoke again in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
61.27
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
61.27
|
Trades
|
Ilya still at OpenAI on Jan 1? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jan 01 2024
|
✅ |
32.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.11
|
Trades
|
Will GPT-4 have 500b+ parameters? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.50 |
0.50 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
27.88
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
27.88
|
Trades
|
Over 500 OpenAI resignations this week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Nov 24 2023
|
✅ |
24.09
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
24.09
|
Trades
|
Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.01
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
17.44
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
17.44
|
Trades
|
Will 'The Color Purple' gross over $15m on Christmas Day? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Dec 26 2023
|
✅ |
9.89
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
9.89
|
Trades
|
Emmett Shear still CEO of OpenAI by end of week? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Nov 26 2023
|
✅ |
-57.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-57.99
|
Trades
|
Will Sweden join NATO by January 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Jan 31 2024
|
✅ |
-66.15
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-66.14
|
Trades
|
Iceland volcanic eruption by Dec 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
259.73
|
0.00% |
|
0.3977
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-103.30
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-103.30
|
Trades
|
Will 'Napoleon' gross over $32.5m over its 5-day opening weekend? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
570.69
|
0.00% |
|
0.4381
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Nov 27 2023
|
✅ |
-250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-250.00
|
Trades
|
Sam back as CEO of OpenAI? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-348.98
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-348.98
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.01
|
0.01
|
|
|
1,965.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,965.71
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
772.43
|
0.00
|
|
|
-1,105.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-332.58
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
772.44
|
0.01
|
|
|
860.68
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,633.13
|
|