Ethereum ETF approved by May 31? |
Yes |
No |
2,099.95
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
-0.5107
|
|
0.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri May 31 2024
|
|
1,072.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,072.55
|
Trades
|
Will Prigozhin be arrested by July 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 15 2023
|
✅ |
517.82
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
517.82
|
Trades
|
Will Trump be arrested by Friday? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 24 2023
|
✅ |
355.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
355.41
|
Trades
|
BTC above $28,000 at end of August? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Aug 31 2023
|
✅ |
210.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
210.60
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.01
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
174.42
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
174.42
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
155.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
155.00
|
Trades
|
CZ jail before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
80.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
80.00
|
Trades
|
Will Israel invade Lebanon before March? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Thu Feb 29 2024
|
✅ |
78.65
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
78.66
|
Trades
|
Instacart market cap >20b? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
64.80
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
64.80
|
Trades
|
Will a third US bank fail by March 17? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Mar 17 2023
|
✅ |
51.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
51.99
|
Trades
|
Will the US publicly state that Iran was directly involved with the recent attack on Israel in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.01
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
47.99
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.00
|
Trades
|
Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through June 30, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.01
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Jun 30 2023
|
✅ |
48.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
48.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
45.41
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
45.41
|
Trades
|
Will U.S. inflation be greater than 0.3% from January to February 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Mar 13 2023
|
✅ |
32.14
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
32.14
|
Trades
|
Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Dec 31 2022
|
✅ |
23.11
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
23.11
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Jun 13 2023
|
✅ |
20.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
20.00
|
Trades
|
US military intervention by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
16.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
16.50
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
14.04
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
14.04
|
Trades
|
Will Azerbaijan invade Armenia by Nov 30? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
244.29
|
0.00% |
|
0.9550
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
244.29
|
Thu Nov 30 2023
|
✅ |
-233.29
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
11.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its May meeting? |
Yes |
No |
100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0300
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue May 02 2023
|
✅ |
-3.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-3.00
|
Trades
|
Will X start a crypto trading platform this year? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-5.75
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-5.75
|
Trades
|
Ethereum ETF approved by end of March? |
Yes |
No |
1,199.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0110
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Mar 31 2024
|
✅ |
-13.19
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.19
|
Trades
|
Will China invade Taiwan in 2023? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0270
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-13.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-13.50
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after its June meeting? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Mon Jun 12 2023
|
✅ |
-25.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-25.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
437.50
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0800
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-35.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-35.00
|
Trades
|
Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
250.27
|
0.00% |
|
0.1500
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 15 2024
|
✅ |
-37.54
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-37.54
|
Trades
|
Will Putin remain President of Russia through 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
500.00
|
0.00% |
|
0.0900
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-45.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-45.00
|
Trades
|
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 0 bps after its March meeting? |
Yes |
No |
250.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1840
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Wed Mar 22 2023
|
✅ |
-46.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-46.00
|
Trades
|
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1? |
Yes |
No |
700.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0700
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-49.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-49.00
|
Trades
|
Will Russia & Ukraine declare a ceasefire by EOY? |
Yes |
No |
843.36
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.0771
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sun Dec 31 2023
|
✅ |
-65.05
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-65.05
|
Trades
|
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31? |
Yes |
No |
600.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1158
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Tue Oct 31 2023
|
✅ |
-69.50
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-69.50
|
Trades
|
Will Elon and Zuck announce a fight? |
Yes |
No |
500.00
|
0.00
|
0.00% |
0.1500
|
|
0.00 |
1.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Sat Jul 01 2023
|
✅ |
-75.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-75.00
|
Trades
|
Will Joe Biden be President of the United States on December 1, 2023? |
Yes |
No |
0.00
|
2,138.30
|
0.00% |
|
0.0468
|
1.00 |
0.00 |
0.00
|
0.00
|
Fri Dec 01 2023
|
✅ |
-100.00
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
-100.00
|
Trades
|
Resolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
244.31
|
|
|
1,120.06
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,364.38
|
|
Unresolved |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
|
|
1,072.55
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
1,072.55
|
|
Total |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.00
|
244.31
|
|
|
2,192.60
|
0.00
|
0.00
|
2,436.92
|
|