Account
0x8756936e814c71b476ebc403e0ba0abdbe7282d7 Trades
| Market | Outcome 0 | Outcome 1 | Shares 0 | Shares 1 | LP Share | Avg Price 0 | Avg Price 1 | Cur Price 0 | Cur Price 1 | Value 0 | Value 1 | End Date | Resolved | Collateral | Fees Collected | Withdrawable Fees | Net | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will at least 80% of U.S. COVID-19 cases be from the Omicron variant on January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 04 2022 | ✅ | 132.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 132.73 | Trades | ||
| Will Argentina win the 2022 World Cup? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 18 2022 | ✅ | 120.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 120.05 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 22 2021 | ✅ | 61.20 | 16.78 | 0.00 | 77.98 | Trades | ||
| Will 246 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 450.46 | 0.00 | 0.00% | -0.1718 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 77.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 77.37 | Trades | |
| Alien contact in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 59.60 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 59.60 | Trades | ||
| Israel and Hamas ceasefire in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 50.37 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.37 | Trades | ||
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.0% from July to August 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Sep 13 2022 | ✅ | 38.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 38.04 | Trades | ||
| Will Boris Johnson be the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom on May 20, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 20 2022 | ✅ | 35.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Ali Khamenei remain Supreme Leader of Iran through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 34.42 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 34.42 | Trades | ||
| Will Sarah Palin win Alaska's special election for the U.S. House? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Aug 16 2022 | ✅ | 32.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.78 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on July 31, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jul 31 2021 | ✅ | 32.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 32.20 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by May 11, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue May 11 2021 | ✅ | 28.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 28.72 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on November 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 30 2021 | ✅ | -128.90 | 153.50 | 0.00 | 24.60 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on September 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 30 2021 | ✅ | -26.26 | 47.65 | 0.00 | 21.39 | Trades | ||
| Will Amber Heard be found liable for defaming Johnny Depp? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | 19.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 19.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on January 6 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | 14.83 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 14.83 | Trades | ||
| Will Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jun 01 2021 | ✅ | 11.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.86 | Trades | ||
| Will @realDonaldTrump tweet in 2022? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | 10.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.47 | Trades | ||
| Will U.S. inflation be more than 0.1% from August to September 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Oct 13 2022 | ✅ | 10.15 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.15 | Trades | ||
| Will a House Speaker be elected by end of Friday? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Jan 06 2023 | ✅ | 10.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.14 | Trades | ||
| Will it be possible to shop on Amazon using Bitcoin in the US before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | 9.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 9.20 | Trades | ||
| Democratic House and Democratic Senate after U.S. 2022 Midterms? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 08 2022 | ✅ | 7.23 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.23 | Trades | ||
| How many people will have initiated COVID-19 vaccination by Biden’s 100th day in office? | Long | Short | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.38 | 0.62 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | 7.02 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 7.02 | Trades | ||
| Will Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) flip CryptoPunks by January 10, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Jan 10 2022 | ✅ | 6.27 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.27 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden mention Donald Trump in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | 5.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 5.63 | Trades | ||
| Will Jeff Bezos or Elon Musk have a higher net worth on April 25, 2021? | Bezos | Musk | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Apr 25 2021 | ✅ | 4.13 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 4.13 | Trades | ||
| Will the FDA give emergency use authorization or otherwise approve Paxlovid before 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -1.99 | 5.72 | 0.00 | 3.73 | Trades | ||
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 31 2023 | ✅ | 3.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3.53 | Trades | ||
| Will 1 billion doses of a COVID-19 vaccine have been administered globally by April 26, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Apr 26 2021 | ✅ | 1.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.28 | Trades | ||
| What will monthly NFT trading volume be on April 13, 2021? | $80M or Less $81-105M $106-120M $121-135M $136M or More |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Tue Apr 13 2021 | ✅ | 0.73 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.73 | Trades | ||||||
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | 0.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.53 | Trades | ||
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the 2022 TIME Person of the Year? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | Thu Dec 15 2022 | ✅ | 0.06 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.06 | Trades | ||
| Will 225M COVID-19 vaccine doses have been administered in the US by Biden's 100th day in office? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 29 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will SpaceX successfully launch and land Starship SN15 by April 28, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by May 20? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu May 20 2021 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Xi Jinping remain General Secretary of the CCP through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 146.93 | 0.00% | 0.0068 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -1.00 | Trades | |
| Will any NATO member country invoke Article 4 by EOY? | Yes | No | 98.43 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.0203 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.00 | Trades | |
| Will AstraZeneca's COVID-19 vaccine receive FDA approval or Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -2.80 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -2.80 | Trades | ||
| Will Elon Musk mention DOGE in his SNL appearance? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 08 2021 | ✅ | -3.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.00 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “folks” in his first Joint Address? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Apr 28 2021 | ✅ | -3.58 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -3.58 | Trades | ||
| Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on June 30, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed Jun 30 2021 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | ||
| Will Russia remain in G20 through November 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 222.91 | 0.00% | 0.0224 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Nov 01 2022 | ✅ | -5.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -5.00 | Trades | |
| Will Brian Armstrong remain CEO of Coinbase through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 105.11 | 0.00% | 0.0589 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -6.19 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.19 | Trades | |
| Will the Ethereum Merge (EIP-3675) occur by September 16, 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 98.82 | 0.00% | 0.0641 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Sep 16 2022 | ✅ | -6.33 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -6.33 | Trades | |
| Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on May 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 9.69 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 4.8621 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun May 01 2022 | ✅ | -47.11 | 40.71 | 0.00 | -6.39 | Trades | |
| Will Vladimir Putin remain President of Russia through 2022? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 112.59 | 0.00% | 0.0666 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Jan 01 2023 | ✅ | -7.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -7.50 | Trades | |
| Will the US have fewer than 40,000 new COVID-19 cases on any day before April 16, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Apr 16 2021 | ✅ | -8.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -8.12 | Trades | ||
| Will Genesis announce it is filing for bankruptcy by January 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 20.60 | 0.00% | 0.4854 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Tue Jan 31 2023 | ✅ | -10.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -10.00 | Trades | |
| Will Donald J. Trump be indicted by December 31, 2022? | Yes | No | 94.29 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.1506 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -14.20 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -14.20 | Trades | |
| Will the workers at Amazon's Bessemer facility unionize by May 5? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Wed May 05 2021 | ✅ | -15.74 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -15.74 | Trades | ||
| Will a non-Korean player win the DreamHack Fall StarCraft 2 Masters tournament? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 32.36 | 0.00% | 0.6180 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 13 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Who will be Time's 2021 Person of the Year? | Healthcare Workers WHO Joe Biden Anthony Fauci Other |
91.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
0.00% |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 |
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 |
Mon Dec 13 2021 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | ||||||
| Will SpaceX's Starship successfully reach outer space by March 31, 2023? | Yes | No | 45.40 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4405 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -20.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -20.00 | Trades | |
| Will Credit Suisse fail by March 31? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 78.13 | 0.00% | 0.3200 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri Mar 31 2023 | ✅ | -25.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -25.00 | Trades | |
| Will Joe Biden's disapproval rating be 40% or higher on April 7? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 08 2021 | ✅ | -34.72 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -34.72 | Trades | ||
| Will President Biden say “Trump” or "predecessor" during his September 9 speech + Q&A? | Yes | No | 129.24 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.3095 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Sep 09 2021 | ✅ | -40.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | Trades | |
| Bitcoin ETF approved by Jan 15? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 344.00 | 0.00% | 0.1250 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Dec 15 2024 | ✅ | -43.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -43.00 | Trades | |
| Will the Ever Given exit the Great Bitter Lake in the Suez Canal by April 22? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Thu Apr 22 2021 | ✅ | -69.66 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -69.66 | Trades | ||
| Will 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat May 01 2021 | ✅ | -72.47 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -72.47 | Trades | ||
| Will NASA successfully launch the Space Launch System (SLS) into space by September 5th? | Yes | No | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Sep 05 2022 | ✅ | -74.82 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -74.82 | Trades | ||
| Will PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS be Top 3 in Peak Players on Steam on November 22, 5PM ET? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 1,704.20 | 0.00% | 0.0440 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Mon Nov 22 2021 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will Sweden win Eurovision 2023? | Yes | No | 0.00 | 125.00 | 0.00% | 0.6000 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Fri May 12 2023 | ✅ | -75.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -75.00 | Trades | |
| Will 248 million Americans have received at least one dose of an approved Covid-19 vaccination by January 1, 2022? | Yes | No | 469.37 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.2131 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Jan 01 2022 | ✅ | -100.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -100.00 | Trades | |
| Will Liz Truss remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom through 2022? | Yes | No | 328.96 | 0.00 | 0.00% | 0.4560 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sat Dec 31 2022 | ✅ | -150.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -150.00 | Trades | |
| Who will get more Gold Medals at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics: USA or China? | USA | China | 0.00 | 503.02 | 0.00% | 0.6958 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | Sun Aug 08 2021 | ✅ | -350.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -350.00 | Trades | |
| Resolved | 0.01 | 0.00 | -641.49 | 264.37 | 0.00 | -377.11 | ||||||||||||
| Unresolved | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Total | 0.01 | 0.00 | -641.49 | 264.37 | 0.00 | -377.11 | ||||||||||||